Using Long Time Series of Satellite Remote Sensing Data to Assess the Impact of Climate and Anthropogenic Changes in the Mesopotamian Marshes, Iraq

In the recent past, the Mesopotamia region has been rich in all forms of biological diversity, characterized by a fertile living environment and natural habitats full of rare birds, wild animals, aquatic animals, and diverse plants. Its natural abundance and geographical location have allowed it to be break or transit point for millions of migratory birds from Russia to South Africa. It is a breeding ground for many species of Persian Gulf fish. Despite all this historical, environmental and economic richness, they have been neglected as a result of the combination of a number of human and climatic factors, which in 16 years (1988-2003) has modified them to a land where vegetation, water, and biodiversity have been clearly reduced. This is a great environmental loss, not only for West Asia but for the whole world. This dissertation explores the changes in the vegetation coverage and water bodies in the Mesopotamian marshes, Iraq over more than three decades (36 years) using different sources of satellite remote sensing datasets. Firstly, we utilized Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from the Land Long Term Data Record (LTDR) Version 5 which has a 0.05o x 0.05o in spatial resolution and daily temporal repeat to monitor the fluctuations of vegetation together with hydrological variables such precipitation, surface temperature, and evapotranspiration. In this research, we studied the impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on vegetation and water coverage changes. Secondly, we compared Normalized Difference Vegetation Index from various satellite sensors - Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Advanced Very High-Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR), and Landsat over the Mesopotamian marshlands for 17 years. We selected this time series (2002-2018) to monitor the changes in vegetation area. The time series (2002-2018) is considered as a period of rehabilitation for the Mesopotamian marshes. Thirdly, as a result of human factors and local and regional climate changes, the marshes and Iraq are in general vulnerable to face a large number of dust storms annually. According to local sources (Iraq news) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the time period from June 29 to July 8, 2009, is considered the longest dust storm period in Iraq during last decade. In this research, we utilized the Moderate Resolution Imagining Spectroradiometer, surface reflectance daily data to calculate the Normalized Difference Dust Index. Additionally, brightness temperature data from Aqua thermal band 31 were used to separate sand on the ground from atmospheric dust. The main reasons for the degradation of the Mesopotamian marshes were due to anthropogenic activities. In the comparison research, we found that the NDVI derived from MODIS, AVHRR and Landsat sensors are correlated with high precision. This paper investigates the utility of combining low spatial resolution with frequent temporal repeat and long-term coverage and a high spatial resolution with infrequent temporal repeat and similar long-term coverage. This study also proves that we can use the low-resolution Advance Very High- resolution Radiometer data for studies on land cover change

Using Satellite Remote Sensing to Study the Impact of Climate and Anthropogenic Changes in the Mesopotamian Marshlands, Iraq

The Iraqi Marshes in Southern Iraq are considered one of the most important wetlands in the world. From 1982 to the present, their area has varied between 10,500 km2 and 20,000 km2. The marshes support a variety of plants, such as reeds and papyrus, and are home to many species of birds. These marshes are Al-Hammar, Central or Al-Amarah, and Al-Huwaiza. Freshwater supplies to the marshes come from the Tigris and Euphrates rivers in Iraq and from the Karkha River from Iran. For this analysis, we used the Land Long-Term Data Record Version 5 (LTDR V5) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) sensor dataset. This dataset was recently released at a 0.05 × 0.05° spatial resolution and daily temporal resolution to monitor the spatial and temporal variability of vegetation along with other hydrological variables such as land surface temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration. In our analysis, we considered three time periods: 1982–1992; 1993–2003; and 2004–2017 due to anthropogenic activities and climate changes. Furthermore, we examined the relationships between various water cycle variables through the investigation of vegetation and water coverage changes, and studied the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities on the Iraqi Marshes and considered additional ground observations along with the satellite datasets. Statistical analyses over the last 36 years show significant deterioration in the vegetation: 68.78%, 98.73, and 83.71% of the green biomass has declined for Al-Hammar, The Central marshes, and Al-Huwaiza, respectively. The AVHRR and Landsat images illustrate a decrease in water and vegetation coverage, which in turn has led to an increase in barren lands. Unfortunately, statistical analyses show that marshland degradation is mainly induced by human actions. The shrinkage in water supplies taken by Iraq’s local neighbors (i.e., Turkey, Syria, and Iran) has had a sharp impact on water levels. The annual discharge of the Tigris declined from ~2500–3000 m3/s to ~500 m3/s, and the annual discharge of the Euphrates River declined from ~1500 m3/s to less than 500 m3/s