GAM predictions—Density vs. Deviation from the mean Peak Load (Proportion of Infectious) on the left and mean Peak Load (Actual) on the right.

<p>GAM predictions—Density vs. Deviation from the mean Peak Load (Proportion of Infectious) on the left and mean Peak Load (Actual) on the right.</p

The distribution of <i>R</i>₀ values found by calibration (Red lines represent the range in the literature).

<p>The distribution of <i>R</i>₀ values found by calibration (Red lines represent the range in the literature).</p

Sample convergence of simulation iterations to POC-Data.

<p>Sample convergence of simulation iterations to POC-Data.</p

Trajectory of proportion of infectious—Simulation vs. Knox-Data.

<p>Trajectory of proportion of infectious—Simulation vs. Knox-Data.</p

Spearman correlation coefficients during AUTUMN outbreak.

<p>Spearman correlation coefficients during AUTUMN outbreak.</p

Comparisons of calibrated <i>pt</i> values against distinct datasets.

<p>Comparisons of calibrated <i>pt</i> values against distinct datasets.</p

The distribution of diffusion speed (on the left) and peak load (on the right) for all zip-codes.

<p>The distribution of diffusion speed (on the left) and peak load (on the right) for all zip-codes.</p