51,730 research outputs found
Copulas in finance and insurance
Copulas provide a potential useful modeling tool to represent the dependence structure
among variables and to generate joint distributions by combining given marginal
distributions. Simulations play a relevant role in finance and insurance. They are used to
replicate efficient frontiers or extremal values, to price options, to estimate joint risks, and so
on. Using copulas, it is easy to construct and simulate from multivariate distributions based
on almost any choice of marginals and any type of dependence structure. In this paper we
outline recent contributions of statistical modeling using copulas in finance and insurance.
We review issues related to the notion of copulas, copula families, copula-based dynamic and
static dependence structure, copulas and latent factor models and simulation of copulas.
Finally, we outline hot topics in copulas with a special focus on model selection and
goodness-of-fit testing
Class Proportion Estimation with Application to Multiclass Anomaly Rejection
This work addresses two classification problems that fall under the heading
of domain adaptation, wherein the distributions of training and testing
examples differ. The first problem studied is that of class proportion
estimation, which is the problem of estimating the class proportions in an
unlabeled testing data set given labeled examples of each class. Compared to
previous work on this problem, our approach has the novel feature that it does
not require labeled training data from one of the classes. This property allows
us to address the second domain adaptation problem, namely, multiclass anomaly
rejection. Here, the goal is to design a classifier that has the option of
assigning a "reject" label, indicating that the instance did not arise from a
class present in the training data. We establish consistent learning strategies
for both of these domain adaptation problems, which to our knowledge are the
first of their kind. We also implement the class proportion estimation
technique and demonstrate its performance on several benchmark data sets.Comment: Accepted to AISTATS 2014. 15 pages. 2 figure
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