12,700 research outputs found
Customer purchase behavior prediction in E-commerce: a conceptual framework and research agenda
Digital retailers are experiencing an increasing number of transactions coming from their consumers online, a consequence of the convenience in buying goods via E-commerce platforms. Such interactions compose complex behavioral patterns which can be analyzed through predictive analytics to enable businesses to understand consumer needs. In this abundance of big data and possible tools to analyze them, a systematic review of the literature is missing. Therefore, this paper presents a systematic literature review of recent research dealing with customer purchase prediction in the E-commerce context. The main contributions are a novel analytical framework and a research agenda in the field. The framework reveals three main tasks in this review, namely, the prediction of customer intents, buying sessions, and purchase decisions. Those are followed by their employed predictive methodologies and are analyzed from three perspectives. Finally, the research agenda provides major existing issues for further research in the field of purchase behavior prediction online
Customer churn prediction in telecom using machine learning and social network analysis in big data platform
Customer churn is a major problem and one of the most important concerns for
large companies. Due to the direct effect on the revenues of the companies,
especially in the telecom field, companies are seeking to develop means to
predict potential customer to churn. Therefore, finding factors that increase
customer churn is important to take necessary actions to reduce this churn. The
main contribution of our work is to develop a churn prediction model which
assists telecom operators to predict customers who are most likely subject to
churn. The model developed in this work uses machine learning techniques on big
data platform and builds a new way of features' engineering and selection. In
order to measure the performance of the model, the Area Under Curve (AUC)
standard measure is adopted, and the AUC value obtained is 93.3%. Another main
contribution is to use customer social network in the prediction model by
extracting Social Network Analysis (SNA) features. The use of SNA enhanced the
performance of the model from 84 to 93.3% against AUC standard. The model was
prepared and tested through Spark environment by working on a large dataset
created by transforming big raw data provided by SyriaTel telecom company. The
dataset contained all customers' information over 9 months, and was used to
train, test, and evaluate the system at SyriaTel. The model experimented four
algorithms: Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosted Machine Tree "GBM"
and Extreme Gradient Boosting "XGBOOST". However, the best results were
obtained by applying XGBOOST algorithm. This algorithm was used for
classification in this churn predictive model.Comment: 24 pages, 14 figures. PDF https://rdcu.be/budK
Purchase intention of specialty coffee
The main aims of this study are: (1) to test whether the theory of planned behavior (TPB) is useful to explain the intention to purchase specialty co ee; (2) to analyze whether people more involved in social responsibility could manifest a di erent response from those not so interested in this matter concerning specialty co ee. The sample is composed of 489 specialty co ee consumers from Brazil. The statistical tool for testing the measurement and structural model was partial least squares.
Then a multigroup analysis was performed to meet the second objective; the software SmartPLS was utilized. The main contributions of this study are that we can explain the intention to use specialty coffee in a sample of Brazilian consumers using the classical TPB model. Moreover, we demonstrate the moderating e ect of consumer perception of corporate social responsibility in this general model
A hybrid strategy for privacy-preserving recommendations for mobile shopping
To calculate recommendations, recommender systems col-lect and store huge amounts of users ’ personal data such as preferences, interaction behavior, or demographic infor-mation. If these data are used for other purposes or get into the wrong hands, the privacy of the users can be com-promised. Thus, service providers are confronted with the challenge of o↵ering accurate recommendations without the risk of dissemination of sensitive information. This paper presents a hybrid strategy combining collaborative filtering and content-based techniques for mobile shopping with the primary aim of preserving the customer’s privacy. Detailed information about the customer, such as the shopping his-tory, is securely stored on the customer’s smartphone and locally processed by a content-based recommender. Data of individual shopping sessions, which are sent to the store backend for product association and comparison with simi-lar customers, are unlinkable and anonymous. No uniquely identifying information of the customer is revealed, making it impossible to associate successive shopping sessions at the store backend. Optionally, the customer can disclose demo-graphic data and a rudimentary explicit profile for further personalization
Probabilistic Human Mobility Model in Indoor Environment
Understanding human mobility is important for the development of intelligent
mobile service robots as it can provide prior knowledge and predictions of
human distribution for robot-assisted activities. In this paper, we propose a
probabilistic method to model human motion behaviors which is determined by
both internal and external factors in an indoor environment. While the internal
factors are represented by the individual preferences, aims and interests, the
external factors are indicated by the stimulation of the environment. We model
the randomness of human macro-level movement, e.g., the probability of visiting
a specific place and staying time, under the Bayesian framework, considering
the influence of both internal and external variables. We use two case studies
in a shopping mall and in a college student dorm building to show the
effectiveness of our proposed probabilistic human mobility model. Real
surveillance camera data are used to validate the proposed model together with
survey data in the case study of student dorm.Comment: 8 pages, 9 figures, International Joint Conference on Neural Networks
(IJCNN) 201
Modeling Taxi Drivers' Behaviour for the Next Destination Prediction
In this paper, we study how to model taxi drivers' behaviour and geographical
information for an interesting and challenging task: the next destination
prediction in a taxi journey. Predicting the next location is a well studied
problem in human mobility, which finds several applications in real-world
scenarios, from optimizing the efficiency of electronic dispatching systems to
predicting and reducing the traffic jam. This task is normally modeled as a
multiclass classification problem, where the goal is to select, among a set of
already known locations, the next taxi destination. We present a Recurrent
Neural Network (RNN) approach that models the taxi drivers' behaviour and
encodes the semantics of visited locations by using geographical information
from Location-Based Social Networks (LBSNs). In particular, RNNs are trained to
predict the exact coordinates of the next destination, overcoming the problem
of producing, in output, a limited set of locations, seen during the training
phase. The proposed approach was tested on the ECML/PKDD Discovery Challenge
2015 dataset - based on the city of Porto -, obtaining better results with
respect to the competition winner, whilst using less information, and on
Manhattan and San Francisco datasets.Comment: preprint version of a paper submitted to IEEE Transactions on
Intelligent Transportation System
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