Risk factors and a predictive model for under-five mortality in Nigeria: evidence from Nigeria demographic and health survey

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Under-5 mortality is a major public health challenge in developing countries. It is essential to identify determinants of under-five mortality (U5M) childhood mortality because these will assist in formulating appropriate health programmes and policies in order to meet the United Nations MDG goal. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model and identify maternal, child, family and other risk factors associated U5M in Nigeria.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Population-based cross-sectional study which explored 2008 demographic and health survey of Nigeria (NDHS) with multivariable logistic regression. Likelihood Ratio Test, Hosmer-Lemeshow Goodness-of-Fit and Variance Inflation Factor were used to check the fit of the model and the predictive power of the model was assessed with Receiver Operating Curve (ROC curve).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>This study yielded an excellent predictive model which revealed that the likelihood of U5M among the children of mothers that had their first marriage at age 20-24 years and ≥ 25 years declined by 20% and 30% respectively compared to children of those that married before the age of 15 years. Also, the following factors reduced odds of U5M: health seeking behaviour, breastfeeding children for > 18 months, use of contraception, small family size, having one wife, low birth order, normal birth weight, child spacing, living in urban areas, and good sanitation.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>This study has revealed that maternal, child, family and other factors were important risk factors of U5M in Nigeria. This study has identified important risk factors that will assist in formulating policies that will improve child survival.</p

Global report on preterm birth and stillbirth (1 of 7): definitions, description of the burden and opportunities to improve data.

INTRODUCTION: This is the first of seven articles from a preterm birth and stillbirth report. Presented here is an overview of the burden, an assessment of the quality of current estimates, review of trends, and recommendations to improve data. PRETERM BIRTH: Few countries have reliable national preterm birth prevalence data. Globally, an estimated 13 million babies are born before 37 completed weeks of gestation annually. Rates are generally highest in low- and middle-income countries, and increasing in some middle- and high-income countries, particularly the Americas. Preterm birth is the leading direct cause of neonatal death (27%); more than one million preterm newborns die annually. Preterm birth is also the dominant risk factor for neonatal mortality, particularly for deaths due to infections. Long-term impairment is an increasing issue. STILLBIRTH: Stillbirths are currently not included in Millennium Development Goal tracking and remain invisible in global policies. For international comparisons, stillbirths include late fetal deaths weighing more than 1000g or occurring after 28 weeks gestation. Only about 2% of all stillbirths are counted through vital registration and global estimates are based on household surveys or modelling. Two global estimation exercises reached a similar estimate of around three million annually; 99% occur in low- and middle-income countries. One million stillbirths occur during birth. Global stillbirth cause-of-death estimates are impeded by multiple, complex classification systems. RECOMMENDATIONS TO IMPROVE DATA: (1) increase the capture and quality of pregnancy outcome data through household surveys, the main data source for countries with 75% of the global burden; (2) increase compliance with standard definitions of gestational age and stillbirth in routine data collection systems; (3) strengthen existing data collection mechanisms--especially vital registration and facility data--by instituting a standard death certificate for stillbirth and neonatal death linked to revised International Classification of Diseases coding; (4) validate a simple, standardized classification system for stillbirth cause-of-death; and (5) improve systems and tools to capture acute morbidity and long-term impairment outcomes following preterm birth. CONCLUSION: Lack of adequate data hampers visibility, effective policies, and research. Immediate opportunities exist to improve data tracking and reduce the burden of preterm birth and stillbirth

Socioeconomic determinants of use of reproductive health services in Ghana

Background: The study examines trends in the consumption of reproductive health services (use of modern contraceptives, health facility deliveries, assisted deliveries, first trimester antenatal visit and 4+ antenatal visits) and their determinants using four rounds of Ghana Demographic and Health Surveys (1993, 1998, 2003 and 2008) data. Methods: The study uses cross-sectional and pooled probit and negative bionomial regressions models to estimate the determinants of use of the above listed reproductive health services for the period from 1993 to 2008. Results: Summary statistics suggest that the above-listed reproductive health services have consistently improved from 1993 to 2008. However, use of traditional methods of contraception increased in urban centers between 2003 and 2008, although the reverse was the case in rural areas. Regression results suggest that place of residence, access to and availability of health services, religion, and birth order are significant correlates of use of reproductive health services. Additionally, the study suggests that the number of living children has the largest effect on use of modern contraception. The effect of a partner's education on use of modern contraception is higher than that of the woman, and a much stronger correlation exists between household wealth and use of reproductive health inputs than expected. Conclusion: The study associates the increasing use of traditional contraceptives in urban centers and the much stronger effect of household wealth with urban poverty and the increasing indirect cost of health services, and argues for interventions to improve quality of service in public facilities and reduce inequities in the distribution of health facilities. Finally, the study advocates for family planning-related interventions that involve and target partners given the importance of partner education in the use of modern contraception

Cigarette smoke extract is a Nox agonist and regulates ENaC in alveolar type 2 cells

There is considerable evidence that cigarette smoking is the primary etiology of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and that oxidative stress occurs in COPD with the family of tissue nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (NADPH) oxidase (Nox) enzymes playing a significant role in lung pathogenesis. The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of cigarette smoke extract (CSE) on Nox signaling to epithelial sodium channels (ENaCs). Pre-treatment with diphenyleneiodonium (DPI), a pan-Nox inhibitor, prevented stimulatory effects of CSE on ENaC activity; open probability (Po) changed from 0.36 ± 0.09 to 0.11 ± 0.02; n = 10, p = 0.01 following CSE and DPI exposure. Likewise, Fulvene-5 (which inhibits Nox2 and Nox4 isoforms) decreased the number of ENaC per patch (from 2.75 ± 0.25 to 1 ± 0.5, n = 9, p = 0.002) and open probability (0.18 ± 0.08 to 0.02 ± 0.08, p = 0.04). Cycloheximide chase assays show that CSE exposure prevented α-ENaC subunit degradation, whereas concurrent CSE exposure in the presence of Nox inhibitor, Fulvene 5, resulted in normal proteolytic degradation of α-ENaC protein in primary isolated lung cells. In vivo, co-instillation of CSE and Nox inhibitor promoted alveolar flooding in C57Bl6 mice compared to accelerated rates of fluid clearance observed in CSE alone instilled lungs. Real-time PCR indicates that mRNA levels of Nox2 were unaffected by CSE treatment while Nox4 transcript levels significantly increased 3.5 fold in response to CSE. Data indicate that CSE is an agonist of Nox4 enzymatic activity, and that CSE-mediated Nox4 plays an important role in altering lung ENaC activity