840 research outputs found
Short-Term Forecasting of Passenger Demand under On-Demand Ride Services: A Spatio-Temporal Deep Learning Approach
Short-term passenger demand forecasting is of great importance to the
on-demand ride service platform, which can incentivize vacant cars moving from
over-supply regions to over-demand regions. The spatial dependences, temporal
dependences, and exogenous dependences need to be considered simultaneously,
however, which makes short-term passenger demand forecasting challenging. We
propose a novel deep learning (DL) approach, named the fusion convolutional
long short-term memory network (FCL-Net), to address these three dependences
within one end-to-end learning architecture. The model is stacked and fused by
multiple convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) layers, standard LSTM
layers, and convolutional layers. The fusion of convolutional techniques and
the LSTM network enables the proposed DL approach to better capture the
spatio-temporal characteristics and correlations of explanatory variables. A
tailored spatially aggregated random forest is employed to rank the importance
of the explanatory variables. The ranking is then used for feature selection.
The proposed DL approach is applied to the short-term forecasting of passenger
demand under an on-demand ride service platform in Hangzhou, China.
Experimental results, validated on real-world data provided by DiDi Chuxing,
show that the FCL-Net achieves better predictive performance than traditional
approaches including both classical time-series prediction models and neural
network based algorithms (e.g., artificial neural network and LSTM). This paper
is one of the first DL studies to forecast the short-term passenger demand of
an on-demand ride service platform by examining the spatio-temporal
correlations.Comment: 39 pages, 10 figure
Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and
guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow,
traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term
prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this
paper, we propose a novel deep learning framework, Spatio-Temporal Graph
Convolutional Networks (STGCN), to tackle the time series prediction problem in
traffic domain. Instead of applying regular convolutional and recurrent units,
we formulate the problem on graphs and build the model with complete
convolutional structures, which enable much faster training speed with fewer
parameters. Experiments show that our model STGCN effectively captures
comprehensive spatio-temporal correlations through modeling multi-scale traffic
networks and consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on various
real-world traffic datasets.Comment: Proceedings of the 27th International Joint Conference on Artificial
Intelligenc
DeepTransport: Learning Spatial-Temporal Dependency for Traffic Condition Forecasting
Predicting traffic conditions has been recently explored as a way to relieve
traffic congestion. Several pioneering approaches have been proposed based on
traffic observations of the target location as well as its adjacent regions,
but they obtain somewhat limited accuracy due to lack of mining road topology.
To address the effect attenuation problem, we propose to take account of the
traffic of surrounding locations(wider than adjacent range). We propose an
end-to-end framework called DeepTransport, in which Convolutional Neural
Networks (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) are utilized to obtain
spatial-temporal traffic information within a transport network topology. In
addition, attention mechanism is introduced to align spatial and temporal
information. Moreover, we constructed and released a real-world large traffic
condition dataset with 5-minute resolution. Our experiments on this dataset
demonstrate our method captures the complex relationship in temporal and
spatial domain. It significantly outperforms traditional statistical methods
and a state-of-the-art deep learning method
A Deep Spatio-Temporal Fuzzy Neural Network for Passenger Demand Prediction
In spite of its importance, passenger demand prediction is a highly
challenging problem, because the demand is simultaneously influenced by the
complex interactions among many spatial and temporal factors and other external
factors such as weather. To address this problem, we propose a Spatio-TEmporal
Fuzzy neural Network (STEF-Net) to accurately predict passenger demands
incorporating the complex interactions of all known important factors. We
design an end-to-end learning framework with different neural networks modeling
different factors. Specifically, we propose to capture spatio-temporal feature
interactions via a convolutional long short-term memory network and model
external factors via a fuzzy neural network that handles data uncertainty
significantly better than deterministic methods. To keep the temporal relations
when fusing two networks and emphasize discriminative spatio-temporal feature
interactions, we employ a novel feature fusion method with a convolution
operation and an attention layer. As far as we know, our work is the first to
fuse a deep recurrent neural network and a fuzzy neural network to model
complex spatial-temporal feature interactions with additional uncertain input
features for predictive learning. Experiments on a large-scale real-world
dataset show that our model achieves more than 10% improvement over the
state-of-the-art approaches.Comment: https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/1.9781611975673.1
Geometry-Based Next Frame Prediction from Monocular Video
We consider the problem of next frame prediction from video input. A
recurrent convolutional neural network is trained to predict depth from
monocular video input, which, along with the current video image and the camera
trajectory, can then be used to compute the next frame. Unlike prior next-frame
prediction approaches, we take advantage of the scene geometry and use the
predicted depth for generating the next frame prediction. Our approach can
produce rich next frame predictions which include depth information attached to
each pixel. Another novel aspect of our approach is that it predicts depth from
a sequence of images (e.g. in a video), rather than from a single still image.
We evaluate the proposed approach on the KITTI dataset, a standard dataset for
benchmarking tasks relevant to autonomous driving. The proposed method produces
results which are visually and numerically superior to existing methods that
directly predict the next frame. We show that the accuracy of depth prediction
improves as more prior frames are considered.Comment: To appear in 2017 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposiu
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