Uniform Chernoff and Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type inequalities for Markov chains and related processes

We observe that the technique of Markov contraction can be used to establish measure concentration for a broad class of non-contracting chains. In particular, geometric ergodicity provides a simple and versatile framework. This leads to a short, elementary proof of a general concentration inequality for Markov and hidden Markov chains (HMM), which supercedes some of the known results and easily extends to other processes such as Markov trees. As applications, we give a Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type inequality and a uniform Chernoff bound. All of our bounds are dimension-free and hold for countably infinite state spaces

Training Input-Output Recurrent Neural Networks through Spectral Methods

We consider the problem of training input-output recurrent neural networks (RNN) for sequence labeling tasks. We propose a novel spectral approach for learning the network parameters. It is based on decomposition of the cross-moment tensor between the output and a non-linear transformation of the input, based on score functions. We guarantee consistent learning with polynomial sample and computational complexity under transparent conditions such as non-degeneracy of model parameters, polynomial activations for the neurons, and a Markovian evolution of the input sequence. We also extend our results to Bidirectional RNN which uses both previous and future information to output the label at each time point, and is employed in many NLP tasks such as POS tagging

Tail maximal dependence in bivariate models: estimation and applications

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices underestimate the strength. Hence, we advocate the use of a statistical procedure designed to estimate the maximal strength of dependence that can possibly occur among the co-movements. We illustrate the procedure using simulated and real data-sets

Reinforcement Learning in Rich-Observation MDPs using Spectral Methods

Reinforcement learning (RL) in Markov decision processes (MDPs) with large state spaces is a challenging problem. The performance of standard RL algorithms degrades drastically with the dimensionality of state space. However, in practice, these large MDPs typically incorporate a latent or hidden low-dimensional structure. In this paper, we study the setting of rich-observation Markov decision processes (ROMDP), where there are a small number of hidden states which possess an injective mapping to the observation states. In other words, every observation state is generated through a single hidden state, and this mapping is unknown a priori. We introduce a spectral decomposition method that consistently learns this mapping, and more importantly, achieves it with low regret. The estimated mapping is integrated into an optimistic RL algorithm (UCRL), which operates on the estimated hidden space. We derive finite-time regret bounds for our algorithm with a weak dependence on the dimensionality of the observed space. In fact, our algorithm asymptotically achieves the same average regret as the oracle UCRL algorithm, which has the knowledge of the mapping from hidden to observed spaces. Thus, we derive an efficient spectral RL algorithm for ROMDPs