A COMPARISON OF SPATIAL PREDICTION METHODS USING INTENSE SPATIALLY-ACQUIRED WATER QUALITY DATA

Water quality information obtained through intensive spatial sampling using automated devices provides opportunities to monitor and forecast the spatial distribution of nutrients and phytoplankton concentrations, and help establish water circulation patterns in estuarine and coastal waters. To be cost effective, efficient sampling designs and estimation methodologies must first be developed. As a starting basis, we applied an original transect sampling design that was used to estimate the spatial distribution of chlorophyll a, salinity, and temperature in the Cienaga Grande de Santa Marta, a coastal lagoon in Colombia. We superimposed the transects over satellite images of the lagoon obtained in the period 1993-2001 to evaluate the efficiency and accuracy of using such transects to estimate the distribution of water quality variables. The satellite images were taken in 1993 (SPOT-3), 1995 (Landsat-6), and 1999 (Landsat-6), and water reflectance values were used as a “proxy” for the water quality variables. Spatial prediction using kriging and thin-plate smoothing splines were used to predict reflectance for a grid network of points taken from the images, and predictions were compared with observed values to compare methods and transect routes. Rapid changes in reflectance in short distances (for example , caused by phytoplankton blooms), complicated the analysis, and neither method proved superior over all transect routes and images, although the kriging predictor remained relatively consistent in performance over the various selected sampling routes

Adventures and Misfortunes in Macondo: Rehabilitation of the Cienaga Grande

We describe trajectories of selected ecological indicators used as performance measures to evaluate the success of a mangrove rehabilitation project in the Ciénaga Grande de Santa Marta (CGSM) Delta-Lagoon complex, Colombia, as result of freshwater diversions initiated in 1995. There is a significant reduction in soil and water column salinity in all sampling stations following the hydraulic reconnection of the Clarín and Aguas Negras channels to the Magdalena River. Soil intersticial water salinity (depth: 0.5 m) (7 stations) and water column salinity (0.5 m) (10 stations) values declined significantly (soil \u3c30 g kg-1; water \u3c10 g kg-1) from 1994 to 2000. During 1994 soil interstitial water salinity ranged from 40 g kg-1 (Rinconada) to 100 g kg-1 (KM 13), while water column salinity fluctuated between 25-35 g kg-1 for most of the sampling stations. This salinity reduction increased mangrove forest regeneration promoting a net gain of 99 km2 from 1995 to 1999. The high precipitation recorded in 1995 and 1999 caused by El Niño-La Niña (ENSO), coinciding with the channels rehabilitation, influenced rapid mangrove regeneration. The lack of economic investment in the maintenance of the diversion structures from 2001 to 2004 caused a salinity increase affecting negatively already restored vegetation. A sustainable effort from the international community and the Colombian government is needed to maintain the strategic social and economic benefits reached until 2000 in the CGSM region

Adventures and misfortunes in macondo: rehabilitation of the cienaga grande de Santa Marta lagoon complex, Colombia.

[email protected] analítica--semestra

Salinity and Chlorophyll a as Performance Measures to Rehabilitate a Mangrove-Dominated Deltaic Coastal Region: the Ciénaga Grande de Santa Marta–Pajarales Lagoon Complex, Colombia

Salinity, water temperature, and chlorophyll a (chl-a) biomass were used as performance measures in the period 1999–2001 to evaluate the effect of a hydrological rehabilitation project in the Ciénaga Grande de Santa Marta (CGSM)–Pajarales lagoon complex, Colombia where freshwater diversions were initiated in 1995 and completed in 1998. The objective of this study was to evaluate how diversions of freshwater into previously hypersaline (\u3e80) environments changed the spatial and temporal distribution of environmental characteristics. Following the diversion, 19 surveys and transects using a flow-through system were surveyed in the CGSM–Pajarales complex to continuously measure selected water quality parameters. Geostatistical analysis indicates that hydrology and salinity regimes and water circulation patterns in the CGSM lagoon are largely controlled by freshwater discharge from the Fundacion, Aracataca, and Sevilla Rivers. Residence times in the CGSM lagoon were similar before (15.5 ± 3.8 days) and after (14.2 ± 2.0 days) the rehabilitation project and indicated that the system is flushed regularly. In contrast, chl-a biomass was highly variable in the CGSM–Pajarales lagoon complex and not related to discharge patterns. Mean annual chl-a biomass (44–250 μg L−1) following the diversion project was similar to values recorded since the 1980s and still remains among the highest reported in coastal systems around the world owing to its unique hydrology regulated by the Magdalena River and Sierra Nevada de Santa Marta watersheds and the high teleconnection to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Our results confirm that the reduction in salinity in the CGSM lagoon and Pajarales complex during 1999–2000 was largely driven by high precipitation (2500 mm) induced by the ENSO–La Niña rather than by the freshwater diversions