On the Long-Run Relationship between Population and Economic Growth: Some Time Series Evidence for Developing Countries

This paper focuses on the relationship between population growth and economic growth in many developing countries. Our results from the Johansen cointegration test and error-correction models are supportive of Simon's (1989) theory that population growth and economic growth exhibit a potent long-run (rather than a short-run) relationship across countries. The results further suggest that population expansion positively contributes to economic development in the majority of the countries examined. However, causality inferences are not uniform across countries and the results appear sensitive to the particular stage of economic development.Developing Countries; Development; Economic Growth; Growth; Population

Financial progress and the stability of long-run money demand: Implications for the conduct of monetary policy in emerging economies

This paper examines whether recent financial changes in three emerging market economies in the Gulf region (Bahrain, the UAE, and Qatar) have distorted the character and the stability of their underlying long-run money demand relations. Money demand instability prompts concerns about the appropriateness of targeting monetary aggregates and could weaken the presumed link between monetary policy and its ultimate objectives. Our results suggest that the quick pace of financial changes in the three emerging market economies did not cause undue shifts in their equilibrium money demand relations. Further evidence from direct tests of cointegration stability indicates the superiority of targeting M1 in the UAE and M2 for Qatar. In Bahrain, both M1 and M2 prove equally appropriate to guide monetary policy. Thus, despite the wave of financial developments that have recently swept the three Gulf economies, the evidence suggests that monetary authorities in these countries should maintain a close watch on monetary growth as a principal policy guide

Price–volume relations of DAX companies

DAX companies, Stock returns, Trading volume, Contemporaneous and dynamic relations, Tail dependencies, C32, G14,

The Fractal Structure of Real Estate Investment Trust Returns: The Search for Evidence of Market Segmentation and Nonlinear Dependency

This article presents a further test for market segmentation between the real estate market and the capital markets. We use rescaled range analysis developed in the fractal geometry literature to test for nonlinear trends in the returns series for different asset classes. We make three major conclusions: (1) the stock market displays tendencies consistent with a random walk, (2) portfolios of mortgage and equity REIT returns display tendencies consistent with a random walk and, (3) conditional upon the methods used, segmentation does not exist between different real estate markets and between the real estate and stock markets. Copyright American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association.