The Importance of Being Clustered: Uncluttering the Trends of Statistics from 1970 to 2015

In this paper we retrace the recent history of statistics by analyzing all the papers published in five prestigious statistical journals since 1970, namely: Annals of Statistics, Biometrika, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B and Statistical Science. The aim is to construct a kind of "taxonomy" of the statistical papers by organizing and by clustering them in main themes. In this sense being identified in a cluster means being important enough to be uncluttered in the vast and interconnected world of the statistical research. Since the main statistical research topics naturally born, evolve or die during time, we will also develop a dynamic clustering strategy, where a group in a time period is allowed to migrate or to merge into different groups in the following one. Results show that statistics is a very dynamic and evolving science, stimulated by the rise of new research questions and types of data

Hierarchical Graphical Models for Multigroup Shape Analysis using Expectation Maximization with Sampling in Kendall's Shape Space

This paper proposes a novel framework for multi-group shape analysis relying on a hierarchical graphical statistical model on shapes within a population.The framework represents individual shapes as point setsmodulo translation, rotation, and scale, following the notion in Kendall shape space.While individual shapes are derived from their group shape model, each group shape model is derived from a single population shape model. The hierarchical model follows the natural organization of population data and the top level in the hierarchy provides a common frame of reference for multigroup shape analysis, e.g. classification and hypothesis testing. Unlike typical shape-modeling approaches, the proposed model is a generative model that defines a joint distribution of object-boundary data and the shape-model variables. Furthermore, it naturally enforces optimal correspondences during the process of model fitting and thereby subsumes the so-called correspondence problem. The proposed inference scheme employs an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm that treats the individual and group shape variables as hidden random variables and integrates them out before estimating the parameters (population mean and variance and the group variances). The underpinning of the EM algorithm is the sampling of pointsets, in Kendall shape space, from their posterior distribution, for which we exploit a highly-efficient scheme based on Hamiltonian Monte Carlo simulation. Experiments in this paper use the fitted hierarchical model to perform (1) hypothesis testing for comparison between pairs of groups using permutation testing and (2) classification for image retrieval. The paper validates the proposed framework on simulated data and demonstrates results on real data.Comment: 9 pages, 7 figures, International Conference on Machine Learning 201

Active Classification: Theory and Application to Underwater Inspection

We discuss the problem in which an autonomous vehicle must classify an object based on multiple views. We focus on the active classification setting, where the vehicle controls which views to select to best perform the classification. The problem is formulated as an extension to Bayesian active learning, and we show connections to recent theoretical guarantees in this area. We formally analyze the benefit of acting adaptively as new information becomes available. The analysis leads to a probabilistic algorithm for determining the best views to observe based on information theoretic costs. We validate our approach in two ways, both related to underwater inspection: 3D polyhedra recognition in synthetic depth maps and ship hull inspection with imaging sonar. These tasks encompass both the planning and recognition aspects of the active classification problem. The results demonstrate that actively planning for informative views can reduce the number of necessary views by up to 80% when compared to passive methods.Comment: 16 page