Estimation of interventional effects of features on prediction

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships between the predictors and the actual prediction have not been considered. Here, we connect the underlying causal structure of a data generation process and the causal structure of a prediction mechanism. To achieve this, we propose a framework that identifies the feature with the greatest causal influence on the prediction and estimates the necessary causal intervention of a feature such that a desired prediction is obtained. The general concept of the framework has no restrictions regarding data linearity; however, we focus on an implementation for linear data here. The framework applicability is evaluated using artificial data and demonstrated using real-world data.Comment: To appear in Proc. IEEE International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing (MLSP2017

A Fractional Variational Approach for Modelling Dissipative Mechanical Systems: Continuous and Discrete Settings

Employing a phase space which includes the (Riemann-Liouville) fractional derivative of curves evolving on real space, we develop a restricted variational principle for Lagrangian systems yielding the so-called restricted fractional Euler-Lagrange equations (both in the continuous and discrete settings), which, as we show, are invariant under linear change of variables. This principle relies on a particular restriction upon the admissible variation of the curves. In the case of the half-derivative and mechanical Lagrangians, i.e. kinetic minus potential energy, the restricted fractional Euler-Lagrange equations model a dissipative system in both directions of time, summing up to a set of equations that is invariant under time reversal. Finally, we show that the discrete equations are a meaningful discretisation of the continuous ones.Comment: Key words: Variational analysis, Mechanical systems, Lagrangian mechanics, Damping, Fractional derivatives, Discretisation, Variational integrators. 13 pages, no figures. Contributed paper to 6th IFAC Workshop on Lagrangian and Hamiltonian Methods for Nonlinear Contro

Discrete mechanics and optimal control: An analysis

The optimal control of a mechanical system is of crucial importance in many application areas. Typical examples are the determination of a time-minimal path in vehicle dynamics, a minimal energy trajectory in space mission design, or optimal motion sequences in robotics and biomechanics. In most cases, some sort of discretization of the original, infinite-dimensional optimization problem has to be performed in order to make the problem amenable to computations. The approach proposed in this paper is to directly discretize the variational description of the system's motion. The resulting optimization algorithm lets the discrete solution directly inherit characteristic structural properties from the continuous one like symmetries and integrals of the motion. We show that the DMOC (Discrete Mechanics and Optimal Control) approach is equivalent to a finite difference discretization of Hamilton's equations by a symplectic partitioned Runge-Kutta scheme and employ this fact in order to give a proof of convergence. The numerical performance of DMOC and its relationship to other existing optimal control methods are investigated

Optimal Reconfiguration of Formation Flying Spacecraft--a Decentralized Approach

This paper introduces a hierarchical, decentralized, and parallelizable method for dealing with optimization problems with many agents. It is theoretically based on a hierarchical optimization theorem that establishes the equivalence of two forms of the problem, and this idea is implemented using DMOC (Discrete Mechanics and Optimal Control). The result is a method that is scalable to certain optimization problems for large numbers of agents, whereas the usual “monolithic” approach can only deal with systems with a rather small number of degrees of freedom. The method is illustrated with the example of deployment of spacecraft, motivated by the Darwin (ESA) and Terrestrial Planet Finder (NASA) missions

High order variational integrators in the optimal control of mechanical systems

In recent years, much effort in designing numerical methods for the simulation and optimization of mechanical systems has been put into schemes which are structure preserving. One particular class are variational integrators which are momentum preserving and symplectic. In this article, we develop two high order variational integrators which distinguish themselves in the dimension of the underling space of approximation and we investigate their application to finite-dimensional optimal control problems posed with mechanical systems. The convergence of state and control variables of the approximated problem is shown. Furthermore, by analyzing the adjoint systems of the optimal control problem and its discretized counterpart, we prove that, for these particular integrators, dualization and discretization commute.Comment: 25 pages, 9 figures, 1 table, submitted to DCDS-

C1-continuous space-time discretization based on Hamilton's law of varying action

We develop a class of C1-continuous time integration methods that are applicable to conservative problems in elastodynamics. These methods are based on Hamilton's law of varying action. From the action of the continuous system we derive a spatially and temporally weak form of the governing equilibrium equations. This expression is first discretized in space, considering standard finite elements. The resulting system is then discretized in time, approximating the displacement by piecewise cubic Hermite shape functions. Within the time domain we thus achieve C1-continuity for the displacement field and C0-continuity for the velocity field. From the discrete virtual action we finally construct a class of one-step schemes. These methods are examined both analytically and numerically. Here, we study both linear and nonlinear systems as well as inherently continuous and discrete structures. In the numerical examples we focus on one-dimensional applications. The provided theory, however, is general and valid also for problems in 2D or 3D. We show that the most favorable candidate -- denoted as p2-scheme -- converges with order four. Thus, especially if high accuracy of the numerical solution is required, this scheme can be more efficient than methods of lower order. It further exhibits, for linear simple problems, properties similar to variational integrators, such as symplecticity. While it remains to be investigated whether symplecticity holds for arbitrary systems, all our numerical results show an excellent long-term energy behavior.Comment: slightly condensed the manuscript, added references, numerical results unchange