Dynamic risk assessment of process facilities using advanced probabilistic approaches

A process accident can escalate into a chain of accidents, given the degree of congestion and complex arrangement of process equipment and pipelines. To prevent a chain of accidents, (called the domino effect), detailed assessments of risk and appropriate safety measures are required. The present study investigates available techniques and develops an integrated method to analyze evolving process accident scenarios, including the domino effect. The work presented here comprises two main contributions: a) a predictive model for process accident analysis using imprecise and incomplete information, and b) a predictive model to assess the risk profile of domino effect occurrence. A brief description of each is presented below. In recent years the Bayesian network (BN) has been used to model accident causation and its evolution. Though widely used, conventional BN suffers from two major uncertainties, data and model uncertainties. The former deals with the used of evidence theory while the latter uses canonical probabilistic models. High interdependencies of chemical infrastructure makes it prone to the domino effect. This demands an advanced approach to monitor and manage the risk posed by the domino effect is much needed. Given the dynamic nature of the domino effect, the monitoring and modelling methods need to be continuous time-dependent. A Generalized Stochastic Petrinet (GSPN) framework was chosen to model the domino effect. It enables modelling of an accident propagation pattern as the domino effect. It also enables probability analysis to estimate risk profile, which is of vital importance to design effective safety measures

Hybrid Petri net modeling and schedulability analysis of high fusion point oil transportation under tank grouping strategy for crude oil operations in refinery

International audienceThere are varieties of constraints for a short-term scheduling problem of crude oil operations in a refinery. These constraints are difficult to model and complicate the short-term scheduling problem. Among them, oil residency time and high fusion point crude oil transportation constraints are the challenging ones. With high setup cost for high fusion point oil transportation, it is desired that the volume of high fusion point oil can be transported as much as possible by a single setup. This may result in late transportation of other types of crude oil, leading to the violation of crude oil residency time constraint. These constraints are ignored by existing methods in the literature. To solve this problem, this paper studies the problem in a control theory perspective by viewing an operation decision in the schedule as a control. With this idea, the system is modeled by a hybrid Petri net. With this model and tank grouping strategy, schedulability analysis is carried out and schedulability conditions are presented with tank charging and discharging costs being taken into consideration. These conditions are necessary for determining a refining schedule and can be used to check whether a target-refining schedule is realizable or not. If so, a feasible detailed schedule for the refining schedule can be easily obtained by creating the operation decisions one by one

Decision Support Systems

Decision support systems (DSS) have evolved over the past four decades from theoretical concepts into real world computerized applications. DSS architecture contains three key components: knowledge base, computerized model, and user interface. DSS simulate cognitive decision-making functions of humans based on artificial intelligence methodologies (including expert systems, data mining, machine learning, connectionism, logistical reasoning, etc.) in order to perform decision support functions. The applications of DSS cover many domains, ranging from aviation monitoring, transportation safety, clinical diagnosis, weather forecast, business management to internet search strategy. By combining knowledge bases with inference rules, DSS are able to provide suggestions to end users to improve decisions and outcomes. This book is written as a textbook so that it can be used in formal courses examining decision support systems. It may be used by both undergraduate and graduate students from diverse computer-related fields. It will also be of value to established professionals as a text for self-study or for reference

Performance analysis for wireless G (IEEE 802.11G) and wireless N (IEEE 802.11N) in outdoor environment

This paper described an analysis the different capabilities and limitation of both IEEE technologies that has been utilized for data transmission directed to mobile device. In this work, we have compared an IEEE 802.11/g/n outdoor environment to know what technology is better. The comparison consider on coverage area (mobility), throughput and measuring the interferences. The work presented here is to help the researchers to select the best technology depending of their deploying case, and investigate the best variant for outdoor. The tool used is Iperf software which is to measure the data transmission performance of IEEE 802.11n and IEEE 802.11g

Performance Analysis For Wireless G (IEEE 802.11 G) And Wireless N (IEEE 802.11 N) In Outdoor Environment

This paper described an analysis the different capabilities and limitation of both IEEE technologies that has been utilized for data transmission directed to mobile device. In this work, we have compared an IEEE 802.11/g/n outdoor environment to know what technology is better. the comparison consider on coverage area (mobility), through put and measuring the interferences. The work presented here is to help the researchers to select the best technology depending of their deploying case, and investigate the best variant for outdoor. The tool used is Iperf software which is to measure the data transmission performance of IEEE 802.11n and IEEE 802.11g