大陆台商投资相对集中区与台湾制造业竞争力之比较

虽然改革开放以来大陆台资集中区制造业取得了举世瞩目的成就,但是制造业发展成就主要体现在规模扩张,制造业的竞争力主要源于廉价的劳动力,目前正从劳动密集型产业向资本和技术密集型产业转化。比较而言,目前台湾制造业已经相当成熟,具有多元产业集群、完备的产业体系和产业链以及深化的产业研发实力,其早在1980年代就基本上完成了从劳动密集型产业向资本和技术密集型产业转化的过程。后ECFA时代大陆台资集中区若能抓住"十二五"规划及ECFA签署之契机,取长补短,互补合作,发挥各自优势,实现进一步整合,必将对两岸制造业竞争力与经济实力之提升大有助益。国家社科基金项目(项目编号:06BJY005

Effect of Cross-strait Trade on Employment in the Taiwan-invested Concentrated Areas

采用1994-2008年8个省市的面板数据,对大陆台商投资集中地区与台湾贸易的就业效应进行探讨。研究结果表明,大陆台商投资集中地区的对台出口对就业具有显著的正向影响,而自台进口则对其就业具有挤出效应,而且自台进口对就业的挤出效应大于出口对就业的促进效应。另外,台商投资集中地区经济增长对就业有显著的正向影响,而且经济增长的就业效应明显大于对台出口的就业效应。资本产出比对就业产生显著的负向影响,表明在台商投资集中地区存在一定程度资本替代劳动的现象。This paper uses panel data approach to analyze the employment effect of the cross- strait trade in the Taiwan- invested concentrated areas with a panel data of eight regions over the period of 1994- 2008. The results reveal that the exports from Mainland China toTaiwan have a significant positive impact on employment, while imports from Taiwan have a significant negative impact, which means the exports will lead to employment growth, and the import exist the crowding- out effects. In addition, capital input ratios has a negative impact on employment, showing that there is an obvious phenomenon that capita l replaces labor in the Taiwan- invested concentrated areas.国家社科基金项目,项目编号:06BJY005;福建省高等学校新世纪优秀人才支持计划资

A Study of Performances of Venture Capital Contributing to China’s Development of High-tech Industry: Cross-regional Comparisons through DEA

风险投资促进高科技产业发展的过程是一个多输入和多输出的复杂系统。对这种复杂系统进行绩效研究,DEA方法有其独特的优势。立足于区域比较的视角,利用2003-2006年我国八大地区的面板数据,采用DEA方法可对我国各区风险投资对其高科技产业发展的绩效进行研究。研究结果显示,我国风险投资对高科技产业发展的综合技术效率、纯技术效率和规模效率总体上都呈上升趋势,但由于纯技术效率偏低导致我国风险投资对高科技产业发展的综合效率也偏低;各地区的绩效差异显著。因此,应当加快发展我国风险投资,特别要加速发展我国落后地区的风险投资;重视区域风险投资的协调发展;进一步完善我国风险投资的系统环境。The process of venture capital ( VC) contributing to the development of high-tech industry ( DHTI) is a complex one characte rized by high input and high output. This paper argues that DEA has its unique advantages in studying such a complex process. A DEA-based study comparing eight regions on the basis of panel data released between 2003 and 2006 in those regions in China has been conducted in order to evaluate the performance of VC contributing to DHT I. Our results show that the overall technological efficiency, pure technological efficiency and scale efficiency of Chinas' VC contributing to DHTI are on the increase as a whole, but that the overall efficiency of Chinas' VC contributing to DHTI is low due to the low level o f pure technological efficiency, and that there are significant differences across the eight regions in terms of performance. It is therefore suggested that VC be accelerated in China, especially in backward areas, that emphasis be placed on coordinated development across regions, and that the environment of VC be further improved.国家社会科学基金项目“海峡西岸和其他台商投资相对集中地区的经济发展”(06BJY005);福建省2006年软科学研究计划重大项目“台湾科技创新体制机制研究”(2006R0042

中国风险投资与高科技产业发展

本文利用1995～2007年的相关经济数据,运用协整检验与Granger因果检验方法对中国风险投资与高科技产业发展的关系进行探讨。研究结果表明,中国风险投资与高科技产业发展之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;风险投资是我国高科技产业发展的单向Granger原因

祖国大陆台资集中区与台湾地区贸易的经济增长效应——基于面板数据模型分析

2010年6月29日ECFA的签署标志着两岸经贸合作由功能性阶段进入制度化阶段,两岸经贸合作掀开了崭新的篇章。2011年1月1日ECFA货物贸易与服务贸易早期收获计划正式实施,随后1月6日"两岸经合会"正式成立,将进一步深化两岸经贸合作。两岸贸易在祖国大陆的经济发展,扮演的角色如何?其发展现状与特征如何?对祖国大陆的经济发展产生何种效应?目前,已成为政府和政策研究者关注的焦点问题

“海西区”两岸区域性金融中心的构建和发展策略

国务院出台《关于支持福建省加快建设海峡西岸经济区的若干意见》之后,福、厦、泉等海西城市竞逐两岸区域性金融服务中心。如果定性地对三地建设区域金融中心的基础条件进行比较,三个地方各有优劣势。本文运用熵值法和灰色关联分析法对三地进行实证检验。实证结果表明,厦门最有条件成为两岸区域性金融中心,其次是福州,泉州大部分指标居于末位,很难与福、厦角逐两岸区域性金融中心。因此,"海西区"两岸区域性金融中心的构建应当形成"厦门、福州"两个区域金融中心,而发展模式应当采取混合模式。目前的发展策略为:充分发挥政府的推动作用,用好"先行先试"政策,打造两岸金融合作实验区,快形成海西金融集聚区

Performance of Cross-strait Economic and Trade Cooperation between Areas Where Taiwan Investment Is Concentrated and Taiwan Province:an Empirical Study Based on DEA-Tobit Approach

应用DEA-Tobit相关模型对1994-2008年祖国大陆8个台资集中省市与台湾地区经贸合作的绩效及其成因进行探讨。结果表明,各地区与台湾地区的经贸合作对其经济发展的综合技术效率总体上并不高,其原因主要是由于规模效率偏低。另外,各地区的经济发展绩效差异显著。Tobit回归模型显示人口素质、交通状况、科技水平等因素均显著地影响了各地区的经济发展绩效。 This paper uses DEA-Tobit approach to analyze the performance of cross-strait economic and trade cooperation between areas where Taiwan investment is concentrated and Taiwan Province with a panel data of eight regions over the period of 1994-2008. The results reveal that the technical efficiency is not high, which mainly due to scale efficiency. In addition, performances differences of various regions are remarkable. The Tobit regression model shows that the quality of population, transport, level of science & technology and Asian financial crisis significantly affects the economic development performance of regions.国家社科基金项目“海峡西岸和其他台商投资相对集中地区的经济发展”(项目编号:06BJY005)的阶段性研究成

Comparative Study on the Technical Efficiency and Productivity of Cross-Strait Banking Sector——Based on the DEA and Malmquist Approaches

本文采用dEA方法和MAlMQuIST生产率变动指数法,分析了2004—2011年期间两岸银行业的技术效率、生产率及其决定因素。研究发现,大陆银行业的技术效率低于台湾地区,其中的主要原因是大陆银行业的纯技术效率较低。基于随机效应面板TObIT回归模型的分析发现,存贷比水平提高、经济金融发展水平提高、资金集聚有利于改善两岸银行业的表现。近年来,两岸银行业的生产率表现皆有所改善,但大陆表现好于台湾。基于系统gMM回归模型的分析发现,生产率变动有负持续性现象;两岸银行业资产规模与生产率的关系存在最适规模;东部地区的银行生产率改善比中、西部地区更有优势;银行业从业人员占比提高、银行业区域集聚及2008年国际金融危机,是近年来生产率下降的主要原因。This paper used the DEA and Malmquist approaches to compare the efficiency and productivity of cross-strait banking sector over 2004-2011.The research showed that the mainland banking sector had a lower technical efficiency than Taiwan.The main reason was that the pure technical efficiency of mainland banking sector was lower.Random-effects panel Tobit regression model results indicated that high loan-to-deposit ratio,economic and financial development,and funds pooling could be helpful for cross-strait banking performance.In recent years,the cross-strait banking productivity has been improved,and the mainland performed better than Taiwan.System GMM regression results indicated that productivity was significantly negative persistent.Productivity improvement of the east region banks was better than the central and western regions banks.The concentration of the banking sector experts,the banking regional agglomeration and the 2008 global financial crisis could explain the decline of productivity.教育部规划基金项目“开放经济下中国货币政策规则理论和实证研究”(项目号:10YJA790238); 教育部哲学社会科学发展报告建设(培育)项目“海峡西岸经济区发展报告”(项目号:11JBGP006)的阶段性研究成

Performance of Cross-strait Economic and Trade Cooperation between Areas Where Taiwan Investment Is Concentrated and Taiwan Province:an Empirical Study Based on DEA-Tobit Approach

应用DEA-Tobit相关模型对1994-2008年祖国大陆8个台资集中省市与台湾地区经贸合作的绩效及其成因进行探讨。结果表明,各地区与台湾地区的经贸合作对其经济发展的综合技术效率总体上并不高,其原因主要是由于规模效率偏低。另外,各地区的经济发展绩效差异显著。Tobit回归模型显示人口素质、交通状况、科技水平等因素均显著地影响了各地区的经济发展绩效。This paper uses DEA-Tobit approach to analyze the performance of cross-strait economic and trade cooperation between areas where Taiwan investment is concentrated and Taiwan Province with a panel data of eight regions over the period of 1994-2008. The results reveal that the technical efficiency is not high, which mainly due to scale efficiency. In addition, performances differences of various regions are remarkable. The Tobit regression model shows that the quality of population, transport, level of science & technology and Asian financial crisis significantly affects the economic development performance of regions.国家社科基金项目“海峡西岸和其他台商投资相对集中地区的经济发展”(项目编号:06BJY005)的阶段性研究成

Exchange Rate Adjustment and Sino-U.S.Economic and Trade Relation Improvement

本文选取1995-2009年的季度数据作为样本,借助协整分析、误差修正模型以及Granger因果检验等方法,从中美贸易收支和美在华FDI两方面,就人民币实际汇率对中美经贸关系的影响进行了实证研究。结果表明:长期内,虽然人民币汇率调整在一定程度上可以改善中美经贸关系,但人民币升值并不能改善美中贸易逆差,而短期内的影响更不显著,两国贸易收支和美在华FDI的收入效应也并不明显。因此,改善中美经贸关系的解决之道在于转变我国经济发展模式和外贸发展战略;逐步完善汇率制度,加快人民币国际化进程等。 This paper explores the empirical analysis on the impact of RMB real exchange rate on Sino- US economic and trade relations, from the two aspects of bilateral trade and FDI, based on Co- integration test, ECM and Granger test with the sample of quarterly data from 1995 to 2009. The results show that the adjustment of RMB ex change ratewill improve on Sino- US economic and trade relations to some extent in the long term, but such impact is not significant in the short term. Meanwhile, both the bilateral trade and the U.S. FDI haven. t income effects in China, which indicate that Sino- US trade imbalance couldn. t be solved essentially by the adjustment of RMB exchange rate alone. The key points lay on changing China. seconomic development pattern and trade strategies, improving the exchange rate system gradually and acce-lerating internationalization of RMB, etc.教育部规划基金项目(10YJA790238)的阶段性研究成果;2006.11-2009.9福建省高等学校新世纪优秀人才支持计划资