Coronavirus-Pandemie: Wirksame Regeln für Herbst und Winter aufstellen : 6. Ad-hoc-Stellungnahme - 23. September 2020

Wirksame Regeln für Herbst und Winter zur Bekämpfung der Pandemie: Schutzmaßnahmen konsequent einhalten, schnell und gezielt testen, Quarantäne- und Isolationszeiten verkürzen, verantwortungsvolles Handeln erleichtern, soziale und psychische Folgen abmildern

Lagrangian transport simulations using the extreme convection parametrization: an assessment for the ECMWF reanalyses

Atmospheric convection plays a key role in tracer transport from the planetary boundary layer to the free troposphere. Lagrangian transport simulations driven by global meteorological input data such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF's) ERA5 and ERA-Interim reanalysis typically lack proper explicit representations of convective up- and downdrafts because of the limited spatiotemporal resolution of the input data. Lagrangian transport simulations for the troposphere can be improved by applying parametrizations to better represent the effects of unresolved convective transport in the global meteorological reanalysis data. Here, we implemented and assessed the effects of the extreme convection parametrization (ECP) in the Massive Parallel Trajectory Calculations (MPTRAC) model. The ECP is conceptually simple. It requires the convective available potential energy (CAPE) and the height of the equilibrium level (EL) of the meteorological data for input. Assuming that unresolved convective events yield well-mixed vertical columns of air, the ECP randomly redistributes the air parcels vertically between the surface and the EL, if CAPE is present. We analyzed statistics of explicitly resolved and parametrized convective updrafts and found that the frequencies of strong updrafts due to the ECP, i.e., 20 K potential temperature increase over 6 h or more, increase by 2 to 3 orders of magnitude for ERA5 and 3 to 5 orders of magnitude for ERA-Interim compared to the explicitly resolved updrafts. To assess the effects of the ECP on tropospheric tracer transport, we conducted transport simulations for the artificial tracer e90, which is released globally near the surface and has a constant e-folding lifetime of 90 days throughout the atmosphere. The e90 simulations were conducted for the year 2017 with both, ERA5 and ERA-Interim data. Next to sensitivity tests on the choice of the CAPE threshold, an important tuning parameter of the ECP, we suggest a possible improvement of the ECP method, i.e., to take into account the convective inhibition (CIN) indicating the presence of warm, stable layers that prevent convective updrafts in the real atmosphere. While ERA5 has higher spatiotemporal resolution and explicitly resolves more convective updrafts than ERA-Interim, we found there is still a need for both reanalyses to apply a convection parametrization such as the ECP to better represent tracer transport from the planetary boundary layer into the free troposphere on the global scale

Lagrangian transport simulations using the extreme convection parameterization: an assessment for the ECMWF reanalyses

Atmospheric convection plays a key role in tracer transport from the planetary boundary layer to the free troposphere. Lagrangian transport simulations driven by meteorological fields from global models or reanalysis products, such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts' (ECMWF's) ERA5 and ERA-Interim reanalysis, typically lack proper explicit representations of convective updrafts and downdrafts because of the limited spatiotemporal resolution of the meteorology. Lagrangian transport simulations for the troposphere can be improved by applying parameterizations to better represent the effects of unresolved convective transport in the global meteorological reanalyses. Here, we implemented and assessed the effects of the extreme convection parameterization (ECP) in the Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations (MPTRAC) model. The ECP is conceptually simple. It requires the convective available potential energy (CAPE) and the height of the equilibrium level (EL) as input parameters. Assuming that unresolved convective events yield well-mixed vertical columns of air, the ECP randomly redistributes the air parcels vertically between the surface and the EL if CAPE is present. We analyzed statistics of explicitly resolved and parameterized convective updrafts and found that the frequencies of strong updrafts due to the ECP, i.e., 20 K potential temperature increase over 6 h or more, increase by 2 to 3 orders of magnitude for ERA5 and 3 to 5 orders of magnitude for ERA-Interim compared to the explicitly resolved updrafts. To assess the effects of the ECP on tropospheric tracer transport, we conducted transport simulations for the artificial tracer e90, which is released globally near the surface and which has a constant e-folding lifetime of 90 d throughout the atmosphere. The e90 simulations were conducted for the year 2017 with both ERA5 and ERA-Interim. Next to sensitivity tests on the choice of the CAPE threshold, an important tuning parameter of the ECP, we suggest a modification of the ECP method, i.e., to take into account the convective inhibition (CIN) indicating the presence of warm, stable layers that prevent convective updrafts in the real atmosphere. While ERA5 has higher spatiotemporal resolution and explicitly resolves more convective updrafts than ERA-Interim, we found there is still a need for both reanalyses to apply a convection parameterization such as the ECP to better represent tracer transport from the planetary boundary layer into the free troposphere on the global scale

Identification of source regions of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer on the Indian subcontinent in August 2016

The Asian tropopause aerosol layer (ATAL) is a distinct feature during the Asian summer monsoon season with an impact on the regional radiative balance of the Earth's atmosphere. However, the source regions and the detailed transport pathways of ATAL particles are still uncertain. In our study, we investigate transport pathways from different regions at the model boundary (MB) to the ATAL using the two Lagrangian transport models CLaMS (Chemical Lagrangian Model of the Stratosphere) and MPTRAC (Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations), two reanalyses (ERA5 and ERA-Interim), and balloon-borne measurements of the ATAL performed by the Compact Optical Backscatter Aerosol Detector (COBALD) above Nainital (India) in August 2016. Trajectories are initialized at the location of the ATAL, as measured by COBALD in the Himalayas, and calculated 90 days backward in time to investigate the relation between the measured, daily averaged, aerosol backscatter ratio and different source regions at the MB. Nine source regions at the MB are distinguished, marking continental and maritime sources in the region of the Asian monsoon. Different simulation scenarios are performed, to find systematic differences as well as robust patterns, when the reanalysis data, the trajectory model, the vertical coordinate (kinematic and diabatic approach) or the convective parameterisation are varied.While there are many robust features, the simulation scenarios also show some considerable differences between the air mass contributions of different source regions at the MB in the region of the Asian monsoon. The contribution to all air parcels from the MB varied between 5% and 40% for the Indo-Gangetic plain, the contribution from the Tibetan Plateau varied between 30% and 40% and contributions from oceans varied between 14% and 43% for different scenarios. However, the robust finding among all scenarios is that the largest continental air mass contributions originate from the Tibetan plateau and the India subcontinent (mostly the Indo-Gangetic plain), and largest maritime air mass contributions in Asia come from the Western Pacific (e.g. related to tropical cyclones such as typhoons). Additionally, all simulation scenarios indicate that transport of maritime air from the Tropical Western Pacific to the region of the ATAL lowers the backscatter ratio (BSR) of the ATAL, while most scenarios indicate that transport of polluted air from the Indo-Gangetic plain increases the BSR. Therefore, while the results corroborate key findings from previous ERA-Interim based studies, they highlight the variability of the contributions of different MB regions to the ATAL depending on the meteorological input data, vertical velocities and in particular on the treatment of convection within the model calculations

A multi-scenario Lagrangian trajectory analysis to identify source regions of the Asian tropopause aerosol layer on the Indian subcontinent in August 2016

The Asian tropopause aerosol layer (ATAL) is present during the Asian summer monsoon season affecting the radiative balance of the atmosphere. However, the source regions and transport pathways of ATAL particles are still uncertain. Here, we investigate transport pathways from different regions at the model boundary layer (MBL) to the ATAL by combining two Lagrangian transport models (CLaMS, Chemical Lagrangian Model of the Stratosphere; MPTRAC, Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations) with balloon-borne measurements of the ATAL performed by the Compact Optical Backscatter Aerosol Detector (COBALD) above Nainital (India) in August 2016. Trajectories are initialised at the measured location of the ATAL and calculated 90 d backwards in time to investigate the relation between the measured, daily averaged, aerosol backscatter ratio and source regions at the MBL. Different simulation scenarios are performed to find differences and robust patterns when the reanalysis data (ERA5 or ERA-Interim), the trajectory model, the vertical coordinate (kinematic and diabatic approach) or the convective parameterisation are varied. The robust finding among all scenarios is that the largest continental air mass contributions originate from the Tibetan Plateau and the Indian subcontinent (mostly the Indo-Gangetic Plain), and the largest maritime air mass contributions in Asia come from the western Pacific (e.g. related to tropical cyclones). Additionally, all simulation scenarios indicate that the transport of maritime air from the tropical western Pacific to the region of the ATAL lowers the backscatter ratio (BSR) of the ATAL, while most scenarios indicate that the transport of polluted air from the Indo-Gangetic Plain increases the BSR. While the results corroborate key findings from previous ERA-Interim-based studies, they also highlight the variability in the contributions of different MBL regions to the ATAL depending on different simulation scenarios