Evaluation of the AR4 CMIP3 and the AR5 CMIP5 model and projections for precipitation in northeast Brazil

This article compares the sensitivity of IPCC CMIP3-AR4 and CMIP5-AR5 models used on the latest reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in representing the annual average variations (austral summer and autumn) on three regions in Northeastern Brazil (NNEB) for the periods 1979–2000 using the CMAP (Climatology Merged Analysis of Precipitation) data as reference. The three areas of NNEB chosen for this analysis were the semiarid, eastern, and southern regions. The EOF analysis was performed to investigate how the coupled models resolve the temporal variability of the spatial modes in the Tropical Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature (SST), which drives the interannual variations of the rainfall in the Northeastern Brazil. CMIP3-AR4 and CMIP5-AR5 models presented a good representation of the annual cycle of precipitation. Results from correlation and mean absolute error analysis indicate that both CMIP3 and CMIP5 models produce large errors and barely capture the interannual rainfall variance during austral summer and autumn in Northeast Brazil, this features is closely related to the poor representation of the modes of SST variability in the Tropical Atlantic Ocean. For the summer and autumn rainfall projections (2040–2070) in the semiarid region, there was no convergence between the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. During the summer and autumn in the eastern sector, both the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models projected rainfall above the mean for the 2040–2070 period

Can the fractal dimension be applied for the early diagnosis of non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy?

The fractal dimension has been employed as a useful parameter in the diagnosis of retinal disease. Avakian et al. (Curr Eye Res 2002; 24: 274-280), comparing the vascular pattern of normal patients with mild to moderate non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR), found a significant difference between them only in the macular region. This significant difference in the box-counting fractal dimension of the macular region between normal and mild NPDR patients has been proposed as a method of precocious diagnosis of NPDR. The aim of the present study was to determine if fractal dimensions can really be used as a parameter for the early diagnosis of NPDR. Box-counting and information fractal dimensions were used to parameterize the vascular pattern of the human retina. The two methods were applied to the whole retina and to nine anatomical regions of the retina in 5 individuals with mild NPDR and in 28 diabetic but opthalmically normal individuals (controls), with age between 31 and 86 years. All images of retina were obtained from the Digital Retinal Images for Vessel Extraction (DRIVE) database. The results showed that the fractal dimension parameter was not sensitive enough to be of use for an early diagnosis of NPDR

Can the fractal dimension be applied for the early diagnosis of non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy?

The fractal dimension has been employed as a useful parameter in the diagnosis of retinal disease. Avakian et al. (Curr Eye Res 2002; 24: 274-280), comparing the vascular pattern of normal patients with mild to moderate non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR), found a significant difference between them only in the macular region. This significant difference in the box-counting fractal dimension of the macular region between normal and mild NPDR patients has been proposed as a method of precocious diagnosis of NPDR. The aim of the present study was to determine if fractal dimensions can really be used as a parameter for the early diagnosis of NPDR. Box-counting and information fractal dimensions were used to parameterize the vascular pattern of the human retina. The two methods were applied to the whole retina and to nine anatomical regions of the retina in 5 individuals with mild NPDR and in 28 diabetic but opthalmically normal individuals (controls), with age between 31 and 86 years. All images of retina were obtained from the Digital Retinal Images for Vessel Extraction (DRIVE) database. The results showed that the fractal dimension parameter was not sensitive enough to be of use for an early diagnosis of NPDR

Parâmetros genéticos para características de crescimento e reprodutivas em bovinos Nelore no Brasil

To know the genetic and phenotypic progress of a population is important to evaluate the outcome of the adopted selection programmes and as guiding elements of future actions. The objective was to estimate genetic parameters, genetic and phenotypic trends of weights at 205 (W205) 365 (W365) 550 (W550) days of age, age at first calving (AFC), scrotal circumference (SC) and calving interval (CI) of 175.231 Nellore, born in the period 1967-2011 in the Northeast region of Brazil. The components of (co) variance and breeding values were obtained by restricted maximum likeli-hood methodology. Estimates of heritability coefficients for growth traits were of a low to moderate magnitude. Direct selection will provide greater genetic gains for W550. For reproductive traits, the heritability estimate was low for ACF and close to zero for CI. However, for the SC heritability was moderate, indicating its use as selection criteria. Direct genetic trends for W205, W365, W550 and ACF indicate small genetic gains over the years. Phenotypic progress shows that the features are improving with the years, mainly because of environmental improvements.Conhecer o progresso genético e fenotípico de uma população é importante para se avaliar o resultado dos programas de seleção adotados e como elementos norteadores de ações futuras. Assim, objetivou-se estimar parâmetros genéticos, tendências genéticas e fenotípicas dos pesos aos 205 (P205), 365 (P365) e 550 (P550) dias de idade, idade ao primeiro parto (IPP), circunferência escrotal (CE) e intervalos de partos (IDP) de 175.231 bovinos Nelore, nascidos no período de 1967 a 2011 na região Nordeste do Brasil. Os componentes de (co) variância e valores genéticos foram obtidos por meio da metodologia da máxima verossimilhança restrita. As estimativas dos coeficientes de herdabilidades para as características de crescimento foram de baixa a moderada magnitude. A seleção direta proporcionará maiores ganhos genéticos para P550. Para as características reprodutivas, a estimativa de herdabilidade foi baixa para IPP e próxima a zero para IDP. Contudo, para a CE a herdabilidade foi moderada, indicando seu uso como critério de seleção. As tendências genéticas diretas para P205, P365, P550 e IPP, indicam pequenos ganhos genéticos ao longo dos anos. Os progressos fenotípicos evidenciam que as características estão melhorando com o decorrer dos anos, principalmente em decorrência da melhoria ambiental