Global Burden of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in People Living with the Human Immunodeficiency Virus:A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: With advances in antiretroviral therapy, most deaths in people with HIV are now attributable to noncommunicable illnesses, especially cardiovascular disease. We determine the association between HIV and cardiovascular disease, and estimate the national, regional, and global burden of cardiovascular disease attributable to HIV. Methods: We conducted a systematic review across 5 databases from inception to August 2016 for longitudinal studies of cardiovascular disease in HIV infection. A random-effects meta-analysis across 80 studies was used to derive the pooled rate and risk of cardiovascular disease in people living with HIV. We then estimated the temporal changes in the population-attributable fraction and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from HIV-associated cardiovascular disease from 1990 to 2015 at a regional and global level. National cardiovascular DALYs associated with HIV for 2015 were derived for 154 of the 193 United Nations member states. The main outcome measure was the pooled estimate of the rate and risk of cardiovascular disease in people living with HIV and the national, regional, and global estimates of DALYs from cardiovascular disease associated with HIV. Results: In 793 635 people living with HIV and a total follow-up of 3.5 million person-years, the crude rate of cardiovascular disease was 61.8 (95% CI, 45.8–83.4) per 10 000 person-years. In comparison with individuals without HIV, the risk ratio for cardiovascular disease was 2.16 (95% CI, 1.68–2.77). Over the past 26 years, the global population–attributable fraction from cardiovascular disease attributable to HIV increased from 0.36% (95% CI, 0.21%–0.56%) to 0.92% (95% CI, 0.55%–1.41%), and DALYs increased from 0.74 (95% CI, 0.44–1.16) to 2.57 (95% CI, 1.53–3.92) million. There was marked regional variation with most DALYs lost in sub-Saharan Africa (0.87 million, 95% CI, 0.43–1.70) and the Asia Pacific (0.39 million, 95% CI, 0.23–0.62) regions. The highest population-attributable fraction and burden were observed in Swaziland, Botswana, and Lesotho. Conclusions: People living with HIV are twice as likely to develop cardiovascular disease. The global burden of HIV-associated cardiovascular disease has tripled over the past 2 decades and is now responsible for 2.6 million DALYs per annum with the greatest impact in sub-Saharan Africa and the Asia Pacific regions. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero. Unique identifier: CRD42016048257

Rheumatic heart disease in Uganda: predictors of morbidity and mortality one year after presentation.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD), the long-term consequence of rheumatic fever, accounts for most cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among young adults in developing countries. However, data on contemporary outcomes from resource constrained areas are limited. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of participants aged 5-60 years with established RHD was conducted in Kampala, Uganda, in which clinical exam, echocardiography, electrocardiography (ECG), and laboratory evaluation were done every 3 months and every 4-week benzathine penicillin prophylaxis was prescribed. Participants were followed up for 12 months and outcomes and predictors of morbidity and mortality were assessed using Kaplan Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Of 449 subjects, 66.8% (300/449) were females, median age was 30 (interquartile range 20). 73.7% (331/449) had atleast one follow up visit. Among these, 35% (116/331) developed decompensated heart failure and, 63.7% (211/331) developed atrial fibrillation. Heart failure was associated with poor penicillin adherence (OR = 3.3, CI 2-5.4, p = 0.001), and left ventricular end diastolic diameter greater than 55 mm (OR = 3.16, CI 1.73-5.76, p = 0.001). Atrial fibrillation was associated with left atrial diameter \u3e40 mm (OR = 7.5, CI 2.4-9.8, p = 0.001). There were 59 deaths with a 1-year mortality rate of 17.8%. Most deaths occurred within the first three months of presentation. Subjects whose average adherence to benzathine penicillin was CONCLUSION: In this study of RHD in Uganda, morbidity and mortality within 1 year of presentation were higher than in recently published from other low and middle income countries. Suboptimal adherence to benzathine penicillin injections was associated with incident heart failure and mortality over 1 year. Future studies should test interventions to improve adherence among patients with advanced disease who are at the highest risk of mortality

Rheumatic heart disease in Uganda: predictors of morbidity and mortality one year after presentation.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD), the long-term consequence of rheumatic fever, accounts for most cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among young adults in developing countries. However, data on contemporary outcomes from resource constrained areas are limited. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of participants aged 5-60 years with established RHD was conducted in Kampala, Uganda, in which clinical exam, echocardiography, electrocardiography (ECG), and laboratory evaluation were done every 3 months and every 4-week benzathine penicillin prophylaxis was prescribed. Participants were followed up for 12 months and outcomes and predictors of morbidity and mortality were assessed using Kaplan Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Of 449 subjects, 66.8% (300/449) were females, median age was 30 (interquartile range 20). 73.7% (331/449) had atleast one follow up visit. Among these, 35% (116/331) developed decompensated heart failure and, 63.7% (211/331) developed atrial fibrillation. Heart failure was associated with poor penicillin adherence (OR = 3.3, CI 2-5.4, p = 0.001), and left ventricular end diastolic diameter greater than 55 mm (OR = 3.16, CI 1.73-5.76, p = 0.001). Atrial fibrillation was associated with left atrial diameter \u3e40 mm (OR = 7.5, CI 2.4-9.8, p = 0.001). There were 59 deaths with a 1-year mortality rate of 17.8%. Most deaths occurred within the first three months of presentation. Subjects whose average adherence to benzathine penicillin was CONCLUSION: In this study of RHD in Uganda, morbidity and mortality within 1 year of presentation were higher than in recently published from other low and middle income countries. Suboptimal adherence to benzathine penicillin injections was associated with incident heart failure and mortality over 1 year. Future studies should test interventions to improve adherence among patients with advanced disease who are at the highest risk of mortality

Circulating plasma NT-proBNP predicts subclinical coronary atherosclerosis on CT angiography among older adults in Uganda

Abstract Objective Phenotypes and mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) may differ across global populations. In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), distinct environmental determinants may influence development and progression of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods We investigated associations between 6 established markers of myocardial stress and subsequent subclinical CAD (sCAD), defined as presence of any atherosclerosis on coronary CT angiography (CCTA) in a 2-year prospective cohort of Ugandan adults enriched for cardiometabolic risk factors (RFs) and HIV. Six plasma biomarkers were measured baseline among 200 participants (50% with HIV) aged ≥ 45 years with ≥ 1 cardiovascular RF. At 2-year follow-up, 132 participants (52% with HIV) who returned underwent coronary CCTA. Results In logistic regression models adjusted for cardiovascular RFs (age, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking, obesity) and non-traditional RFs (HIV, chronic kidney disease), only NT-proBNP predicted subsequent subclinical CAD (p < 0.008, Bonferroni correction for multiple testing). In sensitivity analyses adjusted for ASCVD risk category (instead of individual RFs) in the baseline cohort with multiple imputation applied to missing year 2 CCTA data (n = 200), NT-proBNP remained significantly associated with subsequent CAD (p < 0.008). Conclusions NT-proBNP consistently predicted subclinical CAD in Uganda in the absence of such an association among other markers of myocardial stress, suggesting a role for NT-proBNP in atherosclerosis independently of coronary microvascular dysfunction