8,759 research outputs found
A semiparametric extension of the stochastic block model for longitudinal networks
To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the
stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent
group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional
inhomogeneous Poisson process with intensity driven by the individuals' latent
groups. The model is shown to be identifiable and its estimation is based on a
semiparametric variational expectation-maximization algorithm. Two versions of
the method are developed, using either a nonparametric histogram approach (with
an adaptive choice of the partition size) or kernel intensity estimators. The
number of latent groups can be selected by an integrated classification
likelihood criterion. Finally, we demonstrate the performance of our procedure
on synthetic experiments, analyse two datasets to illustrate the utility of our
approach and comment on competing methods
Multivariate Spatiotemporal Hawkes Processes and Network Reconstruction
There is often latent network structure in spatial and temporal data and the
tools of network analysis can yield fascinating insights into such data. In
this paper, we develop a nonparametric method for network reconstruction from
spatiotemporal data sets using multivariate Hawkes processes. In contrast to
prior work on network reconstruction with point-process models, which has often
focused on exclusively temporal information, our approach uses both temporal
and spatial information and does not assume a specific parametric form of
network dynamics. This leads to an effective way of recovering an underlying
network. We illustrate our approach using both synthetic networks and networks
constructed from real-world data sets (a location-based social media network, a
narrative of crime events, and violent gang crimes). Our results demonstrate
that, in comparison to using only temporal data, our spatiotemporal approach
yields improved network reconstruction, providing a basis for meaningful
subsequent analysis --- such as community structure and motif analysis --- of
the reconstructed networks
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