Existence of an endogenously complete equilibrium driven by a diffusion

The existence of complete Radner equilibria is established in an economy which parameters are driven by a diffusion process. Our results complement those in the literature. In particular, we work under essentially minimal regularity conditions and treat time-inhomogeneous case.Comment: minor changes to make it identical to the version accepted by Finance and Stochastic

Stability and analytic expansions of local solutions of systems of quadratic BSDEs with applications to a price impact model

We obtain stability estimates and derive analytic expansions for local solutions of multi-dimensional quadratic BSDEs. We apply these results to a financial model where the prices of risky assets are quoted by a representative dealer in such a way that it is optimal to meet an exogenous demand. We show that the prices are stable under the demand process and derive their analytic expansions for small risk aversion coefficients of the dealer.Comment: Final version, 28 page

Density of the set of probability measures with the martingale representation property

Let $\psi$ be a multi-dimensional random variable. We show that the set of probability measures $\mathbb{Q}$ such that the $\mathbb{Q}$-martingale $S^{\mathbb{Q}}_t=\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}\left[\psi\lvert\mathcal{F}_{t}\right]$ has the Martingale Representation Property (MRP) is either empty or dense in $\mathcal{L}_\infty$-norm. The proof is based on a related result involving analytic fields of terminal conditions $(\psi(x))_{x\in U}$ and probability measures $(\mathbb{Q}(x))_{x\in U}$ over an open set $U$. Namely, we show that the set of points $x\in U$ such that $S_t(x) = \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}(x)}\left[\psi(x)\lvert\mathcal{F}_{t}\right]$ does not have the MRP, either coincides with $U$ or has Lebesgue measure zero. Our study is motivated by the problem of endogenous completeness in financial economics.Comment: 24 pages, forthcoming in Annals of Probabilit

A system of quadratic BSDEs arising in a price impact model

We consider a financial model where the prices of risky assets are quoted by a representative market maker who takes into account an exogenous demand. We characterize these prices in terms of a system of BSDEs with quadratic growth. We show that this system admits a unique solution for every bounded demand if and only if the market maker's risk-aversion is sufficiently small. The uniqueness is established in the natural class of solutions, without any additional norm restrictions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that proves such (global) uniqueness result for a system of fully coupled quadratic BSDEs.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/15-AAP1103 in the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Muckenhoupt's (Ap)(A_p) condition and the existence of the optimal martingale measure

In the problem of optimal investment with utility function defined on $(0,\infty)$, we formulate sufficient conditions for the dual optimizer to be a uniformly integrable martingale. Our key requirement consists of the existence of a martingale measure whose density process satisfies the probabilistic Muckenhoupt $(A_p)$ condition for the power $p=1/(1-a)$, where $a\in (0,1)$ is a lower bound on the relative risk-aversion of the utility function. We construct a counterexample showing that this $(A_p)$ condition is sharp.Comment: 24 page

Sensitivity analysis of utility-based prices and risk-tolerance wealth processes

In the general framework of a semimartingale financial model and a utility function $U$ defined on the positive real line, we compute the first-order expansion of marginal utility-based prices with respect to a ``small'' number of random endowments. We show that this linear approximation has some important qualitative properties if and only if there is a risk-tolerance wealth process. In particular, they hold true in the following polar cases: \begin{tabular}@p97mm@ for any utility function $U$, if and only if the set of state price densities has a greatest element from the point of view of second-order stochastic dominance;for any financial model, if and only if $U$ is a power utility function ($U$ is an exponential utility function if it is defined on the whole real line). \end{tabular}Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/105051606000000529 in the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

On the two-times differentiability of the value functions in the problem of optimal investment in incomplete markets

We study the two-times differentiability of the value functions of the primal and dual optimization problems that appear in the setting of expected utility maximization in incomplete markets. We also study the differentiability of the solutions to these problems with respect to their initial values. We show that the key conditions for the results to hold true are that the relative risk aversion coefficient of the utility function is uniformly bounded away from zero and infinity, and that the prices of traded securities are sigma-bounded under the num\'{e}raire given by the optimal wealth process.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/105051606000000259 in the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

An optimal transport problem with backward martingale constraints motivated by insider trading

We study a single-period optimal transport problem on $\mathbb{R}^2$ with a covariance-type cost function $c(x,y) = (x_1-y_1)(x_2-y_2)$ and a backward martingale constraint. We show that a transport plan $\gamma$ is optimal if and only if there is a maximal monotone set $G$ that supports the $x$-marginal of $\gamma$ and such that $c(x,y) = \min_{z\in G}c(z,y)$ for every $(x,y)$ in the support of $\gamma$. We obtain sharp regularity conditions for the uniqueness of an optimal plan and for its representation in terms of a map. Our study is motivated by a variant of the classical Kyle model of insider trading from Rochet and Vila (1994).Comment: 46 page