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Scalable Multiagent Coordination with Distributed Online Open Loop Planning
We propose distributed online open loop planning (DOOLP), a general framework
for online multiagent coordination and decision making under uncertainty. DOOLP
is based on online heuristic search in the space defined by a generative model
of the domain dynamics, which is exploited by agents to simulate and evaluate
the consequences of their potential choices.
We also propose distributed online Thompson sampling (DOTS) as an effective
instantiation of the DOOLP framework. DOTS models sequences of agent choices by
concatenating a number of multiarmed bandits for each agent and uses Thompson
sampling for dealing with action value uncertainty. The Bayesian approach
underlying Thompson sampling allows to effectively model and estimate
uncertainty about (a) own action values and (b) other agents' behavior. This
approach yields a principled and statistically sound solution to the
exploration-exploitation dilemma when exploring large search spaces with
limited resources.
We implemented DOTS in a smart factory case study with positive empirical
results. We observed effective, robust and scalable planning and coordination
capabilities even when only searching a fraction of the potential search space
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