7 research outputs found
Bilateral Exports from Euro Zone Countries to the US - Does Exchange Rate Variability Play a Role?
ONE MOSQUE, TWO QIBLAHS: Understanding the Difference in Qiblah Direction of the Nagari Suayan Mosque in West Sumatera, Indonesia
The difference in qiblah direction found among the congregation of the Nagari Suayan Mosque in Lima Puluh Kota Regency of West Sumatera began as there was an initiative to remeasure the qiblah direction by a caretaker and imam of the mosque. The difference had turned into a conflict between the Straight Qiblah congregation and the Skewed Qiblah congregation due to the lack of communication and dissemination regarding the change in qiblah direction. While in fact, facing the direction of qiblah during salat is a belief that both groups distinctly hold. This article explains the various contexts that underlie the difference and the idea of intragroup tolerance, which is the most significant finding in this study. Intragroup tolerance in practicing religion refers to the ability or willingness to tolerate differences in the rituals/practices found among varying congregations of the same religion. The research indicates that tolerating differences is part of a journey toward peace between two differing parties, and it may have implication on developing the definition of tolerance
A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Indonesia
Probabilistic hazard assessments are a fundamental tool for assessing the
threats posed by hazards to communities and are important for underpinning
evidence-based decision-making regarding risk mitigation activities. Indonesia has
been the focus of intense tsunami risk mitigation efforts following the 2004
Indian Ocean tsunami, but this has been largely concentrated on the Sunda
Arc with little attention to other tsunami prone areas of the country such
as eastern Indonesia. We present the first nationally consistent
probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) for Indonesia. This assessment
produces time-independent forecasts of tsunami hazards at the coast using data from
tsunami generated by local, regional and distant earthquake sources. The
methodology is based on the established monte carlo approach to probabilistic
seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) and has been adapted to tsunami. We account
for sources of epistemic and aleatory uncertainty in the analysis through the
use of logic trees and sampling probability density functions. For
short return periods (100 years) the highest tsunami hazard is the west coast
of Sumatra, south coast of Java and the north coast of Papua. For longer
return periods (500â2500 years), the tsunami hazard is highest along the
Sunda Arc, reflecting the larger maximum magnitudes. The
annual probability of experiencing a tsunami with a height of
> 0.5 m at the coast is greater than 10% for Sumatra, Java, the Sunda islands
(Bali, Lombok, Flores, Sumba) and north Papua. The annual probability of
experiencing a tsunami with a height of > 3.0 m, which would cause
significant inundation and fatalities, is 1â10% in Sumatra, Java, Bali,
Lombok and north Papua, and 0.1â1% for north Sulawesi, Seram and Flores.
The results of this national-scale hazard assessment provide evidence for
disaster managers to prioritise regions for risk mitigation activities and/or
more detailed hazard or risk assessment