Sequential optimization of strip bending process using multiquadric radial basis function surrogate models

Surrogate models are used within the sequential optimization strategy for forming processes. A sequential improvement (SI) scheme is used to refine the surrogate model in the optimal region. One of the popular surrogate modeling methods for SI is Kriging. However, the global response of Kriging models deteriorates in some cases due to local model refinement within SI. This may be problematic for multimodal optimization problems and for other applications where correct prediction of the global response is needed. In this paper the deteriorating global behavior of the Kriging surrogate modeling technique is shown for a model of a strip bending process. It is shown that a Radial Basis Function (RBF) surrogate model with Multiquadric (MQ) basis functions performs equally well in terms of optimization efficiency and better in terms of global predictive accuracy. The local point density is taken into account in the model formulatio

Development and evaluation of land use regression models for black carbon based on bicycle and pedestrian measurements in the urban environment

Land use regression (LUR) modelling is increasingly used in epidemiological studies to predict air pollution exposure. The use of stationary measurements at a limited number of locations to build a LUR model, however, can lead to an overestimation of its predictive abilities. We use opportunistic mobile monitoring to gather data at a high spatial resolution to build LUR models to predict annual average concentrations of black carbon (BC). The models explain a significant part of the variance in BC concentrations. However, the overall predictive performance remains low, due to input uncertainty and lack of predictive variables that can properly capture the complex characteristics of local concentrations. We stress the importance of using an appropriate cross-validation scheme to estimate the predictive performance of the model. By using independent data for the validation and excluding those data also during variable selection in the model building procedure, overly optimistic performance estimates are avoided. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

Antecedents and consequences of effectuation and causation in the international new venture creation process

The selection of the entry mode in an international market is of key importance for the venture. A process-based perspective on entry mode selection can add to the International Business and International Entrepreneurship literature. Framing the international market entry as an entrepreneurial process, this paper analyzes the antecedents and consequences of causation and effectuation in the entry mode selection. For the analysis, regression-based techniques were used on a sample of 65 gazelles. The results indicate that experienced entrepreneurs tend to apply effectuation rather than causation, while uncertainty does not have a systematic influence. Entrepreneurs using causation-based international new venture creation processes tend to engage in export-type entry modes, while effectuation-based international new venture creation processes do not predetermine the entry mod

Personalizing gesture recognition using hierarchical bayesian neural networks

Building robust classifiers trained on data susceptible to group or subject-specific variations is a challenging pattern recognition problem. We develop hierarchical Bayesian neural networks to capture subject-specific variations and share statistical strength across subjects. Leveraging recent work on learning Bayesian neural networks, we build fast, scalable algorithms for inferring the posterior distribution over all network weights in the hierarchy. We also develop methods for adapting our model to new subjects when a small number of subject-specific personalization data is available. Finally, we investigate active learning algorithms for interactively labeling personalization data in resource-constrained scenarios. Focusing on the problem of gesture recognition where inter-subject variations are commonplace, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed techniques. We test our framework on three widely used gesture recognition datasets, achieving personalization performance competitive with the state-of-the-art.http://openaccess.thecvf.com/content_cvpr_2017/html/Joshi_Personalizing_Gesture_Recognition_CVPR_2017_paper.htmlhttp://openaccess.thecvf.com/content_cvpr_2017/html/Joshi_Personalizing_Gesture_Recognition_CVPR_2017_paper.htmlhttp://openaccess.thecvf.com/content_cvpr_2017/html/Joshi_Personalizing_Gesture_Recognition_CVPR_2017_paper.htmlPublished versio