Evidence for antibody as a protective correlate for COVID-19 vaccines

A correlate of protection (CoP) is urgently needed to expedite development of additional COVID-19 vaccines to meet unprecedented global demand. To assess whether antibody titers may reasonably predict efficacy and serve as the basis of a CoP, we evaluated the relationship between efficacy and in vitro neutralizing and binding antibodies of 7 vaccines for which sufficient data have been generated. Once calibrated to titers of human convalescent sera reported in each study, a robust correlation was seen between neutralizing titer and efficacy (ρ = 0.79) and binding antibody titer and efficacy (ρ = 0.93), despite geographically diverse study populations subject to different forces of infection and circulating variants, and use of different endpoints, assays, convalescent sera panels and manufacturing platforms. Together with evidence from natural history studies and animal models, these results support the use of post-immunization antibody titers as the basis for establishing a correlate of protection for COVID-19 vaccines

Non-spherical shapes of capsules within a fourth-order curvature model

We minimize a discrete version of the fourth-order curvature based Landau free energy by extending Brakke's Surface Evolver. This model predicts spherical as well as non-spherical shapes with dimples, bumps and ridges to be the energy minimizers. Our results suggest that the buckling and faceting transitions, usually associated with crystalline matter, can also be an intrinsic property of non-crystalline membranes.Comment: 6 pages, 4 figures (LaTeX macros EPJ), accepted for publication in EPJ

Oscillatory Electron-Phonon Coupling in Ultra-Thin Silver Films on V(100)

The temperature dependence of peak widths in high resolution angle-resolved photoelectron spectroscopy from quantum well states in ultra thin Ag films on V(100) has been used to determine the electron-phonon coupling constant, lambda, for films of thickness 1-8 layers. A strong oscillatory variation in coupling strength is observed as a function of film thickness, peaking at a 2 layer film for which lambda~1. A simple theory incorporating interaction of the photo-hole with the thermal vibrations of the potential step at the adlayer-vacuum interface is shown to reproduce the main features of these results.Comment: 6 pages, 3 figure

Towards a population-based threshold of protection for COVID-19 vaccines

Correlates of protection for COVID-19 vaccines are urgently needed to license additional vaccines. We measured immune responses to four COVID-19 vaccines of proven efficacy using a single serological platform. IgG anti-Spike antibodies were highly correlated with ID50 neutralization in a validated pseudoviral assay and correlated significantly with efficacies for protection against infection with wild-type, alpha and delta variant SARS-CoV-2 virus. The protective threshold for each vaccine was calculated for IgG anti-Spike antibody. The mean protective threshold for all vaccine studies for WT virus was 154 BAU/ml (95 %CI 42–559), and for studies with antibody distributions that enabled precise estimation of thresholds (i.e. leaving out 2-dose mRNA regimens) was 60 BAU/ml (95 %CI 35–102). We propose that the proportion of individuals with responses above the appropriate protective threshold together with the geometric mean concentration can be used in comparative non-inferiority studies with licensed vaccines to ensure that new vaccines will be efficacious