Using accelerometer, high sample rate GPS and magnetometer data to develop a cattle movement and behaviour model

The study described in this paper developed a model of animal movement, which explicitly recognised each individual as the central unit of measure. The model was developed by learning from a real dataset that measured and calculated, for individual cows in a herd, their linear and angular positions and directional and angular speeds. Two learning algorithms were implemented: a Hidden Markov model (HMM) and a long-term prediction algorithm. It is shown that a HMM can be used to describe the animal's movement and state transition behaviour within several “stay” areas where cows remained for long periods. Model parameters were estimated for hidden behaviour states such as relocating, foraging and bedding. For cows’ movement between the “stay” areas a long-term prediction algorithm was implemented. By combining these two algorithms it was possible to develop a successful model, which achieved similar results to the animal behaviour data collected. This modelling methodology could easily be applied to interactions of other animal specie

Classifiers With a Reject Option for Early Time-Series Classification

Early classification of time-series data in a dynamic environment is a challenging problem of great importance in signal processing. This paper proposes a classifier architecture with a reject option capable of online decision making without the need to wait for the entire time series signal to be present. The main idea is to classify an odor/gas signal with an acceptable accuracy as early as possible. Instead of using posterior probability of a classifier, the proposed method uses the "agreement" of an ensemble to decide whether to accept or reject the candidate label. The introduced algorithm is applied to the bio-chemistry problem of odor classification to build a novel Electronic-Nose called Forefront-Nose. Experimental results on wind tunnel test-bed facility confirms the robustness of the forefront-nose compared to the standard classifiers from both earliness and recognition perspectives

Prediction of length of stay for stroke patients using artificial neural networks

Strokes are neurological events that affect a certain area of the brain. Since brain controls fundamental body activities, brain cell deterioration and dead can lead to serious disabilities and poor life quality. This makes strokes the leading cause of disabilities and mortality worldwide. Patients that suffer strokes are hospitalized in order to be submitted to surgery and receive recovery therapies. Thus, it’s important to predict the length of stay for these patients, since it can be costly to them and their family, as well as to the medical institutions. The aim of this study is to make a prediction on the number of days of patients’ hospital stays based on information available about the neurological event that happened, the patient’s health status and surgery details. A neural network was put to test with three attribute subsets with different sizes. The best result was obtained with the subset with fewer features obtaining a RMSE and a MAE of 5.9451 and 4.6354, respectively.FCT - Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (UID/CEC/00319/2019

Real-valued feature selection for process approximation and prediction

The selection of features for classification, clustering and approximation is an important task in pattern recognition, data mining and soft computing. For real-valued features, this contribution shows how feature selection for a high number of features can be implemented using mutual in-formation. Especially, the common problem for mutual information computation of computing joint probabilities for many dimensions using only a few samples is treated by using the Rènyi mutual information of order two as computational base. For this, the Grassberger-Takens corre-lation integral is used which was developed for estimating probability densities in chaos theory. Additionally, an adaptive procedure for computing the hypercube size is introduced and for real world applications, the treatment of missing values is included. The computation procedure is accelerated by exploiting the ranking of the set of real feature values especially for the example of time series. As example, a small blackbox-glassbox example shows how the relevant features and their time lags are determined in the time series even if the input feature time series determine nonlinearly the output. A more realistic example from chemical industry shows that this enables a better ap-proximation of the input-output mapping than the best neural network approach developed for an international contest. By the computationally efficient implementation, mutual information becomes an attractive tool for feature selection even for a high number of real-valued features

Modelling and trading the Greek stock market with gene expression and genetic programing algorithms

This paper presents an application of the gene expression programming (GEP) and integrated genetic programming (GP) algorithms to the modelling of ASE 20 Greek index. GEP and GP are robust evolutionary algorithms that evolve computer programs in the form of mathematical expressions, decision trees or logical expressions. The results indicate that GEP and GP produce significant trading performance when applied to ASE 20 and outperform the well-known existing methods. The trading performance of the derived models is further enhanced by applying a leverage filter

Gaussian process regression for virtual metrology of microchip quality and the resulting strategic sampling scheme

Manufacturing of integrated circuits involves many sequential processes, often ex- ecuted to nanoscale tolerances, and the yield depends on the often unmeasured quality of intermediate steps. In the high-throughput industry of fabricating microelectronics on semi-conducting wafers, scheduling measurements of product quality before the electrical test of the complete IC can be expensive. We therefore seek to predict metrics of product quality based on sensor readings describing the environment within the relevant tool during the processing of each wafer, or to apply the concept of virtual metrology (VM) to monitor these intermediate steps. We model the data using Gaussian process regression (GPR), adapted to simultaneously learn the nonlinear dynamics that govern the quality characteristic, as well as their operating space, expressed by a linear embedding of the sensor traces’ features. Such Bayesian models predict a distribution for the target metric, such as a critical dimension, so one may assess the model’s credibility through its predictive uncertainty. Assuming measurements of the quality characteristic of interest are budgeted, we seek to hasten convergence of the GPR model to a credible form through an active sampling scheme, whereby the predictive uncertainty informs which wafer’s quality to measure next. We evaluate this convergence when predicting and updating online, as if in a factory, using a large dataset for plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD), with measured thicknesses for ~32,000 wafers. By approximately optimizing the information extracted from this seemingly repetitive data describing a tightly controlled process, GPR achieves ~10% greater accuracy on average than a baseline linear model based on partial least squares (PLS). In a derivative study, we seek to discern the degree of drift in the process over the several months the data spans. We express this drift by how unusual the relevant features, as embedded by the GPR model, appear as the in- puts compensate for degrading conditions. This method detects the onset of consistently unusual behavior that extends to a bimodal thickness fault, anticipating its flagging by as much as two days.Mechanical Engineerin