Methodological Framework for Analysing Cascading Effects from Flood Events: The Case of Sukhumvit Area, Bangkok, Thailand

This is the final version of the article. Available from MDPI via the DOI in this record.Impacts from floods in urban areas can be diverse and wide ranging. These can include the loss of human life, infrastructure and property damages, as well as other kinds of nuisance and inconvenience to urban life. Hence, the ability to identify and quantify wider ranging effects from floods is of the utmost importance to urban flood managers and infrastructure operators. The present work provides a contribution in this direction and describes a methodological framework for analysing cascading effects from floods that has been applied for the Sukhumvit area in Bangkok (Thailand). It demonstrates that the effects from floods can be much broader in their reach and magnitude than the sole impacts incurred from direct and immediate losses. In Sukhumvit, these include loss of critical services, assets and goods, traffic congestion and delays in transportation, loss of business and income, disturbances and discomfort to the residents, and all these can be traced with the careful analysis of cascading effects. The present work explored the use of different visualization options to present the findings. These include a casual loop diagram, a HAZUR resilience map, a tree diagram and GIS maps.The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007–2013) under Grant Agreement No. 603663 for the research project PEARL (Preparing for Extreme and Rare events in coastaL regions). The authors are grateful to Opticits for providing the HAZUR software licence, within the collaboration of the EU H2020 research project RESCCUE (RESilience to cope with Climate Change in Urban arEas—a multisectorial approach focusing on water) Grant Agreement 700174

Delays to road traffic at an intersection

A model for road traffic delays at intersections is considered where vehicles arriving, possibly in bunches, in a Poisson process in a one way minor road yield right of way to traffic, which forms alternate bunches and gaps, in a major road. The gap acceptance times are random variables, and depend on whether or not a minor road vehicle is immediately following another minor road vehicle into the intersection or not. The transforms of the stationary waiting time and queue size distributions, and the mean stationary delay, for minor road vehicles are obtained by substitution of determined service time distributions into results for a generalisation of the M/G/1 queueing system. Some numerical results are given to illustrate the increase in the mean delay for variable gap acceptance times for a Borel-Tanner distribution of major road traffic, and a partial solution is given for a two way major road.</jats:p

Methodological framework for analysing cascading effects fromflood events: The case of Sukhumvit area, Bangkok, Thailand

Impacts from floods in urban areas can be diverse and wide ranging. These can include the loss of human life, infrastructure and property damages, as well as other kinds of nuisance and inconvenience to urban life. Hence, the ability to identify and quantify wider ranging effects from floods is of the utmost importance to urban flood managers and infrastructure operators. The present work provides a contribution in this direction and describes a methodological framework for analysing cascading effects from floods that has been applied for the Sukhumvit area in Bangkok (Thailand). It demonstrates that the effects from floods can be much broader in their reach and magnitude than the sole impacts incurred from direct and immediate losses. In Sukhumvit, these include loss of critical services, assets and goods, traffic congestion and delays in transportation, loss of business and income, disturbances and discomfort to the residents, and all these can be traced with the careful analysis of cascading effects. The present work explored the use of different visualization options to present the findings. These include a casual loop diagram, a HAZUR resilience map, a tree diagram and GIS maps

Methodological framework for analysing cascading effects fromflood events: The case of Sukhumvit area, Bangkok, Thailand

Impacts from floods in urban areas can be diverse and wide ranging. These can include the loss of human life, infrastructure and property damages, as well as other kinds of nuisance and inconvenience to urban life. Hence, the ability to identify and quantify wider ranging effects from floods is of the utmost importance to urban flood managers and infrastructure operators. The present work provides a contribution in this direction and describes a methodological framework for analysing cascading effects from floods that has been applied for the Sukhumvit area in Bangkok (Thailand). It demonstrates that the effects from floods can be much broader in their reach and magnitude than the sole impacts incurred from direct and immediate losses. In Sukhumvit, these include loss of critical services, assets and goods, traffic congestion and delays in transportation, loss of business and income, disturbances and discomfort to the residents, and all these can be traced with the careful analysis of cascading effects. The present work explored the use of different visualization options to present the findings. These include a casual loop diagram, a HAZUR resilience map, a tree diagram and GIS maps