27,980 research outputs found
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A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration
Building energy consumption prediction plays an irreplaceable role in energy planning, management, and conservation. Constantly improving the performance of prediction models is the key to ensuring the efficient operation of energy systems. Moreover, accuracy is no longer the only factor in revealing model performance, it is more important to evaluate the model from multiple perspectives, considering the characteristics of engineering applications. Based on the idea of model integration, this paper proposes a novel improved integration model (stacking model) that can be used to forecast building energy consumption. The stacking model combines advantages of various base prediction algorithms and forms them into “meta-features” to ensure that the final model can observe datasets from different spatial and structural angles. Two cases are used to demonstrate practical engineering applications of the stacking model. A comparative analysis is performed to evaluate the prediction performance of the stacking model in contrast with existing well-known prediction models including Random Forest, Gradient Boosted Decision Tree, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, and K-Nearest Neighbor. The results indicate that the stacking method achieves better performance than other models, regarding accuracy (improvement of 9.5%–31.6% for Case A and 16.2%–49.4% for Case B), generalization (improvement of 6.7%–29.5% for Case A and 7.1%-34.6% for Case B), and robustness (improvement of 1.5%–34.1% for Case A and 1.8%–19.3% for Case B). The proposed model enriches the diversity of algorithm libraries of empirical models
Scaling Configuration of Energy Harvesting Sensors with Reinforcement Learning
With the advent of the Internet of Things (IoT), an increasing number of
energy harvesting methods are being used to supplement or supplant battery
based sensors. Energy harvesting sensors need to be configured according to the
application, hardware, and environmental conditions to maximize their
usefulness. As of today, the configuration of sensors is either manual or
heuristics based, requiring valuable domain expertise. Reinforcement learning
(RL) is a promising approach to automate configuration and efficiently scale
IoT deployments, but it is not yet adopted in practice. We propose solutions to
bridge this gap: reduce the training phase of RL so that nodes are operational
within a short time after deployment and reduce the computational requirements
to scale to large deployments. We focus on configuration of the sampling rate
of indoor solar panel based energy harvesting sensors. We created a simulator
based on 3 months of data collected from 5 sensor nodes subject to different
lighting conditions. Our simulation results show that RL can effectively learn
energy availability patterns and configure the sampling rate of the sensor
nodes to maximize the sensing data while ensuring that energy storage is not
depleted. The nodes can be operational within the first day by using our
methods. We show that it is possible to reduce the number of RL policies by
using a single policy for nodes that share similar lighting conditions.Comment: 7 pages, 5 figure
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State-of-the-art on research and applications of machine learning in the building life cycle
Fueled by big data, powerful and affordable computing resources, and advanced algorithms, machine learning has been explored and applied to buildings research for the past decades and has demonstrated its potential to enhance building performance. This study systematically surveyed how machine learning has been applied at different stages of building life cycle. By conducting a literature search on the Web of Knowledge platform, we found 9579 papers in this field and selected 153 papers for an in-depth review. The number of published papers is increasing year by year, with a focus on building design, operation, and control. However, no study was found using machine learning in building commissioning. There are successful pilot studies on fault detection and diagnosis of HVAC equipment and systems, load prediction, energy baseline estimate, load shape clustering, occupancy prediction, and learning occupant behaviors and energy use patterns. None of the existing studies were adopted broadly by the building industry, due to common challenges including (1) lack of large scale labeled data to train and validate the model, (2) lack of model transferability, which limits a model trained with one data-rich building to be used in another building with limited data, (3) lack of strong justification of costs and benefits of deploying machine learning, and (4) the performance might not be reliable and robust for the stated goals, as the method might work for some buildings but could not be generalized to others. Findings from the study can inform future machine learning research to improve occupant comfort, energy efficiency, demand flexibility, and resilience of buildings, as well as to inspire young researchers in the field to explore multidisciplinary approaches that integrate building science, computing science, data science, and social science
Modeling and Optimization of Complex Building Energy Systems with Deep Neural Networks
Modern buildings encompass complex dynamics of multiple electrical,
mechanical, and control systems. One of the biggest hurdles in applying
conventional model-based optimization and control methods to building energy
management is the huge cost and effort of capturing diverse and temporally
correlated dynamics. Here we propose an alternative approach which is
model-free and data-driven. By utilizing high volume of data coming from
advanced sensors, we train a deep Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) which could
accurately represent the operation's temporal dynamics of building complexes.
The trained network is then directly fitted into a constrained optimization
problem with finite horizons. By reformulating the constrained optimization as
an unconstrained optimization problem, we use iterative gradient descents
method with momentum to find optimal control inputs. Simulation results
demonstrate proposed method's improved performances over model-based approach
on both building system modeling and control
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