Scenario-based optimization of merchant vessels

This thesis introduces a scenario approach for determining a vessel's future operational profile regarding speed, draught and sea state conditions. It follows the Monte-Carlo principle and features the multiple simulation of a vessel's service life on the basis of a designated trade description, stochastically developing economic and market conditions and environmental influences. Additionally, uncertainties and disruptive events (crises) are considered. The resulting operational profile provides the basis for a multi-objective hull form optimization leading to a robust, holistic ship design