Predictive factors for open-angle glaucoma among patients with ocular hypertension in the European Glaucoma Prevention Study

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive factors of open-angle glaucoma (OAG) in patients affected by ocular hypertension enrolled in the European Glaucoma Prevention Study (EGPS). DESIGN: Randomized, double-masked, controlled clinical trial. PARTICIPANTS: One thousand seventy-seven patients, > or =30 years old, were enrolled at 18 European centers. The patients met inclusion criteria: intraocular pressure, 22 to 29 mmHg; 2 normal and reliable visual fields (VFs) (on the basis of mean deviation and corrected pattern standard deviation [PSD]); and a normal optic disc, as determined by an optic disc reading center. INTERVENTION: Treatment with dorzolamide or a placebo (the vehicle of dorzolamide) in one or both eyes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Efficacy end points were VF and/or optic disc changes. Baseline demographic and clinical data were collected before randomization, except for corneal thickness measurements, which were determined during follow-up. Proportional hazards models were used to identify factors that predicted which participants in the EGPS had developed OAG. RESULTS: In multivariate analyses, factors that predicted the development of OAG included older age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.69), larger vertical cup-to-disc (C/D) ratio (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.14-1.58), larger vertical C/D ratio asymmetry (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.11-1.93), higher PSD (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.15-2.38), and lesser central corneal thickness (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.05-1.67). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline age, vertical C/D ratio, vertical C/D ratio asymmetry, and PSD were good predictors of the onset of OAG in the EGPS. Central corneal thickness was found to be a powerful predictor of the development of OAG. The EGPS results agree with the findings of the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study and support the need for a thorough evaluation of patients with ocular hypertension.status: publishe

Reproducibility of evaluation of optic disc change for glaucoma with stereo optic disc photographs

To determine the reproducibility of the assessment for glaucomatous change in serial optic disc stereo-slides. Masked interobserver variability study. Serial optic disc stereo-slides from 40 patients. Three independent ophthalmologists evaluated for change a set of two serial 20 degrees optic disc color stereo-slides of 40 patients. This test set was not from European Glaucoma Prevention Study (EGPS) patients. Each observer performed two evaluations at least 30 days apart and was masked from the temporal sequence of the slides and his or her previous evaluation. Each patient was graded as changed or stable by two-out-of-three agreement. A kappa statistic was used to calculate the intra- and interobserver reproducibility as well as the assignment reproducibility (first consensus versus second consensus). The same procedure was followed to test the reproducibility when another experienced ophthalmologist was added to one of the three reading centers. Reproducibility in evaluating glaucomatous optic disc change. The intraobserver reproducibility (95% confidence interval [CI]) in the evaluation of change ranged between 0.79 (0.45-1.14) and 1.00 (0.69-1.31). The interobserver reproducibility (95% CI) in the evaluation of change ranged between 0.45 (0.15-0.75) and 0.75 (0.44-1.06). The assignment reproducibility (first consensus versus second consensus in the evaluation of change) between the senior EGPS readers was 0.94 (0.63-1.25). The assignment reproducibility when another experienced ophthalmologist replaced one of the readers was 0.94 (0.63-1.25). The assignment reproducibility of three expert readers looking for glaucomatous change in serial optic disc stereo-slides was excellent. It remained so when one of the three experts was replaced by another experienced reader

Reproducibility of evaluation of optic disc change for glaucoma with stereo optic disc photographs

To determine the reproducibility of the assessment for glaucomatous change in serial optic disc stereo-slides. Masked interobserver variability study. Serial optic disc stereo-slides from 40 patients. Three independent ophthalmologists evaluated for change a set of two serial 20 degrees optic disc color stereo-slides of 40 patients. This test set was not from European Glaucoma Prevention Study (EGPS) patients. Each observer performed two evaluations at least 30 days apart and was masked from the temporal sequence of the slides and his or her previous evaluation. Each patient was graded as changed or stable by two-out-of-three agreement. A kappa statistic was used to calculate the intra- and interobserver reproducibility as well as the assignment reproducibility (first consensus versus second consensus). The same procedure was followed to test the reproducibility when another experienced ophthalmologist was added to one of the three reading centers. Reproducibility in evaluating glaucomatous optic disc change. The intraobserver reproducibility (95% confidence interval [CI]) in the evaluation of change ranged between 0.79 (0.45-1.14) and 1.00 (0.69-1.31). The interobserver reproducibility (95% CI) in the evaluation of change ranged between 0.45 (0.15-0.75) and 0.75 (0.44-1.06). The assignment reproducibility (first consensus versus second consensus in the evaluation of change) between the senior EGPS readers was 0.94 (0.63-1.25). The assignment reproducibility when another experienced ophthalmologist replaced one of the readers was 0.94 (0.63-1.25). The assignment reproducibility of three expert readers looking for glaucomatous change in serial optic disc stereo-slides was excellent. It remained so when one of the three experts was replaced by another experienced reader