447 research outputs found

    The Future Theater-Level Model: A Research Project Update

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    Proceedings of the 1994 Winter Simulation Conference ed. J. D. Tew, S. Manivannan, D. A. Sadowski, and A. F. SeilaResearch has been conducted at the Naval Postgraduate School into new methodologies for joint theater-level combat simulation modeling, emphasizing C3I, operational intelligence, decisionmaking under uncertainty, and aggregated stochastic process modeling. Research outcomes to date as well as a prototype software tool are described in this paper

    Modeling and analysis of uncertain time-critical tasking problems

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    Naval Research Logistics, 53 , No. 6, (Sept. 2006), 588-599.This paper describes modeling and operational analysis of a generic asymmetric services-system situation in which (a) Red agents, potentially threatening, but in another but important interpretation, are isolated friendlies, such as downed pilots, that require assistance and "arrive" according to some partially known and potentially changing pattern in time and space: and (b) Reds have effectively limited unknown deadlines or times of availability for Blue service, i.e., detection, classification, and attack in a military setting or emergency assistance in others. We discuss various service options by Blue service agents and devise several approximations allowing one to compute efficiently those proportions of tasks of different classes that are successfully serviced, or more generally, if different rewards are associated with different classes of tasks, the percentage of the possible reward gained. We suggest heuristic policies of a Blue server to select the next task to perform and to decide how much time to allocate to that service. We discuss this for a number of specific examples

    Data analysis and modeling of Arctic sea ice subsurface roughness

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    Statistical data analysis and models are used to characterize and summarize the roughness of the underside of sea ice in the Arctic. Keel spacings and depths are modeled by sculptured exponentials, and by gamma distributions. The data studied was obtained by upward looking sonar on the submarine GURNARD during April, 1976, in the Beaufort Sea. The models and methods should be more widely applicablesupported in part by the Naval Postgraduate School Foundation Research Program and by the Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA.http://archive.org/details/dataanalysismode00gaveN0001482WR20043N
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