Investigation of warm fog properties and fog modification concepts Annual summary report

Ground based and aerial seeding of warm fog with hygroscopic materials and computer modeling of fog response to seedin

Project Fog Drops 5. Task 1: A numerical model of advection fog. Task 2: Recommendations for simplified individual zero-gravity cloud physics experiments

A two-dimensional numerical model was used to investigate the formation of marine advection fog. The model predicts the evolution of potential temperature, horizontal wind, water vapor content, and liquid water content in a vertical cross section of the atmosphere as determined by vertical turbulent transfer and horizontal advection, as well as radiative cooling and drop sedimentation. The model is designed to simulate the formation, development, or dissipation of advection fog in response to transfer of heat and moisture between the atmosphere and the surface as driven by advection over horizontal discontinuities in the surface temperature. Results from numerical simulations of advection fog formation are discussed with reference to observations of marine fog. A survey of candidate fog or cloud microphysics experiments which might be performed in the low gravity environment of a shuttle-type spacecraft in presented. Recommendations are given for relatively simple experiments which are relevent to fog modification problems

Investigation of warm fog properties and fog modification concepts

Warm fog seeding to determine potential of various sized and unsized hygroscopic chemicals for fog dissipatio

Globular Cluster Systems in Brightest Cluster Galaxies. III: Beyond Bimodality

We present new deep photometry of the rich globular cluster (GC) systems around the Brightest Cluster Galaxies UGC 9799 (Abell 2052) and UGC 10143 (Abell 2147), obtained with the HST ACS and WFC3 cameras. For comparison, we also present new reductions of similar HST/ACS data for the Coma supergiants NGC 4874 and 4889. All four of these galaxies have huge cluster populations (to the radial limits of our data, comprising from 12000 to 23000 clusters per galaxy). The metallicity distribution functions (MDFs) of the GCs can still be matched by a bimodal-Gaussian form where the metal-rich and metal-poor modes are separated by ~0.8 dex, but the internal dispersions of each mode are so large that the total MDF becomes very broad and nearly continuous from [Fe/H] = -2.4 to Solar. There are, however, significant differences between galaxies in the relative numbers of \emph{metal-rich} clusters, suggesting that they underwent significantly different histories of mergers with massive, gas-rich halos. Lastly, the proportion of metal-poor GCs rises especially rapidly outside projected radii R > 4 R_eff, suggesting the importance of accreted dwarf satellites in the outer halo. Comprehensive models for the formation of GCs as part of the hierarchical formation of their parent galaxies will be needed to trace the systematic change in structure of the MDF with galaxy mass, from the distinctly bimodal form in smaller galaxies up to the broad continuum that we see in the very largest systems.Comment: In press for Astrophysical Journa

C5AC_5^A axial form factor from bubble chamber experiments

A careful reanalysis of both Argonne National Laboratory and Brookhaven National Laboratory data for weak single pion production is done. We consider deuteron nuclear effects and normalization (flux) uncertainties in both experiments. We demonstrate that these two sets of data are in good agreement. For the dipole parametrization of $C_5^A(Q^2)$, we obtain $C_5^A(0)=1.19\pm 0.08$, $M_A=0.94\pm 0.03$ GeV. As an application we present the discussion of the uncertainty of the neutral current 1$\pi^0$ production cross section, important for the T2K neutrino oscillation experiment.Comment: 16 pages, 8 figures, 2 table

Long-range transport of pollutants in the Pacific Northwest

Air quality impacts associated with future utility and industrial siting as defined by the business as usual scenario have been analyzed. This analysis is based on assumptions regarding emission rates, implementation of Best Available Current Technology (BACT), siting data generated by the ORNL regional studies program, and a regional scale transport, transformation, and removal model for SO/sub 2/, sulfates, and particulates. Results of this assessment show that industrial siting in the Portland-Seattle area may be constrained due to regulations for Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) in terms of both incremental SO/sub 2/ and particulate concentrations at sites near Class I areas. Topography influences the concentration patterns of the pollutants. Generally, these patterns reflect the wind flow characteristics but are modified by dry deposition processes. Maximum predicted ground-level concentrations of SO/sub 2/, sulfate, and particulates occur with 63 km of the source. Over 80% of the sulfur emissions in the Pacific Northwest US will ultimately be deposited within the region. The percentage deposited for industrial sources is slightly higher than utility sources due to the lower effective release height

Statistical Mechanics of the Quantum K-Satisfiability problem

We study the quantum version of the random $K$-Satisfiability problem in the presence of the external magnetic field $\Gamma$ applied in the transverse direction. We derive the replica-symmetric free energy functional within static approximation and the saddle-point equation for the order parameter: the distribution $P[h(m)]$ of functions of magnetizations. The order parameter is interpreted as the histogram of probability distributions of individual magnetizations. In the limit of zero temperature and small transverse fields, to leading order in $\Gamma$ magnetizations $m \approx 0$ become relevant in addition to purely classical values of $m \approx \pm 1$. Self-consistency equations for the order parameter are solved numerically using Quasi Monte Carlo method for K=3. It is shown that for an arbitrarily small $\Gamma$ quantum fluctuations destroy the phase transition present in the classical limit $\Gamma=0$, replacing it with a smooth crossover transition. The implications of this result with respect to the expected performance of quantum optimization algorithms via adiabatic evolution are discussed. The replica-symmetric solution of the classical random $K$-Satisfiability problem is briefly revisited. It is shown that the phase transition at T=0 predicted by the replica-symmetric theory is of continuous type with atypical critical exponents.Comment: 35 pages, 23 figures; changed abstract, improved discussion in the introduction, added references, corrected typo

A New Technique for Finding Needles in Haystacks: A Geometric Approach to Distinguishing Between a New Source and Random Fluctuations

We propose a new test statistic based on a score process for determining the statistical significance of a putative signal that may be a small perturbation to a noisy experimental background. We derive the reference distribution for this score test statistic; it has an elegant geometrical interpretation as well as broad applicability. We illustrate the technique in the context of a model problem from high-energy particle physics. Monte Carlo experimental results confirm that the score test results in a significantly improved rate of signal detection.Comment: 5 pages, 4 figure

Direct CP violation for Bˉs0→K0π+π−\bar{B}_{s}^{0}\to K^{0}\pi^{+}\pi^{-} decay in QCD factorization

In the framework of QCD factorization, based on the first order of isospin violation, we study direct CP violation in the decay of $\bar{B}_{s}^{0} \to K^{0}\rho^{0}(\omega)\to K^{0}\pi^{+}\pi^{-}$ including the effect of $\rho-\omega$ mixing. We find that the CP violating asymmetry is large via $\rho-\omega$ mixing mechanism when the invariant mass of the $\pi^{+}\pi^{-}$ pair is in the vicinity of the $\omega$ resonance. For the decay of $\bar{B}_{s}^{0} \to K^{0}\rho^{0}(\omega)\to K^{0}\pi^{+}\pi^{-}$, the maximum CP violating asymmetries can reach about 46%. We also discuss the possibility to observe the predicted CP violating asymmetries at the LHC

Likelihood scan of the Super-Kamiokande I time series data

In this work a detailed spectral analysis of the time series of the 8B solar neutrino flux published by the Super-Kamiokande Collaboration is presented, performed through a likelihood scan approach. Preliminarily a careful review of the analysis methodology is given, showing that the traditional periodicity search via the Lomb-Scargle periodogram is a special case of a more general likelihood based method. Since the data are published together with the relevant asymmetric errors, it is then shown how the likelihood analysis can be performed either with or without a prior error averaging. A key point of this work is the detailed illustration of the mathematical model describing the statistical properties of the estimated spectra obtained in the various cases, which is also validated through extensive Monte Carlo computations; the model includes a calculation for the prediction of the possible alias effects. In the successive investigation of the data, such a model is used to derive objective, mathematical predictions which are quantitatively compared with the features observed in the experimental spectra. This article clearly demonstrates that the handling of the errors is the origin of the discrepancy between published null observations and claimed significant periodicity in the same SK-I data sample. Moreover, the comprehensive likelihood analysis with asymmetric errors developed in this work provides results which cannot exclude the null hypothesis of constant rate, even though some indications stemming from the model at odd with such conclusion point towards the desirability of additional investigations with alternative methods to shed further light on the characteristics of the data.Comment: 49 pages, 38 figures. Calculation of the asymmetric likelihood revised. Accepted fo publication on Physical Review