Characterizing permafrost active layer dynamics and sensitivity to landscape spatial heterogeneity in Alaska

An important feature of the Arctic is large spatial heterogeneity in active layer conditions, which is generally poorly represented by global models and can lead to large uncertainties in predicting regional ecosystem responses and climate feedbacks. In this study, we developed a spatially integrated modeling and analysis framework combining field observations, local-scale ( ∼ 50 m resolution) active layer thickness (ALT) and soil moisture maps derived from low-frequency (L + P-band) airborne radar measurements, and global satellite environmental observations to investigate the ALT sensitivity to recent climate trends and landscape heterogeneity in Alaska. Modeled ALT results show good correspondence with in situ measurements in higherpermafrost-probability (PP ≥ 70 %) areas (n = 33; R = 0.60; mean bias = 1.58 cm; RMSE = 20.32 cm), but with larger uncertainty in sporadic and discontinuous permafrost areas. The model results also reveal widespread ALT deepening since 2001, with smaller ALT increases in northern Alaska (mean trend = 0.32 ± 1.18 cm yr−1 ) and much larger increases (> 3 cm yr−1 ) across interior and southern Alaska. The positive ALT trend coincides with regional warming and a longer snow-free season (R = 0.60 ± 0.32). A spatially integrated analysis of the radar retrievals and model sensitivity simulations demonstrated that uncertainty in the spatial and vertical distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) was the largest factor affecting modeled ALT accuracy, while soil moisture played a secondary role. Potential improvements in characterizing SOC heterogeneity, including better spatial sampling of soil conditions and advances in remote sensing of SOC and soil moisture, will enable more accurate predictions of active layer conditions and refinement of the modeling framework across a larger domain

Theoretical Modeling and Analysis of L- and P-band Radar Backscatter Sensitivity to Soil Active Layer Dielectric Variations

Freeze-thaw (FT) and moisture dynamics within the soil active layer are critical elements of boreal, arctic and alpine ecosystems, and environmental change assessments. We evaluated the potential for detecting dielectric changes within different soil layers using combined L- and P-band radar remote sensing as a prerequisite for detecting FT and moisture profile changes within the soil active layer. A two-layer scattering model was developed and validated for simulating radar responses from vertically inhomogeneous soil. The model simulations indicated that inhomogeneity in the soil dielectric profile contributes to both L- and P-band backscatter, but with greater P-band sensitivity at depth. The difference in L- and P-band responses to soil dielectric profile inhomogeneity appears suitable for detecting associated changes in soil active layer conditions. Additional evaluation using collocated airborne radar (AIRSAR) observations and in situ soil moisture measurements over alpine tundra indicates that combined L- and P-band SAR observations are sensitive to soil dielectric profile heterogeneity associated with variations in soil moisture and FT conditions

Three-Dimensional Electromagnetic Scattering from Layered Media with Rough Interfaces for Subsurface Radar Remote Sensing

The objective of this dissertation is to develop forward scattering models for active microwave remote sensing of natural features represented by layered media with rough interfaces. In particular, soil profiles are considered, for which a model of electromagnetic scattering from multilayer rough surfaces with/without buried random media is constructed. Starting from a single rough surface, radar scattering is modeled using the stabilized extended boundary condition method (SEBCM). This method solves the long-standing instability issue of the classical EBCM, and gives three-dimensional full wave solutions over large ranges of surface roughnesses with higher computational e±ciency than pure numerical solutions, e.g., method of moments (MoM). Based on this single surface solution, multilayer rough surface scattering is modeled using the scattering matrix approach and the model is used for a comprehensive sensitivity analysis of the total ground scattering as a function of layer separation, subsurface statistics, and sublayer dielectric properties. The buried inhomogeneities such as rocks and vegetation roots are considered for the first time in the forward scattering model. Radar scattering from buried random media is modeled by the aggregate transition matrix using either the recursive transition matrix approach for spherical or short-length cylindrical scatterers, or the generalized iterative extended boundary condition method we developed for long cylinders or root-like cylindrical clusters. These approaches take the field interactions among scatterers into account with high computational efficiency. The aggregate transition matrix is transformed to a scattering matrix for the full solution to the layered-medium problem. This step is based on the near-to-far field transformation of the numerical plane wave expansion of the spherical harmonics and the multipole expansion of plane waves. This transformation consolidates volume scattering from the buried random medium with the scattering from layered structure in general. Combined with scattering from multilayer rough surfaces, scattering contributions from subsurfaces and vegetation roots can be then simulated. Solutions of both the rough surface scattering and random media scattering are validated numerically, experimentally, or both. The experimental validations have been carried out using a laboratory-based transmit-receive system for scattering from random media and a new bistatic tower-mounted radar system for field-based surface scattering measurements.Ph.D.Electrical EngineeringUniversity of Michigan, Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studieshttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/91459/1/xduan_1.pd

Integrating spacecraft and aircraft in Earth Observation System architectures

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2011.Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.Includes bibliographical references (p. 170-176).The Global Earth Observation System (GEOS) is the essential data gathering network that enables the advancement of Earth science. In recent years, efforts have been made to understand the major GEOS architectural tradeoffs. Several decision support tools have been developed, including the Campaign-level Science Traceability Matrix (CSTM). The CSTM is a framework designed to trace the benefit delivered by a campaign of Earth observing systems to relevant stakeholders. This thesis first presents the CSTM v 1.1, an enhanced version of the original CSTM, which updates the scientific understanding captured in the framework. This benefit tracing framework is applied to the set of satellite missions recommended by the National Research Council Earth Science Decadal Survey. To support campaign scheduling, this thesis presents and applies a multi-objective Genetic Algorithm (GA), built using the Matlab GA toolkit. The algorithm seeks to maximize "Data Value", minimize the effects of "Data Gaps", and accounts for cost, budget, and technology readiness. The results show that under the current conditions, gaps in important measurements will arise in the near future as currently operational NASA Earth observation missions age and their replacements continue to experience development issues. This result motivates a systematic rethinking of measurement gap mitigation strategies and the use of airborne observational platforms in the GEOS. The integration of aircraft into the GEOS is explored through three case studies. Three unique modes of operation for aircraft in Earth observation are presented and characterized. Based on the results of the case studies, a quantitative framework, called CSTM v2.0, is introduced. CSTM v2.0 uses a Rule-Based Expert System (RBES) that evaluates instruments at a level of fidelity that allows for comparison between aircraft and spacecraft. The GA campaign scheduling tool is used to understand the role of aircraft in the GEOS. The results of this analysis show that aircraft provide a short-term source of high value missions and are able to fill critical measurement gaps. This thesis recommends that aircraft be considered as operational platforms in future GEOS architectures, recognizing that autonomous systems promise significant benefits for Earth observation.by Brandon H. Suarez.S.M