685 research outputs found
A Semiparametric Generalized Exponential Regression Model with a Principled Distance-based Prior for Analyzing Trends in Rainfall
The Western Ghats mountain range holds critical importance in regulating
monsoon rainfall across Southern India, with a profound impact on regional
agriculture. Here, we analyze daily wet-day rainfall data for the monsoon
months between 1901-2022 for the Northern, Middle, and Southern Western Ghats
regions. Motivated by an exploratory data analysis, we introduce a
semiparametric Bayesian generalized exponential (GE) regression model; despite
the underlying GE distribution assumption being well-known in the literature,
including in the context of rainfall analysis, no research explored it in a
regression setting, as of our knowledge. Our proposed approach involves
modeling the GE rate parameter within a generalized additive model framework.
An important feature is the integration of a principled distance-based prior
for the GE shape parameter; this allows the model to shrink to an exponential
regression model that retains the advantages of the exponential family. We draw
inferences using the Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Extensive simulations
demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms simpler alternatives. Applying
the model to analyze the rainfall data over 122 years provides insights into
model parameters, temporal patterns, and the impact of climate change. We
observe a significant decreasing trend in wet-day rainfall for the Southern
Western Ghats region.Comment: 24 pages, 8 figure
Multi-component Fermionic Dark Matter and IceCube PeV scale Neutrinos in Left-Right Model with Gauge Unification
We consider a simple extension of the minimal left-right symmetric model
(LRSM) in order to explain the PeV neutrino events seen at the IceCube
experiment from a heavy decaying dark matter. The dark matter sector is
composed of two fermions: one at PeV scale and the other at TeV scale such that
the heavier one can decay into the lighter one and two neutrinos. The gauge
annihilation cross sections of PeV dark matter are not large enough to generate
its relic abundance within the observed limit. We include a pair of real scalar
triplets which can bring the thermally overproduced PeV dark
matter abundance into the observed range through late time decay and consequent
entropy release thereby providing a consistent way to obtain the correct relic
abundance without violating the unitarity bound on dark matter mass. Another
scalar field, a bitriplet under left-right gauge group is added to assist the
heavier dark matter decay. The presence of an approximate global
symmetry can naturally explain the origin of tiny couplings required for
long-lived nature of these decaying particles. We also show, how such an
extended LRSM can be incorporated within a non-supersymmetric model
where the gauge coupling unification at a very high scale naturally accommodate
a PeV scale intermediate symmetry, required to explain the PeV events at
IceCube.Comment: 33 pages, 9 figures, 4 tables; error in relic density calculation
fixed and discussion expanded for better clarity; matches published versio
Constraints on Dark Matter-Neutrino Interaction from 21-cm Cosmology and Forecasts on SKA1-Low
In this article, we have done a thorough investigation of the possible
effects of interaction between dark matter (DM) and neutrinos on reionization
history. We have constrained the interaction strength using 21 cm Cosmology and
found out possible deviations from standard, non-interacting CDM
scenario. Comparing the results with the existing constraints from present
cosmological observations reveals that 21 cm observations are more competent to
constrain the interaction strength by a few orders of magnitude. We have also
searched for prospects of detecting any such interaction in the upcoming 21 cm
mission SKA1-Low by doing a forecast analysis and error estimation.Comment: Version considerably modified. To appear in MNRA
Planting 'Improvement': Tea in British India
This paper provides a critical reflection on the operational logic, ideological inconsistencies, and material fallout of the tea plantation economy of northeastern India, a large-scale commercial enterprise that induced transformative changes to the region's biosocial landscape for a century and more. Unlike existing works on the subject, however, this study focuses on agro-economic ideology – namely the relationship between the crop and its built environment – to highlight the impact of tea on labor, disease ecology, and modernist parables of "progress" in British East India.This paper provides a critical reflection on the operational logic, ideological inconsistencies, and material fallout of the tea plantation economy of northeastern India, a large-scale commercial enterprise that induced transformative changes to the region's biosocial landscape for a century and more. Unlike existing works on the subject, however, this study focuses on agro-economic ideology – namely the relationship between the crop and its built environment – to highlight the impact of tea on labor, disease ecology, and modernist parables of "progress" in British East India
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