Pandemic swine influenza virus: Preparedness planning

The novel H1N1 influenza virus that emerged in humans in Mexico in early 2009 and transmitted efficiently in the human population with global spread was declared a pandemic strain. The introduction of different avian and human influenza virus genes into swine influenza viruses often result in viruses of increased fitness for pigs that occasionally transmit to humans.The novel virus affecting humans is derived from a North American swine influenza virus that has acquired two gene segments (Neuraminidase and Matrix ) from the European swine lineages. This reassortant appears to have increased fitness in humans. The potential for increased virulence in humans and of further reassortment between the novel H1N1 influenza virus and oseltamivir resistant seasonal H1N1 or with highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza stresses the need for urgent pandemic planning.Keywords: Pandemic, swine, influenza, virus, preparedness

Geographical and time trends of measles incidence and measles vaccination coverage and their correlation in Nigeria

Nigeria has one of the highest measles burdens in the world. While measles-containing vaccine is proven to be effective in reducing measles cases, empirical studies on the correlation between measles incidence and measles vaccine coverage in Nigeria has been limited. The aim of this study was to conduct a detailed analysis on measles incidence, measles vaccine coverage, and their correlation between 2012 and 2021. A retrospective observational study was conducted based on the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) data for the measles incidence in each Nigerian state over time, District Health Information System, V.2 (DHIS2) and Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) for the coverage of the first dose of measles containing vaccine (MCV1) over time (2012–2021). We observed the trend of measles incidence and measles vaccine coverage, as well as their correlation. Out of the study period from 2012 to 2021, we found that the majority of measles outbreaks occurred in the northeastern states in recent years after 2019, especially in Borno state, where Boko Haram insurgency has negatively impacted health service delivery, including routine vaccination. We observed a significant negative correlation between measles incidence and measles vaccine coverage across Nigerian states. However, there was no sudden drop in measles vaccine coverage before the recent outbreak in Borno state in 2019, which could be due to various factors other than the overall vaccine coverage