23 research outputs found

    Sponge City: Using the “One Water” Concept to Improve Understanding of Flood Management Effectiveness

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    Urban flood-related issues are substantial in China, arising from rapid construction of megacities over decades with insufficient flood control, all being made worse by climate change. Since Sponge City (SC) options are primarily effective at maintaining the water balance at the surface, flooding continues. In response, the One Water concept is used to demonstrate the need to respond to dimensions beyond SC and shown herein to have potential to reduce the impacts of major storms (e.g., suppress 100-year flooding to a 25-year flooding equivalent). However, climate change causes more intense storms, indicating the intensity of the 100-year storm will increase by ~0.23% annually over the next 70 years. Hence, given sufficient SC options, the 100-year storms may only be effectively reduced to a 50-year storm, at best by SC options. “One Water” is utilized as a concept to demonstrate structured thinking about how each dimension of the hydrologic cycle can be employed to consider the degree of interconnection, allowing improved assessment of various components of the hydrologic cycle and SC options. Examples are used to demonstrate how the concept of One Water links the array of components of the hydrologic cycle together, generating a holistic view of urban water resource security

    Insights and Opportunities: Challenges of Canadian First Nations Drinking Water Operators

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    Providing safe drinking water continues to be a challenge in Canadian First Nations communities. In 2011, in Ontario and British Columbia, only 45 percent and 51 percent of 143 and 160 First Nations had water systems with a fully trained certified operator, respectively. The objective of this research was to investigate the issues of operator training, retention, and job satisfaction through semi-structured interviews and surveys of water system operators in Ontario and British Columbia. Operators reported the lack of funding for operation and maintenance, and a lack of support from band council as challenges in performing their jobs. Of those who reported being unsatisfied with their position, wages, hours of work, and lack of funding or support were cited as primary reasons

    Identification of Variable Importance for Predictions of Mortality From COVID-19 Using AI Models for Ontario, Canada

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    The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 pandemic has challenged medical systems to the brink of collapse around the globe. In this paper, logistic regression and three other artificial intelligence models (XGBoost, Artificial Neural Network and Random Forest) are described and used to predict mortality risk of individual patients. The database is based on census data for the designated area and co-morbidities obtained using data from the Ontario Health Data Platform. The dataset consisted of more than 280,000 COVID-19 cases in Ontario for a wide-range of age groups; 0–9, 10–19, 20–29, 30–39, 40–49, 50–59, 60–69, 70–79, 80–89, and 90+. Findings resulting from using logistic regression, XGBoost, Artificial Neural Network and Random Forest, all demonstrate excellent discrimination (area under the curve for all models exceeded 0.948 with the best performance being 0.956 for an XGBoost model). Based on SHapley Additive exPlanations values, the importance of 24 variables are identified, and the findings indicated the highest importance variables are, in order of importance, age, date of test, sex, and presence/absence of chronic dementia. The findings from this study allow the identification of out-patients who are likely to deteriorate into severe cases, allowing medical professionals to make decisions on timely treatments. Furthermore, the methodology and results may be extended to other public health regions

    A Modified Radial Diagram Approach for Evaluating Natural Attenuation Trends for Chlorinated Solvents and Inorganic Redox Indicators

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    Selection of monitored natural attenuation as a ground water remedy requires that sound scientific documentation clearly illustrating the effectiveness of this remedial alternative be presented to regulatory agencies and concerned citizens. An innovative radial diagram approach is applied to illustrate natural attenuation trends for total benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylenes (BTEX) and chlorinated ethenes at a former fire training area at Plattsburgh Air Force Base, New York. A BTEX-CAH (chlorinated aliphatic h
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