32,498 research outputs found
Randomized Solutions to Convex Programs with Multiple Chance Constraints
The scenario-based optimization approach (`scenario approach') provides an
intuitive way of approximating the solution to chance-constrained optimization
programs, based on finding the optimal solution under a finite number of
sampled outcomes of the uncertainty (`scenarios'). A key merit of this approach
is that it neither assumes knowledge of the uncertainty set, as it is common in
robust optimization, nor of its probability distribution, as it is usually
required in stochastic optimization. Moreover, the scenario approach is
computationally efficient as its solution is based on a deterministic
optimization program that is canonically convex, even when the original
chance-constrained problem is not. Recently, researchers have obtained
theoretical foundations for the scenario approach, providing a direct link
between the number of scenarios and bounds on the constraint violation
probability. These bounds are tight in the general case of an uncertain
optimization problem with a single chance constraint. However, this paper shows
that these bounds can be improved in situations where the constraints have a
limited `support rank', a new concept that is introduced for the first time.
This property is typically found in a large number of practical
applications---most importantly, if the problem originally contains multiple
chance constraints (e.g. multi-stage uncertain decision problems), or if a
chance constraint belongs to a special class of constraints (e.g. linear or
quadratic constraints). In these cases the quality of the scenario solution is
improved while the same bound on the constraint violation probability is
maintained, and also the computational complexity is reduced.Comment: This manuscript is the preprint of a paper submitted to the SIAM
Journal on Optimization and it is subject to SIAM copyright. SIAM maintains
the sole rights of distribution or publication of the work in all forms and
media. If accepted, the copy of record will be available at
http://www.siam.or
Uncertainty Analysis for Data-Driven Chance-Constrained Optimization
In this contribution our developed framework for data-driven chance-constrained optimization is extended with an uncertainty analysis module. The module quantifies uncertainty in output variables of rigorous simulations. It chooses the most accurate parametric continuous probability distribution model, minimizing deviation between model and data. A constraint is added to favour less complex models with a minimal required quality regarding the fit. The bases of the module are over 100 probability distribution models provided in the Scipy package in Python, a rigorous case-study is conducted selecting the four most relevant models for the application at hand. The applicability and precision of the uncertainty analyser module is investigated for an impact factor calculation in life cycle impact assessment to quantify the uncertainty in the results. Furthermore, the extended framework is verified with data from a first principle process model of a chloralkali plant, demonstrating the increased precision of the uncertainty description of the output variables, resulting in 25% increase in accuracy in the chance-constraint calculation.BMWi, 0350013A, ChemEFlex - Umsetzbarkeitsanalyse zur Lastflexibilisierung elektrochemischer Verfahren in der Industrie; Teilvorhaben: Modellierung der Chlor-Alkali-Elektrolyse sowie anderer Prozesse und deren Bewertung hinsichtlich Wirtschaftlichkeit und möglicher HemmnisseDFG, 414044773, Open Access Publizieren 2019 - 2020 / Technische Universität Berli
Diseño para operabilidad: Una revisión de enfoques y estrategias de solución
In the last decades the chemical engineering scientific research community has largely addressed the design-foroperability problem. Such an interest responds to the fact that the operability quality of a process is determined by design, becoming evident the convenience of considering operability issues in early design stages rather than later when the impact of modifications is less effective and more expensive. The necessity of integrating design and operability is dictated by the increasing complexity of the processes as result of progressively stringent economic, quality, safety and environmental constraints. Although the design-for-operability problem concerns to practically every technical discipline, it has achieved a particular identity within the chemical engineering field due to the economic magnitude of the involved processes. The work on design and analysis for operability in chemical engineering is really vast and a complete review in terms of papers is beyond the scope of this contribution. Instead, two major approaches will be addressed and those papers that in our belief had the most significance to the development of the field will be described in some detail.En las Ăşltimas dĂ©cadas, la comunidad cientĂfica de ingenierĂa quĂmica ha abordado intensamente el problema de diseño-para-operabilidad. Tal interĂ©s responde al hecho de que la calidad operativa de un proceso esta determinada por diseño, resultando evidente la conveniencia de considerar aspectos operativos en las etapas tempranas del diseño y no luego, cuando el impacto de las modificaciones es menos efectivo y más costoso. La necesidad de integrar diseño y operabilidad esta dictada por la creciente complejidad de los procesos como resultado de las cada vez mayores restricciones econĂłmicas, de calidad de seguridad y medioambientales. Aunque el problema de diseño para operabilidad concierne a prácticamente toda disciplina, ha adquirido una identidad particular dentro de la ingenierĂa quĂmica debido a la magnitud econĂłmica de los procesos involucrados. El trabajo sobre diseño y análisis para operabilidad es realmente vasto y una revisiĂłn completa en tĂ©rminos de artĂculos supera los alcances de este trabajo. En su lugar, se discutirán los dos enfoques principales y aquellos artĂculos que en nuestra opiniĂłn han tenido mayor impacto para el desarrollo de la disciplina serán descriptos con cierto detalle.Fil: Blanco, Anibal Manuel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones CientĂficas y TĂ©cnicas. Centro CientĂfico TecnolĂłgico Conicet - BahĂa Blanca. Planta Piloto de IngenierĂa QuĂmica. Universidad Nacional del Sur. Planta Piloto de IngenierĂa QuĂmica; ArgentinaFil: Bandoni, Jose Alberto. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones CientĂficas y TĂ©cnicas. Centro CientĂfico TecnolĂłgico Conicet - BahĂa Blanca. Planta Piloto de IngenierĂa QuĂmica. Universidad Nacional del Sur. Planta Piloto de IngenierĂa QuĂmica; Argentin
Towards Machine Wald
The past century has seen a steady increase in the need of estimating and
predicting complex systems and making (possibly critical) decisions with
limited information. Although computers have made possible the numerical
evaluation of sophisticated statistical models, these models are still designed
\emph{by humans} because there is currently no known recipe or algorithm for
dividing the design of a statistical model into a sequence of arithmetic
operations. Indeed enabling computers to \emph{think} as \emph{humans} have the
ability to do when faced with uncertainty is challenging in several major ways:
(1) Finding optimal statistical models remains to be formulated as a well posed
problem when information on the system of interest is incomplete and comes in
the form of a complex combination of sample data, partial knowledge of
constitutive relations and a limited description of the distribution of input
random variables. (2) The space of admissible scenarios along with the space of
relevant information, assumptions, and/or beliefs, tend to be infinite
dimensional, whereas calculus on a computer is necessarily discrete and finite.
With this purpose, this paper explores the foundations of a rigorous framework
for the scientific computation of optimal statistical estimators/models and
reviews their connections with Decision Theory, Machine Learning, Bayesian
Inference, Stochastic Optimization, Robust Optimization, Optimal Uncertainty
Quantification and Information Based Complexity.Comment: 37 page
Motion Planning of Uncertain Ordinary Differential Equation Systems
This work presents a novel motion planning framework, rooted in nonlinear programming theory, that treats uncertain fully and under-actuated dynamical systems described by ordinary differential equations. Uncertainty in multibody dynamical systems comes from various sources, such as: system parameters, initial conditions, sensor and actuator noise, and external forcing. Treatment of uncertainty in design is of paramount practical importance because all real-life systems are affected by it, and poor robustness and suboptimal performance result if it’s not accounted for in a given design. In this work uncertainties are modeled using Generalized Polynomial Chaos and are solved quantitatively using a least-square collocation method. The computational efficiency of this approach enables the inclusion of uncertainty statistics in the nonlinear programming optimization process. As such, the proposed framework allows the user to pose, and answer, new design questions related to uncertain dynamical systems.
Specifically, the new framework is explained in the context of forward, inverse, and hybrid dynamics formulations. The forward dynamics formulation, applicable to both fully and under-actuated systems, prescribes deterministic actuator inputs which yield uncertain state trajectories. The inverse dynamics formulation is the dual to the forward dynamic, and is only applicable to fully-actuated systems; deterministic state trajectories are prescribed and yield uncertain actuator inputs. The inverse dynamics formulation is more computationally efficient as it requires only algebraic evaluations and completely avoids numerical integration. Finally, the hybrid dynamics formulation is applicable to under-actuated systems where it leverages the benefits of inverse dynamics for actuated joints and forward dynamics for unactuated joints; it prescribes actuated state and unactuated input trajectories which yield uncertain unactuated states and actuated inputs.
The benefits of the ability to quantify uncertainty when planning the motion of multibody dynamic systems are illustrated through several case-studies. The resulting designs determine optimal motion plans—subject to deterministic and statistical constraints—for all possible systems within the probability space
Convex Relaxations and Approximations of Chance-Constrained AC-OPF Problems
This paper deals with the impact of linear approximations for the unknown
nonconvex confidence region of chance-constrained AC optimal power flow
problems. Such approximations are required for the formulation of tractable
chance constraints. In this context, we introduce the first formulation of a
chance-constrained second-order cone (SOC) OPF. The proposed formulation
provides convergence guarantees due to its convexity, while it demonstrates
high computational efficiency. Combined with an AC feasibility recovery, it is
able to identify better solutions than chance-constrained nonconvex AC-OPF
formulations. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to perform
a rigorous analysis of the AC feasibility recovery procedures for robust
SOC-OPF problems. We identify the issues that arise from the linear
approximations, and by using a reformulation of the quadratic chance
constraints, we introduce new parameters able to reshape the approximation of
the confidence region. We demonstrate our method on the IEEE 118-bus system
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