Personalized decision‑making for aneurysm treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage:development and validation of a clinical prediction tool

Background: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage suitable for endovascular coiling and neurosurgical clip-reconstruction, the aneurysm treatment decision-making process could be improved by considering heterogeneity of treatment effect and durability of treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a tool to predict individualized treatment benefit of endovascular coiling compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction. Methods: We used randomized data (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial, n = 2143) to develop models to predict 2-month functional outcome and to predict time-to-rebleed-or-retreatment. We modeled for heterogeneity of treatment effect by adding interaction terms of treatment with prespecified predictors and with baseline risk of the outcome. We predicted outcome with both treatments and calculated absolute treatment benefit. We described the patient characteristics of patients with ≥ 5% point difference in the predicted probability of favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Score 0–2) and of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. Model performance was expressed with the c-statistic and calibration plots. We performed bootstrapping and leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation and pooled cluster-specific c-statistics with random effects meta-analysis. Results: The pooled c-statistics were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.69–0.75) for the prediction of 2-month favorable functional outcome and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.63–0.71) for prediction of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. We found no significant interaction between predictors and treatment. The average predicted benefit in favorable functional outcome was 6% (95% CI: 3–10%) in favor of coiling, but 11% (95% CI: 9–13%) for no rebleed or retreatment in favor of clip-reconstruction. 134 patients (6%), young and in favorable clinical condition, had negligible functional outcome benefit of coiling but had a ≥ 5% point benefit of clip-reconstruction in terms of durability of treatment. Conclusions: We show that young patients in favorable clinical condition and without extensive vasospasm have a negligible benefit in functional outcome of endovascular coiling – compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction – while at the same time having a substantially lower probability of retreatment or rebleeding from neurosurgical clip-reconstruction – compared to endovascular coiling. The SHARP prediction tool (https://sharpmodels.shinyapps.io/sharpmodels/) could support and incentivize a multidisciplinary discussion about aneurysm treatment decision-making by providing individualized treatment benefit estimates.</p

Personalized decision‑making for aneurysm treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage:development and validation of a clinical prediction tool

Background: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage suitable for endovascular coiling and neurosurgical clip-reconstruction, the aneurysm treatment decision-making process could be improved by considering heterogeneity of treatment effect and durability of treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a tool to predict individualized treatment benefit of endovascular coiling compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction. Methods: We used randomized data (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial, n = 2143) to develop models to predict 2-month functional outcome and to predict time-to-rebleed-or-retreatment. We modeled for heterogeneity of treatment effect by adding interaction terms of treatment with prespecified predictors and with baseline risk of the outcome. We predicted outcome with both treatments and calculated absolute treatment benefit. We described the patient characteristics of patients with ≥ 5% point difference in the predicted probability of favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Score 0–2) and of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. Model performance was expressed with the c-statistic and calibration plots. We performed bootstrapping and leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation and pooled cluster-specific c-statistics with random effects meta-analysis. Results: The pooled c-statistics were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.69–0.75) for the prediction of 2-month favorable functional outcome and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.63–0.71) for prediction of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. We found no significant interaction between predictors and treatment. The average predicted benefit in favorable functional outcome was 6% (95% CI: 3–10%) in favor of coiling, but 11% (95% CI: 9–13%) for no rebleed or retreatment in favor of clip-reconstruction. 134 patients (6%), young and in favorable clinical condition, had negligible functional outcome benefit of coiling but had a ≥ 5% point benefit of clip-reconstruction in terms of durability of treatment. Conclusions: We show that young patients in favorable clinical condition and without extensive vasospasm have a negligible benefit in functional outcome of endovascular coiling – compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction – while at the same time having a substantially lower probability of retreatment or rebleeding from neurosurgical clip-reconstruction – compared to endovascular coiling. The SHARP prediction tool (https://sharpmodels.shinyapps.io/sharpmodels/) could support and incentivize a multidisciplinary discussion about aneurysm treatment decision-making by providing individualized treatment benefit estimates.</p

Spatio-Temporal U-Net for Cerebral Artery and Vein Segmentation in Digital Subtraction Angiography

X-ray digital subtraction angiography (DSA) is widely used for vessel and/or flow visualization and interventional guidance during endovascular treatment of patients with a stroke or aneurysm. To assist in peri-operative decision making as well as post-operative prognosis, automatic DSA analysis algorithms are being developed to obtain relevant image-based information. Such analyses include detection of vascular disease, evaluation of perfusion based on time intensity curves (TIC), and quantitative biomarker extraction for automated treatment evaluation in endovascular thrombectomy. Methodologically, such vessel-based analysis tasks may be facilitated by automatic and accurate artery-vein segmentation algorithms. The present work describes to the best of our knowledge the first study that addresses automatic artery-vein segmentation in DSA using deep learning. We propose a novel spatio-temporal U-Net (ST U-Net) architecture which integrates convolutional gated recurrent units (ConvGRU) in the contracting branch of U-Net. The network encodes a 2D+t DSA series of variable length and decodes it into a 2D segmentation image. On a multi-center routinely acquired dataset, the proposed method significantly outperformed U-Net (P<0.001) and traditional Frangi-based K-means clustering (P$<$0.001). Particularly in artery-vein segmentation, ST U-Net achieved a Dice coefficient of 0.794, surpassing the existing state-of-the-art methods by a margin of 12\%-20\%. Code will be made publicly available upon acceptance

autoTICI: Automatic Brain Tissue Reperfusion Scoring on 2D DSA Images of Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients

The Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction (TICI) score is an important metric for reperfusion therapy assessment in acute ischemic stroke. It is commonly used as a technical outcome measure after endovascular treatment (EVT). Existing TICI scores are defined in coarse ordinal grades based on visual inspection, leading to inter- and intra-observer variation. In this work, we present autoTICI, an automatic and quantitative TICI scoring method. First, each digital subtraction angiography (DSA) sequence is separated into four phases (non-contrast, arterial, parenchymal and venous phase) using a multi-path convolutional neural network (CNN), which exploits spatio-temporal features. The network also incorporates sequence level label dependencies in the form of a state-transition matrix. Next, a minimum intensity map (MINIP) is computed using the motion corrected arterial and parenchymal frames. On the MINIP image, vessel, perfusion and background pixels are segmented. Finally, we quantify the autoTICI score as the ratio of reperfused pixels after EVT. On a routinely acquired multi-center dataset, the proposed autoTICI shows good correlation with the extended TICI (eTICI) reference with an average area under the curve (AUC) score of 0.81. The AUC score is 0.90 with respect to the dichotomized eTICI. In terms of clinical outcome prediction, we demonstrate that autoTICI is overall comparable to eTICI.Comment: 10 pages; submitted to IEEE TM

Hospital Variation in Time to Endovascular Treatment for Ischemic Stroke:What Is the Optimal Target for Improvement?

Background Time to reperfusion in patients with ischemic stroke is strongly associated with functional outcome and may differ between hospitals and between patients within hospitals. Improvement in time to reperfusion can be guided by between-hospital and within-hospital comparisons and requires insight in specific targets for improvement. We aimed to quantify the variation in door-to-reperfusion time between and within Dutch intervention hospitals and to assess the contribution of different time intervals to this variation. Methods and Results We used data from the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) Registry. The door-to-reperfusion time was subdivided into time intervals, separately for direct patients (door-to-computed tomography, computed tomography-to-computed tomography angiography [CTA], CTA-to-groin, and groin-to-reperfusion times) and for transferred patients (door-to-groin and groin-to-reperfusion times). We used linear mixed models to distinguish the variation in door-to-reperfusion time between hospitals and between patients. The proportional change in variance was used to estimate the amount of variance explained by each time interval. We included 2855 patients of 17 hospitals providing endovascular treatment. Of these patients, 44% arrived directly at an endovascular treatment hospital. The between-hospital variation in door-to-reperfusion time was 9%, and the within-hospital variation was 91%. The contribution of case-mix variables on the variation in door-to-reperfusion time was marginal (2%-7%). Of the between-hospital variation, CTA-to-groin time explained 83%, whereas groin-to-reperfusion time explained 15%. Within-hospital variation was mostly explained by CTA-to-groin time (33%) and groin-to-reperfusion time (42%). Similar results were found for transferred patients. Conclusions Door-to-reperfusion time varies between, but even more within, hospitals providing endovascular treatment for ischemic stroke. Quality of stroke care improvements should not only be guided by between-hospital comparisons, but also aim to reduce variation between patients within a hospital, and should specifically focus on CTA-to-groin time and groin-to-reperfusion time

Improving quality of stroke care through benchmarking center performance:why focusing on outcomes is not enough.

Background: Between-center variation in outcome may offer opportunities to identify variation in quality of care. By intervening on these quality differences, patient outcomes may be improved. However, whether observed differences in outcome reflect the true quality improvement potential is not known for many diseases. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of differences in performance on structure and processes of care, and case-mix on between-center differences in outcome after endovascular treatment (EVT) for ischemic stroke. Methods: In this observational cohort study, ischemic stroke patients who received EVT between 2014 and 2017 in all 17 Dutch EVT-centers were included. Primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale, ranging from 0 (no symptoms) to 6 (death), at 90 days. We used random effect proportional odds regression modelling, to analyze the effect of differences in structure indicators (center volume and year of admission), process indicators (time to treatment and use of general anesthesia) and case-mix, by tracking changes in tau2, which represents the amount of between-center variation in outcome. Results: Three thousand two hundred seventy-nine patients were included. Performance on structure and process indicators varied significantly between EVT-centers (P < 0.001). Predicted probability of good functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 0–2 at 90 days), which can be interpreted as an overall measure of a center’s case-mix, varied significantly between 17 and 50% across centers. The amount of between-center variation (tau2) was estimated at 0.040 in a model only accounting for random variation. This estimate more than doubled after adding case-mix variables (tau2: 0.086) to the model, while a small amount of between-center variation was explained by variation in performance on structure and process indicators (tau2: 0.081 and 0.089, respectively). This indicates that variation in case-mix affects the differences in outcome to a much larger extent. Conclusions: Between-center variation in outcome of ischemic stroke patients mostly reflects differences in case-mix, rather than differences in structure or process of care. Since the latter two capture the real quality improvement potential, these should be used as indicators for comparing center performance. Especially when a strong association exists between those indicators and outcome, as is the case for time to treatment in ischemic stroke

Intravenous Thrombolysis Before Endovascular Treatment in Posterior Circulation Occlusions:A MR CLEAN Registry Study

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) before endovascular treatment (EVT) has been investigated in randomized trials and meta-analyses. These studies mainly concerned anterior circulation occlusions. We aimed to investigate clinical, technical, and safety outcomes of IVT before EVT in posterior circulation occlusions in a nationwide registry. METHODS: Patients were included from the MR CLEAN Registry (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands), a nationwide, prospective, multicenter registry of patients with acute ischemic stroke due to a large intracranial vessel occlusion receiving EVT between 2014 and 2019. All patients with a posterior circulation occlusion were included. Primary outcome was a shift toward better functional outcome on the modified Rankin Scale at 90 days. Secondary outcomes were favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale scores, 0–3), occurrence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhages, successful reperfusion (extended Thrombolysis in Cerebral Ischemia ≥2B), first-attempt successful reperfusion, and mortality at 90 days. Regression analyses with adjustments based on univariable analyses and literature were applied. RESULTS: A total of 248 patients were included, who received either IVT (n=125) or no IVT (n=123) before EVT. Results show no differences in a shift on the modified Rankin Scale (adjusted common odds ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.61–1.76]). Although symptomatic intracranial hemorrhages occurred more often in the IVT group (4.8% versus 2.4%), regression analysis did not show a significant difference (adjusted odds ratio, 1.65 [95% CI, 0.33–8.35]). Successful reperfusion, favorable functional outcome, first-attempt successful reperfusion, and mortality did not differ between patients treated with and without IVT. CONCLUSIONS: We found no significant differences in clinical, technical, and safety outcomes between patients with a large vessel occlusion in the posterior circulation treated with or without IVT before EVT. Our results are in line with the literature on the anterior circulation. GRAPHIC ABSTRACT: A graphic abstract is available for this article.</p

Effect of first pass reperfusion on outcome in patients with posterior circulation ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND: First pass reperfusion (FPR), that is, excellent reperfusion (expanded treatment in cerebral ischemia (eTICI) 2C-3) in one pass, after endovascular treatment (EVT) of an occluded artery in the anterior circulation, is associated with favorable clinical outcome, even when compared with multiple pass excellent reperfusion (MPR). In patients with posterior circulation ischemic stroke (PCS), the same association is expected, but currently unknown. We aimed to assess characteristics associated with FPR and the influence of FPR versus MPR on outcomes in patients with PCS. METHODS: We used data from the MR CLEAN Registry, a prospective observational study. The effect of FPR on 24-hour National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, as percentage reduction, and on modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores at 3 months, was tested with linear and ordinal logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of 224 patients with PCS, 45 patients had FPR, 47 had MPR, and 90 had no excellent reperfusion (eTICI <2C). We did not find an association between any of the patient, imaging, or treatment characteristics and FPR. FPR was associated with better NIHSS (-45% (95% CI: -65% to -12%)) and better mRS scores (adjusted common odds ratio (acOR): 2.16 (95% CI: 1.23 to 3.79)) compared with no FPR. Outcomes after FPR were also more favorable compared with MPR, but the effect was smaller and not statistically significant (NIHSS: -14% (95% CI: -51% to 49%), mRS acOR: 1.50 (95% CI: 0.75 to 3.00)). CONCLUSIONS: FPR in patients with PCS is associated with favorable clinical outcome in comparison with no FPR. In comparison with MPR, the effect of FPR was no longer statistically significant. Nevertheless, our data support the notion that FPR should be the treatment target to pursue in every patient treated with EVT