7 research outputs found
Business regulations and economic growth: What can be explained?
AbstractThis paper investigates business regulations-economic growth nexus in 162 countries over the period 2007-2011. It uses ten indicators of Doing Business and a set of control variables. The results provide a robust link between regulation indices and economic growth except Trading Across Borders and Dealing with Construction Permits indices. Regulation indices and control variables don't matter in term of growth induction in Africa. This finding suggests some policy conclusions that can help poor nations to grow faster
Risque de crédit à travers les cycles d'activité: une analyse sur un panel de banques de dépÎt tunisiennes
RĂ©sumĂ©Le but de ce travail est dâanalyser lâeffet des cycles dâactivitĂ© sur les crĂ©dits non performants pour un panel de 10 banques de dĂ©pĂŽt tunisiennes durant 1978-2005. Un modĂšle dynamique a Ă©tĂ© estimĂ©. Les rĂ©sultats ont montrĂ© quâune phase de rĂ©cession aurait tendance Ă augmenter le stock des crĂ©dits non performants des banques. Lâenvironnement macroĂ©conomique exerce un effet nĂ©gatif sur les banques en pĂ©riode de rĂ©cession. Ces rĂ©sultats dĂ©gagĂ©s ont permis dâanalyser lâeffet de quatre scĂ©narios sur le niveau des crĂ©ances improductives. Les « stress tests » ont rĂ©vĂ©lĂ© que la surveillance financiĂšre devrait ĂȘtre plus importante durant les phases de rĂ©cession quand les banques deviennent fragiles. Si la rĂ©action des banques aux chocs macroĂ©conomiques accentue les effets des rĂ©cessions, il serait appropriĂ© de mettre en place des rĂšgles qui permettent de limiter la pro cyclicitĂ© des activitĂ©s bancaires.AbstractThe aim of this work is to analyze the effect of business cycles on the non-performing loans for a panel of 10 Tunisian deposit banks during 1978-2005. A dynamic model was estimated. The results showed that a recession tends to increase the stock of non-performing loans in the banks. The macroeconomic environment has a negative effect on banks in times of recession. The results generated were used to analyze the effect of four scenarios on the level of non-performing Loans. The stress tests showed that financial supervision should be higher during downturns when banks become fragile. If the reaction of banks to macroeconomic shocks accentuate the effects of recessions, it would be appropriate to establish rules to limit the pro cyclicality of banking activities
DĂVELOPPEMENT FINANCIER ET ĂCARTS DE REVENUS DES PAYS : UNE ANALYSE EMPIRIQUE SUR DONNĂES DE PANEL
Lâobjectif de ce travail est dâĂ©tudier le rĂŽle du dĂ©veloppement du secteur financier dans lâexplication des Ă©carts de revenus pour un panel de 98 pays durant la pĂ©riode 1980-2006. Notre contribution a consistĂ© Ă dĂ©finir trois clubs de convergence en utilisant le test de convergence en distribution. Nous avons aussi estimĂ© un modĂšle de panel dynamique inspirĂ© de celui dĂ©veloppĂ© par Aghion et al. (2004) pour lâensemble des pays ainsi que pour les trois sous-ensembles dĂ©terminĂ©s. Les estimations portant sur lâĂ©chantillon total rĂ©vĂšlent que la rĂ©duction des Ă©carts de revenus dĂ©coule plus dâun environnement macro-Ă©conomique stable que dâun secteur financier approfondi. Les estimations portant sur chaque groupe de pays montrent la prĂ©sence dâun effet non uniforme du dĂ©veloppement financier sur les Ă©carts de revenus. Les clubs 1 et 3 affichent une rĂ©duction de lâĂ©cart de revenus par rapport aux Etats-Unis via un dĂ©veloppement financier approfondi. Par contre, la stabilitĂ© macroĂ©conomique du club 2 a renforcĂ© le processus de rattrapage en termes de revenu vers les Etats-Unis. Abstract - The aim of this article is to study the role of financial development in the explanation of income inequality for a panel of 98 countries during the period 1980-2006. Our approach consists in defining three convergence clubs by using the distribution convergence test, as well as in estimating a dynamic panel model, inspired by the model developed by Aghion et al. (2004), both for the countries as a whole and for the three groups of countries we have determined. The estimations concerning the total sample reveal that stable macroeconomic environments play a more prominent role in the reduction of income inequality than financial development. The estimations concerning every convergence club show the presence of a non-uniform effect of financial development on income inequality. Clubs 1 and 3 feature income inequality re-duction in relation to the USA through financial development. On the other hand, the macroeconomic stability of club 2 has strengthened the income catch-up process.DĂVELOPPEMENT FINANCIER, DONNĂES DE PANEL, ĂCARTS DE REVENUS
Determinants of foreign direct investment in Tunisia: Empirical assessment based on an application of the autoregressive distributed Lag model
In recent years, the changing economic and political environment in Tunisia led to a renewed interest on the drivers of foreign direct investment, given its potential important gains. In this study, we investigated the impact of various factors over the period 1980-2012. In doing this, three categories of determinants were considered: economic, political and sociocultural variables. Empirical findings drawn from the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach show that variation in foreign direct investment inflow in the short-run and long-run is affected by the majority of variables considered, except exchange rate, urban population and gross domestic savings. As a matter of policy, it is essential that government should continue its efforts to create a macroeconomic environment which is attractive to foreign direct investment
Exploring economic and technological determinants of FinTech startups' success and growth in the United Arab Emirates
In the last few years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has emerged as a regional hub serving as an incubator of the FinTech ecosystem, where regulators began implementing policies to encourage the growth of Fintech ventures in 2017. However, detailed empirical evidence concerning the impact of various FinTech-level and ecosystem-specific factors as determinants of FinTech success and survival is yet to be discussed. This paper investigates the underlying factors influencing the success of UAE-based FinTech ventures. Several factors are included in the analysis, controlling for the hedonics of the FinTech, including the business model, availability of and access to finance, and business ecosystem framework. Data are pooled using a semi-structured questionnaire conducted with 32 FinTech founders. A qualitative analysis with an ordered logistic regression model was performed. The findings suggest that the availability of resources, in particular through venture capital, is vital to the success and survival of FinTechs as microbusinesses. However, financial barriers, the regulatory environment, and legal issues have a detrimental impact on facilitating the creation and growth of FinTech ventures. Furthermore, the business model dimensions 'product/service offering' and 'value proposition' tend to influence the success of these ventures. The empirical model's findings will serve as a data-driven tool to help guide finance policymakers in their decisions on how to promote this new sector
Exploring Economic and Technological Determinants of FinTech Startupsâ Success and Growth in the United Arab Emirates
In the last few years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has emerged as a regional hub serving as an incubator of the FinTech ecosystem, where regulators began implementing policies to encourage the growth of Fintech ventures in 2017. However, detailed empirical evidence concerning the impact of various FinTech-level and ecosystem-specific factors as determinants of FinTech success and survival is yet to be discussed. This paper investigates the underlying factors influencing the success of UAE-based FinTech ventures. Several factors are included in the analysis, controlling for the hedonics of the FinTech, including the business model, availability of and access to finance, and business ecosystem framework. Data are pooled using a semi-structured questionnaire conducted with 32 FinTech founders. A qualitative analysis with an ordered logistic regression model was performed. The findings suggest that the availability of resources, in particular through venture capital, is vital to the success and survival of FinTechs as microbusinesses. However, financial barriers, the regulatory environment, and legal issues have a detrimental impact on facilitating the creation and growth of FinTech ventures. Furthermore, the business model dimensions âproduct/service offeringâ and âvalue propositionâ tend to influence the success of these ventures. The empirical modelâs findings will serve as a data-driven tool to help guide finance policymakers in their decisions on how to promote this new sector