31 research outputs found

    SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modelling for safe surgery to save lives: data from an international prospective cohort study

    Get PDF
    Background Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 vaccination could support safer elective surgery. Vaccine numbers are limited so this study aimed to inform their prioritization by modelling. Methods The primary outcome was the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one COVID-19-related death in 1 year. NNVs were based on postoperative SARS-CoV-2 rates and mortality in an international cohort study (surgical patients), and community SARS-CoV-2 incidence and case fatality data (general population). NNV estimates were stratified by age (18–49, 50–69, 70 or more years) and type of surgery. Best- and worst-case scenarios were used to describe uncertainty. Results NNVs were more favourable in surgical patients than the general population. The most favourable NNVs were in patients aged 70 years or more needing cancer surgery (351; best case 196, worst case 816) or non-cancer surgery (733; best case 407, worst case 1664). Both exceeded the NNV in the general population (1840; best case 1196, worst case 3066). NNVs for surgical patients remained favourable at a range of SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates in sensitivity analysis modelling. Globally, prioritizing preoperative vaccination of patients needing elective surgery ahead of the general population could prevent an additional 58 687 (best case 115 007, worst case 20 177) COVID-19-related deaths in 1 year. Conclusion As global roll out of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination proceeds, patients needing elective surgery should be prioritized ahead of the general population

    The evolving SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Africa: Insights from rapidly expanding genomic surveillance

    Get PDF
    INTRODUCTION Investment in Africa over the past year with regard to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) sequencing has led to a massive increase in the number of sequences, which, to date, exceeds 100,000 sequences generated to track the pandemic on the continent. These sequences have profoundly affected how public health officials in Africa have navigated the COVID-19 pandemic. RATIONALE We demonstrate how the first 100,000 SARS-CoV-2 sequences from Africa have helped monitor the epidemic on the continent, how genomic surveillance expanded over the course of the pandemic, and how we adapted our sequencing methods to deal with an evolving virus. Finally, we also examine how viral lineages have spread across the continent in a phylogeographic framework to gain insights into the underlying temporal and spatial transmission dynamics for several variants of concern (VOCs). RESULTS Our results indicate that the number of countries in Africa that can sequence the virus within their own borders is growing and that this is coupled with a shorter turnaround time from the time of sampling to sequence submission. Ongoing evolution necessitated the continual updating of primer sets, and, as a result, eight primer sets were designed in tandem with viral evolution and used to ensure effective sequencing of the virus. The pandemic unfolded through multiple waves of infection that were each driven by distinct genetic lineages, with B.1-like ancestral strains associated with the first pandemic wave of infections in 2020. Successive waves on the continent were fueled by different VOCs, with Alpha and Beta cocirculating in distinct spatial patterns during the second wave and Delta and Omicron affecting the whole continent during the third and fourth waves, respectively. Phylogeographic reconstruction points toward distinct differences in viral importation and exportation patterns associated with the Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Omicron variants and subvariants, when considering both Africa versus the rest of the world and viral dissemination within the continent. Our epidemiological and phylogenetic inferences therefore underscore the heterogeneous nature of the pandemic on the continent and highlight key insights and challenges, for instance, recognizing the limitations of low testing proportions. We also highlight the early warning capacity that genomic surveillance in Africa has had for the rest of the world with the detection of new lineages and variants, the most recent being the characterization of various Omicron subvariants. CONCLUSION Sustained investment for diagnostics and genomic surveillance in Africa is needed as the virus continues to evolve. This is important not only to help combat SARS-CoV-2 on the continent but also because it can be used as a platform to help address the many emerging and reemerging infectious disease threats in Africa. In particular, capacity building for local sequencing within countries or within the continent should be prioritized because this is generally associated with shorter turnaround times, providing the most benefit to local public health authorities tasked with pandemic response and mitigation and allowing for the fastest reaction to localized outbreaks. These investments are crucial for pandemic preparedness and response and will serve the health of the continent well into the 21st century

    Tocilizumab in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial

    Get PDF
    Background: In this study, we aimed to evaluate the effects of tocilizumab in adult patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 with both hypoxia and systemic inflammation. Methods: This randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial (Randomised Evaluation of COVID-19 Therapy [RECOVERY]), is assessing several possible treatments in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in the UK. Those trial participants with hypoxia (oxygen saturation <92% on air or requiring oxygen therapy) and evidence of systemic inflammation (C-reactive protein ≥75 mg/L) were eligible for random assignment in a 1:1 ratio to usual standard of care alone versus usual standard of care plus tocilizumab at a dose of 400 mg–800 mg (depending on weight) given intravenously. A second dose could be given 12–24 h later if the patient's condition had not improved. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, assessed in the intention-to-treat population. The trial is registered with ISRCTN (50189673) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04381936). Findings: Between April 23, 2020, and Jan 24, 2021, 4116 adults of 21 550 patients enrolled into the RECOVERY trial were included in the assessment of tocilizumab, including 3385 (82%) patients receiving systemic corticosteroids. Overall, 621 (31%) of the 2022 patients allocated tocilizumab and 729 (35%) of the 2094 patients allocated to usual care died within 28 days (rate ratio 0·85; 95% CI 0·76–0·94; p=0·0028). Consistent results were seen in all prespecified subgroups of patients, including those receiving systemic corticosteroids. Patients allocated to tocilizumab were more likely to be discharged from hospital within 28 days (57% vs 50%; rate ratio 1·22; 1·12–1·33; p<0·0001). Among those not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at baseline, patients allocated tocilizumab were less likely to reach the composite endpoint of invasive mechanical ventilation or death (35% vs 42%; risk ratio 0·84; 95% CI 0·77–0·92; p<0·0001). Interpretation: In hospitalised COVID-19 patients with hypoxia and systemic inflammation, tocilizumab improved survival and other clinical outcomes. These benefits were seen regardless of the amount of respiratory support and were additional to the benefits of systemic corticosteroids. Funding: UK Research and Innovation (Medical Research Council) and National Institute of Health Research

    Convalescent plasma in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised controlled, open-label, platform trial

    Get PDF
    Background: Many patients with COVID-19 have been treated with plasma containing anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. We aimed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of convalescent plasma therapy in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Methods: This randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial (Randomised Evaluation of COVID-19 Therapy [RECOVERY]) is assessing several possible treatments in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in the UK. The trial is underway at 177 NHS hospitals from across the UK. Eligible and consenting patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either usual care alone (usual care group) or usual care plus high-titre convalescent plasma (convalescent plasma group). The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, analysed on an intention-to-treat basis. The trial is registered with ISRCTN, 50189673, and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04381936. Findings: Between May 28, 2020, and Jan 15, 2021, 11558 (71%) of 16287 patients enrolled in RECOVERY were eligible to receive convalescent plasma and were assigned to either the convalescent plasma group or the usual care group. There was no significant difference in 28-day mortality between the two groups: 1399 (24%) of 5795 patients in the convalescent plasma group and 1408 (24%) of 5763 patients in the usual care group died within 28 days (rate ratio 1·00, 95% CI 0·93–1·07; p=0·95). The 28-day mortality rate ratio was similar in all prespecified subgroups of patients, including in those patients without detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies at randomisation. Allocation to convalescent plasma had no significant effect on the proportion of patients discharged from hospital within 28 days (3832 [66%] patients in the convalescent plasma group vs 3822 [66%] patients in the usual care group; rate ratio 0·99, 95% CI 0·94–1·03; p=0·57). Among those not on invasive mechanical ventilation at randomisation, there was no significant difference in the proportion of patients meeting the composite endpoint of progression to invasive mechanical ventilation or death (1568 [29%] of 5493 patients in the convalescent plasma group vs 1568 [29%] of 5448 patients in the usual care group; rate ratio 0·99, 95% CI 0·93–1·05; p=0·79). Interpretation: In patients hospitalised with COVID-19, high-titre convalescent plasma did not improve survival or other prespecified clinical outcomes. Funding: UK Research and Innovation (Medical Research Council) and National Institute of Health Research

    Treatment of collapsible soils by mixing with iron powder

    No full text
    Collapsible soils are meta-stable soils which present a potential for a large deformation and a complete change to the whole particle structure after wetting, with or without loading. Such soils can show high apparent strength in its natural state but collapse takes place as the bonds between grains break down when the soil is wetted or loaded. There are several techniques for treatment of collapsible soils such as chemical stabilization and dry mixing the soil with other material/materials which improve the soil's mechanical properties. This paper discusses a new proposed technique for treating the collapsible soils by dry mixing with iron powder in a specified percentage proportional to the weight (Ad). Experimental tests program was performed on collapsible soils with/without the addition of iron powder. The analysis of results showed the effect of the initial unit weight of soil γd, and the percentage of the weight-related additives on collapse potential (CP). The testing program also presents the effects of the amount of induced rainfall water (Qw), the applied stress on footing model (q), the ratio between depth of improved soils and the footing width (di/B), as well as the degree of compaction (Rc) of the improved portion of collapsible soils. This study presents the obtained results and shows in detail the positive effect of using iron powder for treating the collapsible soils and subsequently reducing the expected collapse settlement. Keywords: Treatment of collapsible soils, Experimental study, Iron powder, Reduction ratio, Soils suctio

    CHARACTERISTICS OF ALLELE POOL SCHWYZ-ZEBU CATTLE BY MICROSATELLITE MARKERS BREEDING IN TAJIKISTAN

    No full text
    This article deal with the genetic characteristics of samples Schwyz-zebu cattle from three farms of the Republic of Tajikistan on 10 microsatellite markers (STS). Studies performed using multilocus STS analysis system of cattle. The estimation of genetic variability population was studied. Based on the analysis of genotypes of the animals examined by MS, as well as on the number and allele frequencies that are common to each population, set high genetic consolidation of the studied populations. The resulting information can be used in dealing with the conservation and sustainable use of genetic resources of the Tajik Schwyz-zebu cattle

    Annealing effects on the structural, electrical and optical properties of ZnO thin films prepared by thermal evaporation technique

    Get PDF
    Zinc oxide (ZnO) thin films have been prepared on glass substrates at room temperature by thermal evaporation technique using ZnO powders and then are annealed at different temperatures ranging from 200 °C to 500 °C for 2 h in air. The effect of the annealing temperature (Tr) on the structural, optical and electrical properties of the ZnO thin films was studied. Experimental results show that annealing temperature has an important role in the changes observed in the structural, optical and electrical properties of the ZnO thin films. The XRD measurements confirm that the thin films grown by this technique have good crystalline hexagonal wurtzite structures. The optical transmittance spectra show transmittance higher about ∼90% within the visible wavelength region. Hence, the values of the gap are found to be between 3.13 and 3.25 eV. The resistivity values of the films have changed between 2.10−3 and 4.10−2 Ω cm with annealing temperature

    The Dynamics of Agile Practices for Safety-Critical Software Development

    No full text

    Diagnostic performance of Multislice Computed Tomography in evaluation of coronary artery bypass grafts in diabetic and non-diabetic patients

    Get PDF
    We sought to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of noninvasive dual-source multi-slice computed tomography (MSCT) angiography in the assessment of graft patency and degree of stenosis in patients after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Background: Assessment of bypass grafts body and their anastomotic sites by invasive coronary angiography have a risk of potentially life-threatening complications and often require extra procedure time, contrast load, and radiation exposure. Methods: 64-dual-source MSCT was performed to 51 (49 men, mean age 58.6 ± 8 years, range from 38 to 76) post-CABG symptomatic patients. Control of heart rate was done with oral beta blockers, sublingual nitrates was given 2-3 min before the scan. Mean interval between CABG surgery and MSCT was 73.41 ± 65.84 (range 3 to 252) months. Mean heart rate during scanning was 62.5 ± 13.2 (range 52–72) beats/min. Ninety-four percent of patients had both arterial and venous grafts. A total of 142 graft body and 142 anastomotic sites were analyzed. Two grafts body and 4 anastomotic sites were excluded because they were non-evaluable by MSCT. A semi-quantitative assessment of the graft stenosis severity was done according to the recommendation of the Society of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography (SCCT) A significant stenosis was defined as equal to or >70%, moderate stenosis 40–69% and mild <40% lumen diameter reduction. A reference standard invasive coronary angiography was done according to conventional technique through standard trans-femoral approach and was evaluated by an observer blinded to the MSCT results. Results: The diagnostic accuracy of MSCT for the detection or exclusion of significant stenosis in grafts body and their anastomotic sites was 99.28%, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were 97.75%, 100%, 100%, 98.95%. The diagnostic accuracy for detection of degree of graft stenosis (mild, moderate, severe or occluded) was 97.18%. Conclusion: Noninvasive MSCT angiography is an excellent tool for evaluating patency or degree of stenosis of bypass grafts body and their anastomotic sites in post-CABG patients
    corecore