11 research outputs found

    Some models of financial decisions

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    First passage problems for upwards skip-free random walks via the Φ,W,Z\Phi,W,Z paradigm

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    We develop the theory of the WW and ZZ scale functions for right-continuous (upwards skip-free) discrete-time discrete-space random walks, along the lines of the analogue theory for spectrally negative L\'evy processes. Notably, we introduce for the first time in this context the one and two-parameter scale functions ZZ, which appear for example in the joint problem of deficit at ruin and time of ruin, and in problems concerning the walk reflected at an upper barrier. Comparisons are made between the various theories of scale functions as one makes time and/or space continuous. The theory is shown to be fruitful by providing a convenient unified framework for studying dividends-capital injection problems under various objectives, for the so-called compound binomial risk model of actuarial science.Comment: 27 page

    Markov Decision Processes with Risk-Sensitive Criteria: An Overview

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    The paper provides an overview of the theory and applications of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. The term 'risk-sensitive' refers here to the use of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent as a means to measure expectation and risk. This comprises the well-known entropic risk measure and Conditional Value-at-Risk. We restrict our considerations to stationary problems with an infinite time horizon. Conditions are given under which optimal policies exist and solution procedures are explained. We present both the theory when the Optimized Certainty Equivalent is applied recursively as well as the case where it is applied to the cumulated reward. Discounted as well as non-discounted models are reviewe

    On the optimality of joint periodic and extraordinary dividend strategies

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    In this paper, we model the cash surplus (or equity) of a risky business with a Brownian motion. Owners can take cash out of the surplus in the form of "dividends", subject to transaction costs. However, if the surplus hits 0 then ruin occurs and the business cannot operate any more. We consider two types of dividend distributions: (i) periodic, regular ones (that is, dividends can be paid only at countable many points in time, according to a specific arrival process); and (ii) extraordinary dividend payments that can be made immediately at any time (that is, the dividend decision time space is continuous and matches that of the surplus process). Both types of dividends attract proportional transaction costs, and extraordinary distributions also attracts fixed transaction costs, a realistic feature. A dividend strategy that involves both types of distributions (periodic and extraordinary) is qualified as "hybrid". We determine which strategies (either periodic, immediate, or hybrid) are optimal, that is, we show which are the strategies that maximise the expected present value of dividends paid until ruin, net of transaction costs. Sometimes, a liquidation strategy (which pays out all monies and stops the process) is optimal. Which strategy is optimal depends on the profitability of the business, and the level of (proportional and fixed) transaction costs. Results are illustrated

    Statistics of extremes, matrix distributions and applications in non-life insurance modeling

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