13 research outputs found

    Sensitivity analysis: an aid for belief-network quantification

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    Using sensitivity analysis for efficient quantification of a belief network

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    Departing Wotan (John Brocheler) in his office, act II scene 2 of Die Walküre, the second of the four operas of Wagner's Ring des nibelungen cycle, at the State Opera of South Australia 2004 [picture] /

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    Title devised by photographer and cataloguer from acquisition documentation.; Part of the collection: The State Opera of South Australia's production of Der Ring des Nibelungen.; Photograph signed and dated by photographer in pencil lower right.; Also available in an electronic version via the Internet at: http://nla.gov.au/nla.pic-vn4267456; Donated through the Australian Government's Cultural Gifts Program by Michael Scott-Mitchell, 2007

    Can patient-reported profiles avoid unnecessary referral to a spine surgeon? An observational study to further develop the Nijmegen Decision Tool for Chronic Low Back Pain

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    Contains fulltext : 195573.pdf (publisher's version ) (Open Access)INTRODUCTION: Chronic Low Back Pain (CLBP) is a heterogeneous condition with lack of diagnostic clarity. Therapeutic interventions show small effects. To improve outcomes by targeting interventions it is recommended to develop a triage system to surgical and non-surgical treatments based on treatment outcomes. The objective of the current study was to develop and internally validate prognostic models based on pre-treatment patient-reported profiles that identify patients who either respond or do not respond to two frequently performed treatments (lumbar spine surgery and multidisciplinary pain management program). METHODS: A consecutive cohort study in a secondary referral spine center was performed. The study followed the recommendations of the PROGRESS framework and was registered in the Dutch Trial Register (NTR5946). Data of forty-seven potential pre-consultation (baseline) indicators predicting 'response' or 'non-response' at one-year follow-up for the two treatments were obtained to develop and validate four multivariable logistic regression models. The source population consisted of 3,410 referred CLBP-patients. Two treatment cohorts were defined: elective 'spine surgery' (n = 217 [6.4%]) and multidisciplinary bio-psychosocial 'pain management program' (n = 171 [5.0%]). Main inclusion criteria were age >/=18, CLBP (>/=6 months), and not responding to primary care treatment. The primary outcome was functional ability: 'response' (Oswestry Disability Index [ODI] /=41). RESULTS: Baseline indicators predictive of treatment outcome were: degree of disability (all models), >/=2 previous spine surgeries, psychosocial complaints, age (onset 50), and patient expectations of treatment outcomes. The explained variances were low for the models predicting response and non-response to pain management program (R2 respectively 23% and 26%) and modest for surgery (R2 30% and 39%). The overall performance was acceptable (c-index; 0.72-0.83), the model predicting non-response to surgery performed best (R2 = 39%; c-index = 0.83). CONCLUSION: This study was the first to identify different patient-reported profiles that predict response to different treatments for CLBP. The model predicting 'non-response' to elective lumbar spine surgery performed remarkably well, suggesting that referrals of these patients to a spine surgeon could be avoided. After external validation, the patient-reported profiles could potentially enhance timely patient triage to the right secondary care specialist and improve decision-making between clinican and patient. This could lead to improved treatment outcomes, which results in a more efficient use of healthcare resources

    Ultrasound-guided surgery for palpable breast cancer is cost-saving: Results of a cost-benefit analysis

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    Ultrasound-guided surgery (USS) has recently been proven to result in a significant reduction of tumour-involved surgical margins, for patients with palpable invasive breast cancer. The objective of this economic evaluation alongside a randomised trial was to evaluate the costs and benefits of USS compared to palpation-guided surgery (PGS). The hospital perspective was used. On the cost side of the analysis, resource use related to baseline treatment was taken into account and on the benefit side, resource use related to additional treatments was included. On the cost side, the difference in costs per patient was €193 (95% CI €153-€233) with higher costs in the USS group. On the benefit side, the difference in costs per patient was -€349 (95% CI -€591 to -€103) with higher costs in the PGS group. This resulted in a cost decrease of -€154 (95% CI -€388 to €81) in the USS group compared to the PGS group. Intra-operative use of a US system during BCS reduces the rate of tumour-involved margins and thereby the costs of additional treatments. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd
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