The origin of grand minima in the sunspot cycle

One of the most striking aspects of the 11-year sunspot cycle is that there have been times in the past when some cycles went missing, a most well-known example of this being the Maunder minimum during 1645-1715. Analyses of cosmogenic isotopes (C14 and Be10) indicated that there were about 27 grand minima in the last 11,000 yr, implying that about 2.7% of the solar cycles had conditions appropriate for forcing the Sun into grand minima. We address the question how grand minima are produced and specifically calculate the frequency of occurrence of grand minima from a theoretical dynamo model. We assume that fluctuations in the poloidal field generation mechanism and the meridional circulation produce irregularities of sunspot cycles. Taking these fluctuations to be Gaussian and estimating the values of important parameters from the data of last 28 solar cycles, we show from our flux transport dynamo model that about 1-4% of the sunspot cycles may have conditions suitable for inducing grand minima.Comment: Accepted for publication in Physical Review Letter

Towards A Mean-Field Formulation Of The Babcock-Leighton Type Solar Dynamo. I. Alpha Coefficient Versus Durney's Double Ring Approach

We develop a model of the solar dynamo in which, on the one hand, we follow the Babcock-Leighton approach to include surface processes like the production of poloidal field from the decay of active regions, and, on the other hand, we attempt to develop a mean field theory that can be studied in quantitative detail. One of the main challenges in developing such models is to treat the buoyant rise of toroidal field and the production of poloidal field from it near the surface. We build up a dynamo model with two contrasting methods of treating buoyancy. In one method, we incorporate the generation of the poloidal field near the solar surface by Durney's procedure of double ring eruption. In the second method, the poloidal field generation is treated by a positive alpha-effect concentrated near the solar surface, coupled with an algorithm for handling buoyancy. The two methods are found to give qualitatively similar results.Comment: 32 pages, 27 figures, uses aastex.cls and epsfig.st

Transport of toroidal magnetic field by the meridional flow at the base of the solar convection zone

In this paper we discuss the transport of toroidal magnetic field by a weak meridional flow at the base of the convection zone. We utilize the differential rotation and meridional flow model developed by Rempel and incorporate feedback of a purely toroidal magnetic field in two ways: directly through the Lorentz force (magnetic tension) and indirectly through quenching of the turbulent viscosity, which affects the parametrized turbulent angular momentum transport in the model. In the case of direct Lorentz force feedback we find that a meridional flow with an amplitude of around 2 m/s can transport a magnetic field with a strength of 20 to 30 kG. Quenching of turbulent viscosity leads to deflection of the meridional flow from the magnetized region and a significant reduction of the transport velocity if the magnetic field is above equipartition strength.Comment: 8 pages, 6 figure

Effect of “Garbha Cintamani Rasa”, an ayurvedic formulation on lipid profile, liver function and kidney function parameters of rat plasma after chronic administration

Garbha Cintamani Rasa (GCM), a classical Ayurvedic preparation which is used in puerperal complications, was studied for its effect on liver function, kidney function and lipid profile after chronic administrations into the biological system. The experimental animal model was rat of both sexes. Triglycerides (TG) content was observed to be increased very high significantly in male as well as female group. Statistically, irrespective of sexes, high significant increase was found in very low density lipoprotein (VLDL). Decrease of total cholesterol (TC), low density lipoprotein (LDL) and high density lipoprotein (HDL) were negligible in male rats. Similar results were shown by female rats also. In both of the sexes, total protein and albumin content of plasma were increased very high significantly. In case of bilirubin, the increase was negligible for all sexes. The serum Effect of “Garbha Cintamani Rasa”, an Ayurvedic Formulation on Lipid Profile, Liver Function and Kidney Function Parameters of Rat Plasma after Chronic Administration. 26 glutamic pyruvic transaminase (sGPT), serum glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (sGOT) and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) content in the plasma were decreased very high significantly in both of the experimental groups. Creatinine, urea and uric acid were decreased in male and female where only change of creatinine level was significant for both of the sexes. The changes of plasma parameters of both sexes were in similar fashion when one sex group is compared to opposite sex group.I. Jahan Bulbul, M. Obayed Ullah, M. Azizur Rahaman, K. Ashfaqur Rahman, A. Kumar Paul, M.S.K. Choudhur

Quenching of Meridional Circulation in Flux Transport Dynamo Models

Guided by the recent observational result that the meridional circulation of the Sun becomes weaker at the time of the sunspot maximum, we have included a parametric quenching of the meridional circulation in solar dynamo models such that the meridional circulation becomes weaker when the magnetic field at the base of the convection zone is stronger. We find that a flux transport solar dynamo tends to become unstable on including this quenching of meridional circulation if the diffusivity in the convection zone is less than about 2 * 10^{11} cm^2/s. The quenching of alpha, however, has a stabilizing effect and it is possible to stabilize a dynamo with low diffusivity with sufficiently strong alpha-quenching. For dynamo models with high diffusivity, the quenching of meridional circulation does not produce a large effect and the dynamo remains stable. We present a solar-like solution from a dynamo model with diffusivity 2.8 * 10^{12} cm^2/s in which the quenching of meridional circulation makes the meridional circulation vary periodically with solar cycle as observed and does not have any other significant effect on the dynamo.Comment: Consistent with the published version. Solar Physics, in pres

Flux-transport dynamos with Lorentz force feedback on differential rotation and meridional flow: Saturation mechanism and torsional oscillations

In this paper we discuss a dynamic flux-transport dynamo model that includes the feedback of the induced magnetic field on differential rotation and meridional flow. We consider two different approaches for the feedback: meanfield Lorentz force and quenching of transport coefficients such as turbulent viscosity and heat conductivity. We find that even strong feedback on the meridional flow does not change the character of the flux-transport dynamo significantly; however it leads to a significant reduction of differential rotation. To a large degree independent from the dynamo parameters, the saturation takes place when the toroidal field at the base of the convection zone reaches between 1.2 an 1.5 T, the energy converted intomagnetic energy corresponds to about 0.1 to 0.2% of the solar luminosity. The torsional oscillations produced through Lorentz force feedback on differential rotation show a dominant poleward propagating branch with the correct phase relation to the magnetic cycle. We show that incorporating enhanced surface cooling of the active region belt (as proposed by Spruit) leads to an equatorward propagating branch in good agreement with observations.Comment: 15 pages, 12 figures, Accepted for publication in ApJ August 10 issue; corrected typos, corrected referenc

The Sun's Preferred Longitudes and the Coupling of Magnetic Dynamo Modes

Observations show that solar activity is distributed non-axisymmetrically, concentrating at "preferred longitudes". This indicates the important role of non-axisymmetric magnetic fields in the origin of solar activity. We investigate the generation of the non-axisymmetric fields and their coupling with axisymmetric solar magnetic field. Our kinematic generation (dynamo) model operating in a sphere includes solar differential rotation, which approximates the differential rotation obtained by inversion of helioseismic data, modelled distributions of the turbulent resistivity, non-axisymmetric mean helicity, and meridional circulation in the convection zone. We find that (1) the non-axisymmetric modes are localised near the base of the convection zone, where the formation of active regions starts, and at latitudes around $30^{\circ}$; (2) the coupling of non-axisymmetric and axisymmetric modes causes the non-axisymmetric mode to follow the solar cycle; the phase relations between the modes are found. (3) The rate of rotation of the first non-axisymmetric mode is close to that determined in the interplanetary space.Comment: 22 pages, 18 figures. Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journa

On Predicting the Solar Cycle using Mean-Field Models

We discuss the difficulties of predicting the solar cycle using mean-field models. Here we argue that these difficulties arise owing to the significant modulation of the solar activity cycle, and that this modulation arises owing to either stochastic or deterministic processes. We analyse the implications for predictability in both of these situations by considering two separate solar dynamo models. The first model represents a stochastically-perturbed flux transport dynamo. Here even very weak stochastic perturbations can give rise to significant modulation in the activity cycle. This modulation leads to a loss of predictability. In the second model, we neglect stochastic effects and assume that generation of magnetic field in the Sun can be described by a fully deterministic nonlinear mean-field model -- this is a best case scenario for prediction. We designate the output from this deterministic model (with parameters chosen to produce chaotically modulated cycles) as a target timeseries that subsequent deterministic mean-field models are required to predict. Long-term prediction is impossible even if a model that is correct in all details is utilised in the prediction. Furthermore, we show that even short-term prediction is impossible if there is a small discrepancy in the input parameters from the fiducial model. This is the case even if the predicting model has been tuned to reproduce the output of previous cycles. Given the inherent uncertainties in determining the transport coefficients and nonlinear responses for mean-field models, we argue that this makes predicting the solar cycle using the output from such models impossible.Comment: 22 Pages, 5 Figures, Preprint accepted for publication in Ap

Model for the spatio-temporal intermittency of the energy dissipation in turbulent flows

Modeling the intermittent behavior of turbulent energy dissipation processes both in space and time is often a relevant problem when dealing with phenomena occurring in high Reynolds number flows, especially in astrophysical and space fluids. In this paper, a dynamical model is proposed to describe the spatio-temporal intermittency of energy dissipation rate in a turbulent system. This is done by using a shell model to simulate the turbulent cascade and introducing some heuristic rules, partly inspired by the well known $p$-model, to construct a spatial structure of the energy dissipation rate. In order to validate the model and to study its spatially intermittency properties, a series of numerical simulations have been performed. These show that the level of spatial intermittency of the system can be simply tuned by varying a single parameter of the model and that scaling laws in agreement with those obtained from experiments on fully turbulent hydrodynamic flows can be recovered. It is finally suggested that the model could represent a useful tool to simulate the spatio-temporal intermittency of turbulent energy dissipation in those high Reynolds number astrophysical fluids where impulsive energy release processes can be associated to the dynamics of the turbulent cascade.Comment: 22 pages, 9 figure

On the compatibility of a flux transport dynamo with a fast tachocline scenario

The compatibility of the fast tachocline scenario with a flux transport dynamo model is explored. We employ a flux transport dynamo model coupled with simple feedback formulae relating the thickness of the tachocline to the amplitude of the magnetic field or to the Maxwell stress. The dynamo model is found to be robust against the nonlinearity introduced by this simplified fast tachocline mechanism. Solar-like butterfly diagrams are found to persist and, even without any parameter fitting, the overall thickness of the tachocline is well within the range admitted by helioseismic constraints. In the most realistic case of a time and latitude dependent tachocline thickness linked to the value of the Maxwell stress, both the thickness and its latitude dependence are in excellent agreement with seismic results. In the nonparametric models, cycle related temporal variations in tachocline thickness are somewhat larger than admitted by helioseismic constraints; we find, however, that introducing a further parameter into our feedback formula readily allows further fine tuning of the thickness variations.Comment: Accepted in Solar Physic