Decomposition of Natural Catastrophe Risks: Insurability Using Parametric CAT Bonds

status: publishe

Submesoscale Fronts in the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone and Their Response to Wind Forcing

Submesoscale flows in the ocean are energetic motions, O(1–10 km), that influence stratification and the distributions of properties, such as heat and carbon. They are believed to play an important role in sea‐ice‐impacted oceans by modulating air‐sea‐ice fluxes and sea‐ice extent. The intensity of these flows and their response to wind forcing are unobserved in the sea‐ice regions of the Southern Ocean. We present the first submesoscale‐resolving observations in the Antarctic marginal ice zone (MIZ) collected by surface and underwater autonomous vehicles, for >3 months in austral summer. We observe salinity‐dominated lateral density fronts occurring at sub‐kilometer scales. Surface winds are shown to modify the magnitude of the mixed‐layer density fronts, revealing strongly coupled atmosphere‐ocean processes. We posture that these wind‐front interactions occur as a continuous interplay between front slumping and vertical mixing, which leads to the dispersion of submesoscale fronts. Such processes are expected to be ubiquitous in the Southern Ocean MIZ

Submesoscale Fronts in the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone and Their Response to Wind Forcing

Submesoscale flows in the ocean are energetic motions, O(1–10 km), that influence stratification and the distributions of properties, such as heat and carbon. They are believed to play an important role in sea‐ice‐impacted oceans by modulating air‐sea‐ice fluxes and sea‐ice extent. The intensity of these flows and their response to wind forcing are unobserved in the sea‐ice regions of the Southern Ocean. We present the first submesoscale‐resolving observations in the Antarctic marginal ice zone (MIZ) collected by surface and underwater autonomous vehicles, for >3 months in austral summer. We observe salinity‐dominated lateral density fronts occurring at sub‐kilometer scales. Surface winds are shown to modify the magnitude of the mixed‐layer density fronts, revealing strongly coupled atmosphere‐ocean processes. We posture that these wind‐front interactions occur as a continuous interplay between front slumping and vertical mixing, which leads to the dispersion of submesoscale fronts. Such processes are expected to be ubiquitous in the Southern Ocean MIZ

Psychopathological and Neurobiological Overlap Between Anorexia Nervosa and Self-Injurious Behavior: A Narrative Review and Conceptual Hypotheses

Empirical evidence and clinical observations suggest a strong -yet under acknowledged-link between anorexia nervosa (AN) and non-suicidal self-injurious behavior (NSSI). By reviewing the literature on the psychopathology and neurobiology of AN and NSSI, we shed light on their relationship. Both AN and NSSI are characterized by disturbances in affect regulation, dysregulation of the reward circuitry and the opioid system. By formulating a reward-centered hypothesis, we explain the overlap between AN and NSSI. We propose three approaches understanding the relationship between AN and NSSI, which integrate psychopathology and neurobiology from the perspective of self-destructiveness: (1) a nosographical approach, (2) a research domain (RDoC) approach and (3) a network analysis approach. These approaches will enhance our knowledge of the underlying neurobiological substrates and may provide groundwork for the development of new treatment options for disorders of self-destructiveness, like AN and NSSI. In conclusion, we hypothesize that self-destructiveness is a new, DSM-5-transcending concept or psychopathological entity that is reward-driven, and that both AN and NSSI could be conceptualized as disorders of self-destructiveness

Regulatory limits for pesticide residues in water (IUPAC Technical Report)

National governments introduced residue limits and guideline levels forpesticide residues in water when policies were implemented to minimize the con-tamination of ground and surface waters. Initially, the main attention was given todrinking water.Regulatory limits for pesticide residues in waters should have the followingcharacteristics: definition of the type of water, definition of the residue, a suitableanalytical method for the residues, and explanation for the basis for each limit. Limits may be derived by applying a safety factor to a no-effect-level, orfrom levels occurring when good practices are followed and also passing a safetyassessment, or from the detection limit of an analytical method, or directly by leg-islative decision

Semi-automatic standardized analysis method to objectively evaluate near-infrared fluorescent dyes in image-guided surgery

Significance: Near-infrared fluorescence imaging still lacks a standardized, objective method to evaluate fluorescent dye efficacy in oncological surgical applications. This results in difficulties in translation between preclinical to clinical studies with fluorescent dyes and in the reproduction of results between studies, which in turn hampers further clinical translation of novel fluorescent dyes. Aim: Our aim is to develop and evaluate a semi-automatic standardized method to objectively assess fluorescent signals in resected tissue. Approach: A standardized imaging procedure was designed and quantitative analysis methods were developed to evaluate non-targeted and tumor-targeted fluorescent dyes. The developed analysis methods included manual selection of region of interest (ROI) on white light images, automated fluorescence signal ROI selection, and automatic quantitative image analysis. The proposed analysis method was then compared with a conventional analysis method, where fluorescence signal ROIs were manually selected on fluorescence images. Dice similarity coefficients and intraclass correlation coefficients were calculated to determine the inter- and intraobserver variabilities of the ROI selections and the determined signal- and tumor-to-background ratios. Results: The proposed non-targeted fluorescent dyes analysis method showed statistically significantly improved variabilities after application on indocyanine green specimens. For specimens with the targeted dye SGM-101, the variability of the background ROI selection was statistically significantly improved by implementing the proposed method. Conclusion: Semi-automatic methods for standardized quantitative analysis of fluorescence images were successfully developed and showed promising results to further improve the reproducibility and standardization of clinical studies evaluating fluorescent dyes.</p

Semi-automatic standardized analysis method to objectively evaluate near-infrared fluorescent dyes in image-guided surgery

Significance: Near-infrared fluorescence imaging still lacks a standardized, objective method to evaluate fluorescent dye efficacy in oncological surgical applications. This results in difficulties in translation between preclinical to clinical studies with fluorescent dyes and in the reproduction of results between studies, which in turn hampers further clinical translation of novel fluorescent dyes. Aim: Our aim is to develop and evaluate a semi-automatic standardized method to objectively assess fluorescent signals in resected tissue. Approach: A standardized imaging procedure was designed and quantitative analysis methods were developed to evaluate non-targeted and tumor-targeted fluorescent dyes. The developed analysis methods included manual selection of region of interest (ROI) on white light images, automated fluorescence signal ROI selection, and automatic quantitative image analysis. The proposed analysis method was then compared with a conventional analysis method, where fluorescence signal ROIs were manually selected on fluorescence images. Dice similarity coefficients and intraclass correlation coefficients were calculated to determine the inter- and intraobserver variabilities of the ROI selections and the determined signal- and tumor-to-background ratios. Results: The proposed non-targeted fluorescent dyes analysis method showed statistically significantly improved variabilities after application on indocyanine green specimens. For specimens with the targeted dye SGM-101, the variability of the background ROI selection was statistically significantly improved by implementing the proposed method. Conclusion: Semi-automatic methods for standardized quantitative analysis of fluorescence images were successfully developed and showed promising results to further improve the reproducibility and standardization of clinical studies evaluating fluorescent dyes.</p

‘Trendy’ cities: exploring the adoption of different types of social media by Portuguese municipalities

What are the determinants of social media adoption by local government? This ongoing research provides a tentative answer to this question by analysing the 308 municipalities in Portugal. Extending previous analyses of Facebook and/or Twitter usage levels, we examine why local governments adopt a particular social media platform. More concretely, we explore, with statistical analyses, the determinants of the adoption of different types of social media. We investigate the adoption of three extremely popular social media (i.e. Facebook, Twitter and YouTube) as well as possible alternatives to those, more popular, applications. Since these platforms have distinct natures and can serve diverse purposes, we examine to what extent aspects such as local government’s commitment to transparency and participation, administrative capacity, media landscape, and socio-demographic and economic factors can explain the adoption of certain social media platforms. The results show that, indeed, demographic characteristics and administrative capacity are important factors for the adoption of less popular social media. Surprisingly, we also observe a geographical difference in municipalities’ social media adoption, with the south, in this regard, being ‘trendier’, or more innovative, than the north.This paper is a result of the project “SmartEGOV: Harnessing EGOV for Smart Governance (Foundations, methods, Tools)/NORTE-01-0145-FEDER-000037”, supported by Norte Portugal Regional Operational Programme (NORTE 2020), under the PORTUGAL 2020 Partnership Agreement, through the European Regional Development Fund (EFDR). António Tavares acknowledges the financial support of the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology and the Portuguese Ministry of Education and Science through national funds [Grant No. UID/CPO/0758/2019]

⁸⁹Zr-Trastuzumab PET/CT Imaging of HER2-Positive Breast Cancer for Predicting Pathological Complete Response after Neoadjuvant Systemic Therapy:A Feasibility Study

Background: Approximately 20% of invasive ductal breast malignancies are human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive. These patients receive neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NAT) including HER2-targeting therapies. Up to 65% of patients achieve a pathological complete response (pCR). These patients might not have needed surgery. However, accurate preoperative identification of a pCR remains challenging. A radiologic complete response (rCR) on MRI corresponds to a pCR in only 73% of patients. The current feasibility study investigates if HER2-targeted PET/CT-imaging using Zirconium-89 (89Zr)-radiolabeled trastuzumab can be used for more accurate NAT response evaluation. Methods: HER2-positive breast cancer patients scheduled to undergo NAT and subsequent surgery received a 89Zr-trastuzumab PET/CT both before (PET/CT-1) and after (PET/CT-2) NAT. Qualitative and quantitative response evaluation was performed. Results: Six patients were enrolled. All primary tumors could be identified on PET/CT-1. Four patients had a pCR and two a pathological partial response (pPR) in the primary tumor. Qualitative assessment of PET/CT resulted in an accuracy of 66.7%, compared to 83.3% of the standard-of-care MRI. Quantitative assessment showed a difference between the SUVR on PET/CT-1 and PET/CT-2 (ΔSUVR) in patients with a pPR and pCR of −48% and −90% (p = 0.133), respectively. The difference in tumor-to-blood ratio on PET/CT-1 and PET/CT-2 (ΔTBR) in patients with pPR and pCR was −79% and −94% (p = 0.133), respectively. Three patients had metastatic lymph nodes at diagnosis that were all identified on PET/CT-1. All three patients achieved a nodal pCR. Qualitative assessment of the lymph nodes with PET/CT resulted in an accuracy of 66.7%, compared to 50% of the MRI. Conclusions: NAT response evaluation using 89Zr-trastuzumab PET/CT is feasible. In the current study, qualitative assessment of the PET/CT images is not superior to standard-of-care MRI. Our results suggest that quantitative assessment of 89Zr-trastuzumab PET/CT has potential for a more accurate response evaluation of the primary tumor after NAT in HER2-positive breast cancer.</p