Unit commitment for systems with significant wind penetration

The stochastic nature of wind alters the unit commitment and dispatch problem. By accounting for this uncertainty when scheduling the system, more robust schedules are produced, which should, on average, reduce expected costs. In this paper, the effects of stochastic wind and load on the unit commitment and dispatch of power systems with high levels of wind power are examined. By comparing the costs, planned operation and performance of the schedules produced, it is shown that stochastic optimization results in less costly, of the order of 0.25%, and better performing schedules than deterministic optimization. The impact of planning the system more frequently to account for updated wind and load forecasts is then examined. More frequent planning means more up to date forecasts are used, which reduces the need for reserve and increases performance of the schedules. It is shown that mid merit and peaking units and the interconnection are the most affected parts of the system where uncertainty of wind is concernedpower generation dispatch; power system economics; stochastic systems; wind power generation

Mobile Sensing Platform: Final Project Report

The Mobile Sensing Platform Team presents their final project report for the senior design project to create a mobile sensing platform for Dr. Nickels’ autonomy efforts. The sensing bed, or rover, is designed for mobility in extreme conditions in order to carry a payload of sensors and other equipment capable of collecting data into areas too dangerous for humans. The first step in achieving this goal was to create a prototype with functioning control and motor systems. As such, our design will operate using a control system that will be easily replaced for a more complicated computer. Our team has been tasked with creating a rover (or mobile sensing platform) with the ability to navigate 30 degree inclines, a step of 25 cm, and a payload of 50 kg, similar to the weight of the sensors that a typical rover might carry. To meet these requirements, the following subsystems were designed: chassis, legs, motor assembly, power distribution, and control system. Recent changes to the composition of the group and several other external setbacks such as the winter storm and COVID-19 restrictions have hindered progress, and thus, production of this prototype has been delayed, with the remaining work to be completed by a future team. The designed chassis and legs all withstood the required weight of the rover and payload of over 150 kg. The motor assembly was capable of supplying the necessary torque to ascend the hill, but struggled in dynamic tests under changing speeds and directions. While the power distribution system was delayed, the topology for the motor control was designed. Lastly the control system, which included the wireless controller, was manufactured and assembled, but never fully tested with the power distribution. Overall, the mobile sensing platform team successfully identified the necessary design specifications to complete the prototype, but was unfortunately unable to finish manufacturing all of these designed subsystems. We learned so much over the course of this project, and while we wish we had been able to complete the rover as designed, we are proud of what we accomplished given the changing circumstances. The final project report to follow will detail the completed design of the rover and the design solutions engineered to meet our project requirements

Unit Commitment for Systems With Significant Wind Penetration

The stochastic nature of wind alters the unit commitment and dispatch problem. By accounting for this uncertainty when scheduling the system, more robust schedules are produced, which should, on average, reduce expected costs. In this paper, the effects of stochastic wind and load on the unit commitment and dispatch of power systems with high levels of wind power are examined. By comparing the costs, planned operation and performance of the schedules produced, it is shown that stochastic optimization results in less costly, of the order of 0.25%, and better performing schedules than deterministic optimization. The impact of planning the system more frequently to account for updated wind and load forecasts is then examined. More frequent planning means more up to date forecasts are used, which reduces the need for reserve and increases performance of the schedules. It is shown that mid-merit and peaking units and the interconnection are the most affected parts of the system where uncertainty of wind is concerned.Science Foundation IrelandElectricity Research Centre (ERC) Industry Memberske SB. 26/7/1

Safety, immunogenicity, and reactogenicity of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccines given as fourth-dose boosters following two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 or BNT162b2 and a third dose of BNT162b2 (COV-BOOST): a multicentre, blinded, phase 2, randomised trial

Background Some high-income countries have deployed fourth doses of COVID-19 vaccines, but the clinical need, effectiveness, timing, and dose of a fourth dose remain uncertain. We aimed to investigate the safety, reactogenicity, and immunogenicity of fourth-dose boosters against COVID-19.Methods The COV-BOOST trial is a multicentre, blinded, phase 2, randomised controlled trial of seven COVID-19 vaccines given as third-dose boosters at 18 sites in the UK. This sub-study enrolled participants who had received BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) as their third dose in COV-BOOST and randomly assigned them (1:1) to receive a fourth dose of either BNT162b2 (30 µg in 0·30 mL; full dose) or mRNA-1273 (Moderna; 50 µg in 0·25 mL; half dose) via intramuscular injection into the upper arm. The computer-generated randomisation list was created by the study statisticians with random block sizes of two or four. Participants and all study staff not delivering the vaccines were masked to treatment allocation. The coprimary outcomes were safety and reactogenicity, and immunogenicity (antispike protein IgG titres by ELISA and cellular immune response by ELISpot). We compared immunogenicity at 28 days after the third dose versus 14 days after the fourth dose and at day 0 versus day 14 relative to the fourth dose. Safety and reactogenicity were assessed in the per-protocol population, which comprised all participants who received a fourth-dose booster regardless of their SARS-CoV-2 serostatus. Immunogenicity was primarily analysed in a modified intention-to-treat population comprising seronegative participants who had received a fourth-dose booster and had available endpoint data. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, 73765130, and is ongoing.Findings Between Jan 11 and Jan 25, 2022, 166 participants were screened, randomly assigned, and received either full-dose BNT162b2 (n=83) or half-dose mRNA-1273 (n=83) as a fourth dose. The median age of these participants was 70·1 years (IQR 51·6–77·5) and 86 (52%) of 166 participants were female and 80 (48%) were male. The median interval between the third and fourth doses was 208·5 days (IQR 203·3–214·8). Pain was the most common local solicited adverse event and fatigue was the most common systemic solicited adverse event after BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 booster doses. None of three serious adverse events reported after a fourth dose with BNT162b2 were related to the study vaccine. In the BNT162b2 group, geometric mean anti-spike protein IgG concentration at day 28 after the third dose was 23 325 ELISA laboratory units (ELU)/mL (95% CI 20 030–27 162), which increased to 37 460 ELU/mL (31 996–43 857) at day 14 after the fourth dose, representing a significant fold change (geometric mean 1·59, 95% CI 1·41–1·78). There was a significant increase in geometric mean anti-spike protein IgG concentration from 28 days after the third dose (25 317 ELU/mL, 95% CI 20 996–30 528) to 14 days after a fourth dose of mRNA-1273 (54 936 ELU/mL, 46 826–64 452), with a geometric mean fold change of 2·19 (1·90–2·52). The fold changes in anti-spike protein IgG titres from before (day 0) to after (day 14) the fourth dose were 12·19 (95% CI 10·37–14·32) and 15·90 (12·92–19·58) in the BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 groups, respectively. T-cell responses were also boosted after the fourth dose (eg, the fold changes for the wild-type variant from before to after the fourth dose were 7·32 [95% CI 3·24–16·54] in the BNT162b2 group and 6·22 [3·90–9·92] in the mRNA-1273 group).Interpretation Fourth-dose COVID-19 mRNA booster vaccines are well tolerated and boost cellular and humoral immunity. Peak responses after the fourth dose were similar to, and possibly better than, peak responses after the third dose

Operating the Irish power system with increased levels of wind power

Paper presented at the 2008 PES General Meeting, July 20-24, 2008, Pittsburgh, PennsylvaniaThis paper summarises some of the main impacts of large amounts of wind power installed in the island of Ireland. Using results from various studies performed on this system, it is shown that wind power will impact on all time frames, from seconds to daily planning of the system operation. Results from studies examining operation of the system with up to approximately 40% of electricity provided by wind show that some of the most important aspects to be considered include the type of wind turbine technology, the provision of reserve to accommodate wind forecasting error and the method used to plan plant schedules.Science Foundation IrelandConference websitehttp://ewh.ieee.org/cmte/PESGM08/Charles Parsons Energy Research AwardsCharles Parso

Rolling unit commitment for systems with significant installed wind capacity

Paper presented at IEEE Power Tech 2007, 1-5 July, 2007, Lausanne, SwitzerlandAs wind power penetration grows, the amount of reserve needed on the system also grows, due to the increases in the uncertainty of wind power, which grows larger as forecast horizon increases. By scheduling the system more often the amount of extra reserve to be carried to cater for wind uncertainty decreases, depending on the flexibility of plant on the system. This reduces the costs of operating the system. There is a trade off between reduced costs due to more frequent commitment, the ability of wind forecasts to be made more accurately, and the increased costs of more flexible plant. This paper examines the benefits of committing the system more frequently, and how different factors such as reliability of the system, accuracy of the forecasts and plant mix impact on this.Science Foundation IrelandConference detailshttp://www.ewh.ieee.org/conf/powertech/Charles Parsons Energy Research AwardsCharles Parson ti, pe, la, ab, ke - kpw9/11/1

Rolling unit commitment for systems with significant installed wind capacity

Paper presented at IEEE Power Tech 2007, 1-5 July, 2007, Lausanne, SwitzerlandAs wind power penetration grows, the amount of reserve needed on the system also grows, due to the increases in the uncertainty of wind power, which grows larger as forecast horizon increases. By scheduling the system more often the amount of extra reserve to be carried to cater for wind uncertainty decreases, depending on the flexibility of plant on the system. This reduces the costs of operating the system. There is a trade off between reduced costs due to more frequent commitment, the ability of wind forecasts to be made more accurately, and the increased costs of more flexible plant. This paper examines the benefits of committing the system more frequently, and how different factors such as reliability of the system, accuracy of the forecasts and plant mix impact on this.Science Foundation IrelandConference detailshttp://www.ewh.ieee.org/conf/powertech/Charles Parsons Energy Research AwardsCharles Parson ti, pe, la, ab, ke - kpw9/11/1

Estimating the electricity prices, generation costs and CO2 emissions of large scale wind energy exports from Ireland to Great Britain

The share of wind generation in the Irish and British electricity markets is set to increase by 2020 due to renewable energy (RE) targets. The United Kingdom (UK) and Ireland have set ambitious targets which require 30% and 40% of electricity demand to come from RE, mainly wind, by 2020, respectively. Ireland has sufficient indigenous onshore wind energy resources to exceed the RE target, while the UK faces uncertainty in achieving its target. A possible solution for the UK is to import RE directly from large scale onshore and offshore wind energy projects in Ireland; this possibility has recently been explored by both governments but is currently on hold. Thus, the aim of this paper is to estimate the effects of large scale wind energy in the Irish and British electricity markets in terms of wholesale system marginal prices, total generation costs and CO2 emissions. The results indicate when the large scale Irish-based wind energy projects are connected directly to the UK there is a decrease of 0.6% and 2% in the Irish and British wholesale system marginal prices under the UK National Grid slow progression scenario, respectively

Developments in energy technology and policy research

U21 International Conference on Energy Technologies and Policy, Birmingham, 8-10 September 2008Science Foundation IrelandOther funderCharles Parsons Energy Research Award