4 research outputs found
Using machine learning to improve risk prediction in durable left ventricular assist devices.
Risk models have historically displayed only moderate predictive performance in estimating mortality risk in left ventricular assist device therapy. This study evaluated whether machine learning can improve risk prediction for left ventricular assist devices. Primary durable left ventricular assist devices reported in the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support between March 1, 2006 and December 31, 2016 were included. The study cohort was randomly divided 3:1 into training and testing sets. Logistic regression and machine learning models (extreme gradient boosting) were created in the training set for 90-day and 1-year mortality and their performance was evaluated after bootstrapping with 1000 replications in the testing set. Differences in model performance were also evaluated in cases of concordance versus discordance in predicted risk between logistic regression and extreme gradient boosting as defined by equal size patient tertiles. A total of 16,120 patients were included. Calibration metrics were comparable between logistic regression and extreme gradient boosting. C-index was improved with extreme gradient boosting (90-day: 0.707 [0.683-0.730] versus 0.740 [0.717-0.762] and 1-year: 0.691 [0.673-0.710] versus 0.714 [0.695-0.734]; each p<0.001). Net reclassification index analysis similarly demonstrated an improvement of 48.8% and 36.9% for 90-day and 1-year mortality, respectively, with extreme gradient boosting (each p<0.001). Concordance in predicted risk between logistic regression and extreme gradient boosting resulted in substantially improved c-index for both logistic regression and extreme gradient boosting (90-day logistic regression 0.536 versus 0.752, 1-year logistic regression 0.555 versus 0.726, 90-day extreme gradient boosting 0.623 versus 0.772, 1-year extreme gradient boosting 0.613 versus 0.742, each p<0.001). These results demonstrate that machine learning can improve risk model performance for durable left ventricular assist devices, both independently and as an adjunct to logistic regression
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Genome-Wide Association Study of Chronic Dizziness in the Elderly Identifies Loci Implicating MLLT10, BPTF, LINC01224, and ROS1
PurposeChronic age-related imbalance is a common cause of falls and subsequent death in the elderly and can arise from dysfunction of the vestibular system, an elegant neuroanatomical group of pathways that mediates human perception of acceleration, gravity, and angular head motion. Studies indicate that 27-46% of the risk of age-related chronic imbalance is genetic; nevertheless, the underlying genes remain unknown.MethodsThe cohort consisted of 50,339 cases and 366,900 controls in the Million Veteran Program. The phenotype comprised cases with two ICD diagnoses of vertigo or dizziness at least 6 months apart, excluding acute or recurrent vertiginous syndromes and other non-vestibular disorders. Genome-wide association studies were performed as individual logistic regressions on European, African American, and Hispanic ancestries followed by trans-ancestry meta-analysis. Downstream analysis included case-case-GWAS, fine mapping, probabilistic colocalization of significant variants and genes with eQTLs, and functional analysis of significant hits.ResultsTwo significant loci were identified in Europeans, another in the Hispanic population, and two additional in trans-ancestry meta-analysis, including three novel loci. Fine mapping revealed credible sets of intronic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in MLLT10 - a histone methyl transferase cofactor, BPTF - a subunit of a nucleosome remodeling complex implicated in neurodevelopment, and LINC01224 - a proto-oncogene receptor tyrosine kinase.ConclusionDespite the difficulties of phenotyping the nature of chronic imbalance, we replicated two loci from previous vertigo GWAS studies and identified three novel loci. Findings suggest candidates for further study and ultimate treatment of this common elderly disorder