Simulation of population-based commuter exposure to NO2 using different air pollution models

We simulated commuter routes and long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution during commute in a representative population sample in Basel (Switzerland), and evaluated three air pollution models with different spatial resolution for estimating commute exposures to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) as a marker of long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution. Our approach includes spatially and temporally resolved data on actual commuter routes, travel modes and three air pollution models. Annual mean NO2 commuter exposures were similar between models. However, we found more within-city and within-subject variability in annual mean (±SD) NO2 commuter exposure with a high resolution dispersion model (40 ± 7 µg m−3, range: 21–61) than with a dispersion model with a lower resolution (39 ± 5 µg m−3; range: 24–51), and a land use regression model (41 ± 5 µg m−3; range: 24–54). Highest median cumulative exposures were calculated along motorized transport and bicycle routes, and the lowest for walking. For estimating commuter exposure within a city and being interested also in small-scale variability between roads, a model with a high resolution is recommended. For larger scale epidemiological health assessment studies, models with a coarser spatial resolution are likely sufficient, especially when study areas include suburban and rural areas

Do clinical investigations predict long-term wheeze? A follow-up of pediatric respiratory outpatients.

INTRODUCTION The contribution of clinical investigations to prediction of long-term outcomes of children investigated for asthma is unclear. AIM We performed a broad range of clinical tests and investigated whether they helped to predict long-term wheeze among children referred for evaluation of possible asthma. METHODS We studied children aged 6 to 16 years referred to two Swiss pulmonary outpatient clinics with a history of wheeze, dyspnea, or cough in 2007. The initial assessment included spirometry, fractional exhaled nitric oxide, skin prick tests, and bronchial provocation tests by exercise, methacholine, and mannitol. Respiratory symptoms were assessed with questionnaires at baseline and at follow-up 7 years later. Associations between baseline factors and wheeze at follow-up were investigated by logistic regression. RESULTS At baseline, 111 children were examined in 2007. After 7 years, 85 (77%) completed the follow-up questionnaire, among whom 61 (72%) had wheeze at baseline, while at follow-up 39 (46%) reported wheeze. Adjusting for age and sex, the following characteristics predicted wheeze at adolescence: wheeze triggered by pets (odds ratio, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.2-14.8), pollen (2.8, 1.1-7.0), and exercise (3.1, 1.2-8.0). Of the clinical tests, only a positive exercise test (3.2, 1.1-9.7) predicted wheeze at adolescence. CONCLUSION Reported exercise-induced wheeze and wheeze triggered by pets or pollen were important predictors of wheeze persistence into adolescence. None of the clinical tests predicted wheeze more strongly than reported symptoms. Clinical tests might be important for asthma diagnosis but medical history is more helpful in predicting prognosis in children referred for asthma