4 research outputs found
FORECAST MODEL FOR CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE MARKET DEVELOPMENT
The article proposes a model for forecasting crossborder e-commerce market development. In this context, development is defined as positive shift in the volume of goods transported across the customs border via the e-commerce infrastructure. Proposed model allows forecasting of shifts in relatively stable institutional conditions.Π ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π° ΠΌΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠ°Π·Π²ΠΈΡΠΈΡ ΡΡΠ°Π½ΡΠ³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΡΡΠ½ΠΊΠ° ΡΠ»Π΅ΠΊΡΡΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠΈ. Π ΡΡΠΎΠΌ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°Π·Π²ΠΈΡΠΈΠ΅ ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»ΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ ΠΏΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΠΉ ΡΠ΄Π²ΠΈΠ³ Π² ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅ ΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΠΎΠ², ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ°Π΅ΠΌΡΡ
ΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π· ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ Π³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΡΡΡ ΡΠ»Π΅ΠΊΡΡΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΎΡΠ³ΠΎΠ²Π»ΠΈ. ΠΡΠ΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΌΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡ ΡΠ΄Π²ΠΈΠ³ΠΈ Π² ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎ ΡΡΠ°Π±ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΡΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΡΡ
QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF THE DIRECTION OF THE STATE CUSTOMS POLICY
The article discusses the method of macroeconomic assessment of the state customs policy. The methodology is based on a comparison of weighted average tariffs of import customs duties on the structure of imports and on the structure of national production of the state in question. Their comparison allows us to quantify the level of customs and tariff protection of national production.Π ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΌΠΎΡΡΠ΅Π½Π° ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΠΊΠ° ΠΌΠ°ΠΊΡΠΎΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠΈΠΊΠΈ Π³ΠΎΡΡΠ΄Π°ΡΡΡΠ²Π°. Π ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΠ²Ρ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΎ ΡΡΠ°Π²Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΡΠ΅Π΄Π½Π΅Π²Π·Π²Π΅ΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ² Π²Π²ΠΎΠ·Π½ΡΡ
ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΠΏΠΎΡΠ»ΠΈΠ½ ΠΏΠΎ ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΡΡΠ΅ ΠΈΠΌΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ° ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΡΡΠ΅ Π½Π°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ²Π° ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠ²Π°Π΅ΠΌΠΎΠ³ΠΎ Π³ΠΎΡΡΠ΄Π°ΡΡΡΠ²Π°. ΠΡ
ΡΡΠ°Π²Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΏΠΎΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡΡ ΡΡΠΎΠ²Π΅Π½Ρ ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎ-ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ Π·Π°ΡΠΈΡΡ Π½Π°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ²Π°
FORECAST MODEL FOR CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE MARKET DEVELOPMENT
The article proposes a model for forecasting crossborder e-commerce market development. In this context, development is defined as positive shift in the volume of goods transported across the customs border via the e-commerce infrastructure. Proposed model allows forecasting of shifts in relatively stable institutional conditions.Π ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π° ΠΌΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠ°Π·Π²ΠΈΡΠΈΡ ΡΡΠ°Π½ΡΠ³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΡΡΠ½ΠΊΠ° ΡΠ»Π΅ΠΊΡΡΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠΈ. Π ΡΡΠΎΠΌ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°Π·Π²ΠΈΡΠΈΠ΅ ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»ΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ ΠΏΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΠΉ ΡΠ΄Π²ΠΈΠ³ Π² ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅ ΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΠΎΠ², ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ°Π΅ΠΌΡΡ
ΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π· ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ Π³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΡΡΡ ΡΠ»Π΅ΠΊΡΡΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΎΡΠ³ΠΎΠ²Π»ΠΈ. ΠΡΠ΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΌΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡ ΡΠ΄Π²ΠΈΠ³ΠΈ Π² ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎ ΡΡΠ°Π±ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΡΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΡΡ
METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO ASSESSING THE EFFICIENCY OF CUSTOMS RISK MANAGEMENT
The article proposes a model for assessing the efficiency of the functioning of the customs risk management system. The model is based on the theoretical and probabilistic representation of the process of possible violation of customs legislation by participants in foreign economic activity. The peculiarity of the model consists in the complex accounting of the direct and latent effects of the functioning of the customs risk management system. The initial information of the model is made up of statistical data on the results of its functioning