13 research outputs found
Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and Their Predictive Potential along the Atlantic Water Pathway
We assess to what extent seven state-of-the-art dynamical prediction systems can retrospectively predict winter sea surface temperature (SST) in the subpolar North Atlantic and the Nordic seas in the period 1970-2005. We focus on the region where warm water flows poleward (i.e., the Atlantic water pathway to the Arctic) and on interannual-to-decadal time scales. Observational studies demonstrate predictability several years in advance in this region, but we find that SST skill is low with significant skill only at a lead time of 1-2 years. To better understand why the prediction systems have predictive skill or lack thereof, we assess the skill of the systems to reproduce a spatiotemporal SST pattern based on observations. The physical mechanism underlying this pattern is a propagation of oceanic anomalies from low to high latitudes along the major currents, the North Atlantic Current and the Norwegian Atlantic Current. We find that the prediction systems have difficulties in reproducing this pattern. To identify whether the misrepresentation is due to incorrect model physics, we assess the respective uninitialized historical simulations. These simulations also tend to misrepresent the spatiotemporal SST pattern, indicating that the physical mechanism is not properly simulated. However, the representation of the pattern is slightly degraded in the predictions compared to historical runs, which could be a result of initialization shocks and forecast drift effects. Ways to enhance predictions could include improved initialization and better simulation of poleward circulation of anomalies. This might require model resolutions in which flow over complex bathymetry and the physics of mesoscale ocean eddies and their interactions with the atmosphere are resolved. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: In this study, we find that dynamical prediction systems and their respective climate models struggle to realistically represent ocean surface temperature variability in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic and Nordic seas on interannual-to-decadal time scales. In previous studies, ocean advection is proposed as a key mechanism in propagating temperature anomalies along the Atlantic water pathway toward the Arctic Ocean. Our analysis suggests that the predicted temperature anomalies are not properly circulated to the north; this is a result of model errors that seems to be exacerbated by the effect of initialization shocks and forecast drift. Better climate predictions in the study region will thus require improving the initialization step, as well as enhancing process representation in the climate models
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Relationships between Performance, Intake, Diet Nutritive Quality and Fecal Nutritive Quality of Cattle on Mountain Range
Correlations were developed between average daily gain (ADG), forage organic matter intake (INT), fistula sample in vitro organic matter digestibility (DID), fistula sample nitrogen (DN), fecal sample in vitro digestibility (FID), and fecal sample nitrogen (FN) of cattle on forest and grassland range in northeastern Oregon. FN and FID were more closely associated with ADG and INT than DN or DID. Linear regression equations were developed between fistula and fecal samples for both N (r2=.83) and ID (r2=.71). The inclusion of FN as an independent variable with FID improved the equation for predicting fistula sample ID (R2=.83). Forage intake could not be well predicted from either FN or FID in either simple or multiple regression equations. The closer relationship between fecal sample nutritive quality and ADG compared to fistula sample nutritive quality and ADG is attributed to greater sampling precision for fecal nutritive quality. Fecal N and ID appear to be closely associate with DN and DID when grasses comprise most of the ruminant diet but this relationship may not hold when the diet is dominated by forbs and shrubs. Nutritive evaluation of feces shows potential for monitoring trends in ruminant diet quality and performance but much more research is needed before these procedures can be applied.This material was digitized as part of a cooperative project between the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries.The Journal of Range Management archives are made available by the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact [email protected] for further information.Migrated from OJS platform August 202
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Forb and shrub effects on ruminal fermentation in cattle
One experiment involving steers fed low-quality grass diets singly and mixed with native forbs, native shrubs, or alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.) was conducted to compare the influence of these diets on ruminal fermentation. Native forbs used in our study were a 50:50 mixture of scarlet globemallow (Sphaeralcea coccinea Nutt.) and leatherleaf croton (Croton pottsii Lam.); native shrubs were a 50:50 mixture of fourwing saltbush (Atriplex canescens [Pursh.]) and mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus montanus Raf.). Neither passage rate of indigestible neutral detergent fiber nor fluid passage rate differed (P > .10) among the 4 diets. Ruminal pH did not differ (P > .10) among diets, and ruminal ammonia concentrations differed (P .10) among diets. Except for butyrate [less (P < .05) with alfalfa], proportions of individual VFA showed little difference among diets. Based on these data, adding forbs or shrubs with low-quality forage diets appears to elicit few changes in ruminal digests kinetics and fermentation patterns compared to including alfalfa hay.This material was digitized as part of a cooperative project between the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries.The Journal of Range Management archives are made available by the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact [email protected] for further information.Migrated from OJS platform August 202
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Forb and shrub influences on steer nitrogen retention
Two experiments with steers were conducted to evaluate the influence of native forbs and shrubs on nitrogen utilization by cattle. Diets in Exp. 1 were blue grams (Bouteloua gracilis [H.B.K.]) (BG), BG plus 23% alfalfa (Medicago sativa) hay (ALF), BG plus 42% forbs and BG plus 41% shrubs. Diets in Exp. 2 included barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) straw, and straw plus either 42% ALF, 63% forbs, or 62% shrubs. Forbs used in our study were scarlet globemallow (Sphaeralcea coccinea Nutt.) and leatherleaf croton (Croton pottsii Lam.). Shrubs included fourwing saltbush (Atriplex canescens [Pursh.]) and mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus montanus Raf.) Forb and shrub mixtures were 50:50 of each species. Blue grams and straw basal diets contained 7.6 and 3.5% CP, respectively. Diets containing ALF, forbs, and shrubs were isonitrogenous (10.5% CP) in both experiments. In Exp. 1, no differences (P>.10) were observed among treatments for N retention (g/d). In Exp. 2, N retention was least (P0.05),and intermediate for the forb diet. Inclusion of forbs or shrubs with low-quality forage diets was, in most instances, comparable to inclusion of ALF. Our results indicate that maintaining palatable forbs and shrubs on rangelands should reduce the need to supply cattle with protein during periods when grasses are dormant.This material was digitized as part of a cooperative project between the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries.The Journal of Range Management archives are made available by the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact [email protected] for further information.Migrated from OJS platform August 202
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Evaluation of Total Fecal Collection for Measuring Cattle Forage Intake
Conventional digestibility trials with steers were conducted to evaluate relationships between actual forage intake and estimated forage intake using the total fecal collection procedure. Actual forage intake of 6 of the 9 forages fed was not accurately estimated by the widely used technique of dividing total fecal output by forage indigestibility estimated by in vitro procedures. This was because 48-h in vitro digestibility poorly estimated in vivo digestibility of 6 forages. Regression equations based on in vivo-in vitro digestibility relationships can reduce but not solve this problem because in vivo processes such as mastication and rumination are bypassed with in vitro techniques. The use of a 36-h microbial digestion period for nongrasses and a 72-96-h microbial digestion period for grasses shows potential to improve in vitro digestibility estimates of cattle in vivo digestibility. Another potential means of improving in vitro digestibility estimates is to select the highest digestibility value from forage or diet samples subjected to 36-, 48-, 60-, 72-, 84- and 96-h microbial digestion periods.This material was digitized as part of a cooperative project between the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries.The Journal of Range Management archives are made available by the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact [email protected] for further information.Migrated from OJS platform August 202
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Evaluation of fecal indicators for assessing energy and nitrogen status of cattle and goats
In vivo digestibility trials involving cattle (steers) and goats (wethers) fed shrub and nonshrub mixtures were conducted to evaluate the potential of fecal output, fecal nitrogen output, and fecal nitrogen percent for assessing diet intake, nitrogen balance, and digestibility. Two cattle digestion trials involving 8 feeds and 4 goat digestion trials involving 13 feeds were used to develop simple linear and multiple regression equations between fecal and diet characteristics. Crude protein percent (organic matter basis) of cattle diets ranged from 3.9 to 12.0%; that of goats ranged from 7.5 to 14.4%. Low-phenolic and high-phenolic shrubs were fed in separate diets to goats while cattle diets involved only low-phenolic shrubs. Fecal output of organic matter (percentage of body weight) was correlated (r2>0.80) with forage organic matter intake (percentage of body weight) for both cattle and goats when all feeds were included in the regression. Linear regression intercepts, but not slopes, differed (P<0.05) among cattle and goats. Multiple regression equations did not improve evaluation of forage intake over simple linear equations using fecal output. Fecal nitrogen output (g N/kg BW) was associated more closely with nitrogen balance (g N/kg BW) than other fecal indicators. Further, fecal N output was best associated with nitrogen bahmce for both cattle and goats (r2 = 0.64, 73, respectively) when used in multiple regression equations. Multiple regression equations showed potential for evaluating nitrogen intake (g N/kg BW) of both cattle and goats, (R2 = 0.91, 0.87, respectively). Although it is doubtful that our equations have broad applications, our approach might be useful if specific equations were developed for individual range types.This material was digitized as part of a cooperative project between the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries.The Journal of Range Management archives are made available by the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact [email protected] for further information.Migrated from OJS platform August 202