Challenges in Complex Systems Science

FuturICT foundations are social science, complex systems science, and ICT. The main concerns and challenges in the science of complex systems in the context of FuturICT are laid out in this paper with special emphasis on the Complex Systems route to Social Sciences. This include complex systems having: many heterogeneous interacting parts; multiple scales; complicated transition laws; unexpected or unpredicted emergence; sensitive dependence on initial conditions; path-dependent dynamics; networked hierarchical connectivities; interaction of autonomous agents; self-organisation; non-equilibrium dynamics; combinatorial explosion; adaptivity to changing environments; co-evolving subsystems; ill-defined boundaries; and multilevel dynamics. In this context, science is seen as the process of abstracting the dynamics of systems from data. This presents many challenges including: data gathering by large-scale experiment, participatory sensing and social computation, managing huge distributed dynamic and heterogeneous databases; moving from data to dynamical models, going beyond correlations to cause-effect relationships, understanding the relationship between simple and comprehensive models with appropriate choices of variables, ensemble modeling and data assimilation, modeling systems of systems of systems with many levels between micro and macro; and formulating new approaches to prediction, forecasting, and risk, especially in systems that can reflect on and change their behaviour in response to predictions, and systems whose apparently predictable behaviour is disrupted by apparently unpredictable rare or extreme events. These challenges are part of the FuturICT agenda

Suscetibilidade de biótipos de arroz-vermelho e de cultivares de arroz irrigado ao herbicida imazethapyr Susceptibility of red rice biotypes and commercial rice cultivars to imazethapyr

Para avaliar a suscetibilidade de biótipos de arroz-vermelho(Oryza sativa) e cultivares comerciais de arroz ao herbicida imazethapyr, realizou-se um ensaio em casa de vegetação com cinco biótipos de arroz-vermelho (acessos Santa Maria 5, Pelotas 3, Rio Pardo 1, Manoel Viana 2 e Catuçaba 1), dois cultivares comerciais de arroz: Clearfield® (IRGA 422 CL e Puitá INTA CL) e um cultivar convencional (IRGA 417). Utilizou-se a metodologia de curvas de dose-resposta proposta por Seefeldt et al. (1995). A metodologia de curvas de resposta foi gerada a partir dos parâmetros do modelo logístico e dos valores de I50. Os biótipos de arroz-vermelho e os cultivares foram submetidos a seis doses do herbicida imazethapyr (0; 33,12; 66,25; 132,5; 265,0; e 530,0 g i.a. ha-1). As plantas de arroz foram contadas e coletadas no 20º dia após a aplicação dos tratamentos. A análise do percentual de dano foi realizada através de avaliação visual da fitointoxicação (%), massa verde e massa seca das plantas. Analisando as curvas e os resultados da análise da variância, pode-se inferir que os cultivares Clearfield Irga 422 CL e Puitá INTA CL foram significativamente iguais ao biótipo de arroz-vermelho Catuçaba 1, resistindo a doses de imazethapyr superiores à recomendada em campo para o sistema Clearfield®. Os biótipos Manoel Viana 2, Santa Maria 5 e Pelotas 3 agruparam-se com o cultivar convencional IRGA 417, sendo suscetíveis à dose comercial do herbicida. O biótipo Rio Pardo 1 também é resistente ao herbicida imazethapyr, porém menos resistente que o biótipo Catuçaba 1.<br>To evaluate the susceptibility of biotypes of red rice (Oryza sativa) and commercial rice cultivars to the herbicide imazethapyr, a greenhouse assay was conducted with five red rice biotypes (accesses Santa Maria 5, Pelotas 3, Rio Pardo 1, 2 and Manoel Viana Catuçaba 1), two commercial rice cultivars: Clearfield ® (Irga CL 422 and CL Puit INTA), and a conventional cultivar (Irga 417). The methodology of dose-response curves proposed by Seefeldt et al. (1995) was applied. The methodology of response curves was generated from the parameters of the logistic model and the values of I50. The red rice biotypes and cultivars were subjected to six doses of the herbicide imazethapyr (0, 33.12, 66.25, 132.5, 265.0 and 530.0 g a.i. ha-1). Rice plants were counted and collected on the 20th day after treatment application. Damage percentage analysis was performed by visual assessment of phytotoxicity (%), plant green mass, and plant dry mass. Through the curves and results of the analysis of variance, it could be inferred that the cultivars Irga Clearfield CL 422 and CL Puit INTA were significantly equal to red rice biotype Catuçaba 1, resisting to imazethapyr doses higher than those recommended to the Match Clearfield ® system in the field. Biotypes Manoel Viana 2, Santa Maria 5, and Pelotas 3 grouped with the conventional cultivar IRGA 417, and were susceptible to the commercial dose of the herbicide. Rio Pardo 1 biotype is also resistant to the herbicide imazethapyr, but less than biotype Catuçaba 1