852 research outputs found
TrafficPredict: Trajectory Prediction for Heterogeneous Traffic-Agents
To safely and efficiently navigate in complex urban traffic, autonomous
vehicles must make responsible predictions in relation to surrounding
traffic-agents (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians, etc.). A challenging and
critical task is to explore the movement patterns of different traffic-agents
and predict their future trajectories accurately to help the autonomous vehicle
make reasonable navigation decision. To solve this problem, we propose a long
short-term memory-based (LSTM-based) realtime traffic prediction algorithm,
TrafficPredict. Our approach uses an instance layer to learn instances'
movements and interactions and has a category layer to learn the similarities
of instances belonging to the same type to refine the prediction. In order to
evaluate its performance, we collected trajectory datasets in a large city
consisting of varying conditions and traffic densities. The dataset includes
many challenging scenarios where vehicles, bicycles, and pedestrians move among
one another. We evaluate the performance of TrafficPredict on our new dataset
and highlight its higher accuracy for trajectory prediction by comparing with
prior prediction methods.Comment: Accepted by AAAI(Oral) 201
Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Survey
With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments,
the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human
behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future
positions of dynamic agents and planning considering such predictions are key
tasks for self-driving vehicles, service robots and advanced surveillance
systems. This paper provides a survey of human motion trajectory prediction. We
review, analyze and structure a large selection of work from different
communities and propose a taxonomy that categorizes existing methods based on
the motion modeling approach and level of contextual information used. We
provide an overview of the existing datasets and performance metrics. We
discuss limitations of the state of the art and outline directions for further
research.Comment: Submitted to the International Journal of Robotics Research (IJRR),
37 page
Multi-Modal Trajectory Prediction of Surrounding Vehicles with Maneuver based LSTMs
To safely and efficiently navigate through complex traffic scenarios,
autonomous vehicles need to have the ability to predict the future motion of
surrounding vehicles. Multiple interacting agents, the multi-modal nature of
driver behavior, and the inherent uncertainty involved in the task make motion
prediction of surrounding vehicles a challenging problem. In this paper, we
present an LSTM model for interaction aware motion prediction of surrounding
vehicles on freeways. Our model assigns confidence values to maneuvers being
performed by vehicles and outputs a multi-modal distribution over future motion
based on them. We compare our approach with the prior art for vehicle motion
prediction on the publicly available NGSIM US-101 and I-80 datasets. Our
results show an improvement in terms of RMS values of prediction error. We also
present an ablative analysis of the components of our proposed model and
analyze the predictions made by the model in complex traffic scenarios.Comment: accepted for publication at IV 201
Egocentric Vision-based Future Vehicle Localization for Intelligent Driving Assistance Systems
Predicting the future location of vehicles is essential for safety-critical
applications such as advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous
driving. This paper introduces a novel approach to simultaneously predict both
the location and scale of target vehicles in the first-person (egocentric) view
of an ego-vehicle. We present a multi-stream recurrent neural network (RNN)
encoder-decoder model that separately captures both object location and scale
and pixel-level observations for future vehicle localization. We show that
incorporating dense optical flow improves prediction results significantly
since it captures information about motion as well as appearance change. We
also find that explicitly modeling future motion of the ego-vehicle improves
the prediction accuracy, which could be especially beneficial in intelligent
and automated vehicles that have motion planning capability. To evaluate the
performance of our approach, we present a new dataset of first-person videos
collected from a variety of scenarios at road intersections, which are
particularly challenging moments for prediction because vehicle trajectories
are diverse and dynamic.Comment: To appear on ICRA 201
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