9 research outputs found

    Estimates of the impact of HIV infection on fertility in a rural Ugandan population cohort

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    Fertility rates in a population-based cohort of over 3500 women aged 15-49 years living in rural southwest Uganda are described and examined in relation to infection with HIV. Over a six-year follow-up period (1989/90 to 1995/6) the average general fertility rate was estimated as 199 births per thousand woman-years of observation (95 % confidence interval 191 to 207) with a total fertility rate of 6.2 births per woman. The overall prevalence of infection with HIV was 12 per cent and remained relatively stable during follow-up. With the exception of women aged 15-19 years, women who were not infected with HIV had higher fertility than HIV-infected women. The overall age-adjusted fertility rate in HIV-infected women was 0.74 of that of uninfected women (95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.87, P<0.001) and this result was unaffected by additional adjustment for marital status. When combined with an overall HIV prevalence rate of 12 per cent, this corresponds to a three per cent reduction in fertility rates in the whole population. The lower fertility in HIV-positive women is unlikely to be explained by increased use of contraception, as use of modern contraceptive methods in rural Uganda is low and fewer than ten per cent of women are aware of their HIV-serostatus. More likely explanations are reduced sexual activity due to clinical symptoms associated with HIV infection or lower fertility associated with coexisting infections with other sexually transmitted diseases, such as syphilis. A reduction in fertility caused by HIV infection itself cannot be excluded. The implications of these findings for the use of antenatal clinic data to provide population estimates of HIV prevalence are discussed

    Child survival in relation to mother's HIV infection and survival: evidence from a Ugandan cohort study.

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    OBJECTIVE: To analyse the contribution of maternal survival and HIV status to child (under-5 years) mortality in a rural population cohort in South-west Uganda. METHODS: Approximately 10 000 people residing in 15 neighbouring villages were followed between 1989 and 2000 using annual censuses and serological surveys to collect data on births, deaths, and adult HIV serostatus. Mother-child records were linked, child mortality risks (per 1000 births) and hazard ratios (HRs) for child mortality according to maternal HIV serostatus were computed, allowing for time-varying covariates. RESULTS: A total of 3727 children were born, of whom 415 died during 14 110 child years of follow-up. Mother's HIV status at birth was ascertained unambiguously for 3004 children, of whom 218 were born to HIV-positive mothers. Infant mortality risk was higher for HIV seropositive than seronegative mothers (225 versus 53) as was child mortality risk (313 versus 114). Child mortality risk was also higher for mothers who died (571) than for surviving mothers (128). After controlling for child's age and sex, independent predictors of mortality in children were: mother's terminal illness or death (HR = 3.8); mother being HIV positive (HR = 3.2); child being a twin (HR = 2.0); teenage motherhood (HR = 1.7) and maternal absence (HR = 1.7). CONCLUSION: Maternal survival and HIV status are strong predictors of child survival. The higher mortality in HIV-infected women compounds mortality risks for their children, regardless of children's HIV status. Programmes aimed at the welfare of children should take into account the independent effect of mothers' HIV and vital status

    HIV and mortality of mothers and children: evidence from cohort studies in Uganda, Tanzania, and Malawi.

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    BACKGROUND: The steady decline in child mortality observed in most African countries through the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s has stalled in many countries in the 1990s because of the AIDS epidemic. However, the census and household survey data that generally are used to produce estimates of child mortality do not permit precise measures of the adverse effect of HIV on child mortality. METHODS: To calculate excess risks of child mortality as the result of maternal HIV status, we used pooled data from 3 longitudinal community-based studies that classified births by the mother's HIV status. We also estimated excess risks of child death caused by increased mortality among mothers. The joint effects of maternal HIV status and maternal survival were quantified using multivariate techniques in a survival analysis. RESULTS: Our analysis shows that the excess risk of death associated with having an HIV-positive mother is 2.9 (95% confidence interval = 2.3-3.6), and this effect lasts throughout childhood. The excess risk associated with a maternal death is 3.9 (2.8-5.5) in the 2-year period centered on the mother's death, with children of both infected and uninfected mothers experiencing higher mortality risks at this time. CONCLUSION: HIV impacts on child mortality directly through transmission of the virus to newborns by infected mothers and indirectly through higher child mortality rates associated with a maternal death
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