Nonparametric estimation of the jump component in financial time series

In this thesis, we analyze nonparametric estimation of Lévy-based models using wavelets methods. As the considered class is restricted to pure-jump Lévy processes, it is sufficient to estimate their Lévy densities. For implementing a wavelet density estimator, it is necessary to setup a preliminary histogram estimator. Simulation studies show that there is an improvement of the wavelet estimator by invoking an optimally selected histogram. The wavelet estimator is based on block-thresholding of empirical coefficients. We conclude with two empirical applications which show that there is a very high arrival rate of small jumps in financial data sets

Comportement asymptotique de processus avec sauts et applications pour des modèles avec branchement

L'objectif de ce travail est d'étudier le comportement en temps long d'un modèle de particules avec une interaction de type branchement. Plus précisément, les particules se déplacent indépendamment suivant une dynamique markovienne jusqu'au temps de branchement, où elles donnent naissance à de nouvelles particules dont la position dépend de celle de leur mère et de son nombre d'enfants. Dans la première partie de ce mémoire nous omettons le branchement et nous étudions le comportement d'une seule lignée. Celle-ci est modélisée via un processus de Markov qui peut admettre des sauts, des parties diffusives ou déterministes par morceaux. Nous quantifions la convergence de ce processus hybride à l'aide de la courbure de Wasserstein, aussi nommée courbure grossière de Ricci. Cette notion de courbure, introduite récemment par Joulin, Ollivier, et Sammer correspond mieux à l'étude des processus avec sauts. Nous établissons une expression du gradient du semigroupe des processus de Markov stochastiquement monotone, qui nous permet d'expliciter facilement leur courbure. D'autres bornes fines de convergence en distance de Wasserstein et en variation totale sont aussi établies. Dans le même contexte, nous démontrons qu'un processus de Markov, qui change de dynamique suivant un processus discret, converge rapidement vers un équilibre, lorsque la moyenne des courbures des dynamiques sous-jacentes est strictement positive. Dans la deuxième partie de ce mémoire, nous étudions le comportement de toute la population de particules. Celui-ci se déduit du comportement d'une seule lignée grâce à une formule many-to-one, c'est-à-dire un changement de mesure de type Girsanov. Via cette transformation, nous démontrons une loi des grands nombres et établissons une limite macroscopique, pour comparer nos résultats aux résultats déjà connus en théorie des équations aux dérivées partielles. Nos résultats sont appliqués sur divers modèles ayant des applications en biologie et en informatique. Parmi ces modèles, nous étudierons le comportement en temps long de la plus grande particule dans un modèle simple de population structurée en tailleThe aim of this work is to study the long time behavior of a branching particle model. More precisely, the particles move independently from each other following a Markov dynamics until the branching event. When one of these events occurs, the particle produces some random number of individuals whose position depends on the position of its mother and her number of offspring. In the first part of this thesis, we only study one particle line and we ignore the branching mechanism. So we are interested by the study of a Markov process which can jump, diffuse or be piecewise deterministic. The long time behavior of these hybrid processes is described with the notion of Wasserstein or coarse Ricci curvature. This notion of curvature, introduced by Joulin, Ollivier and Sammer, is more appropriate for the study of processes with jumps. We establish an expression of the gradient of the Markov semigroup of stochastically monotone processes which gives the curvature of these processes. Others sharp bounds of convergence, in Wasserstein distance and total variation distance, are also established. In the same way, we prove that if a Markov process evolves according to one of finitely many underlying Markovian dynamics, with a choice of dynamics that changes at the jump times of a second Markov process, then it is exponentially ergodic, under the assumption that the mean of the curvature of the underlying dynamics is positive. In the second part of the work, we study all the population. Its behaviour can be deduced to the study of the first part using a Girsavov-type transform which is called a many-to-one formula. Using this relation, we establish a law of large numbers and a macroscopic limit, in order to compare our results to the well know results on deterministic setting. Several examples, based on biology and computer science problems, illustrate our results, including the study of the largest individual in a size-structured population modelPARIS-EST-Université (770839901) / SudocSudocFranceF

Recent Advances in Single-Particle Tracking: Experiment and Analysis

This Special Issue of Entropy, titled “Recent Advances in Single-Particle Tracking: Experiment and Analysis”, contains a collection of 13 papers concerning different aspects of single-particle tracking, a popular experimental technique that has deeply penetrated molecular biology and statistical and chemical physics. Presenting original research, yet written in an accessible style, this collection will be useful for both newcomers to the field and more experienced researchers looking for some reference. Several papers are written by authorities in the field, and the topics cover aspects of experimental setups, analytical methods of tracking data analysis, a machine learning approach to data and, finally, some more general issues related to diffusion

Characterizing the diffusional behavior and trafficking pathways of Kv2.1 using single particle tracking in live cells

2013 Spring.Includes bibliographical references.Studying the diffusion pattern of membrane components yields valuable information regarding membrane structure, organization, and dynamics. Single particle tracking serves as an excellent tool to probe these events. We are investigating of the dynamics of the voltage gated potassium channel, Kv2.1. Kv2.1 uniquely localizes to stable, micro-domains on the cell surface where it plays a non-conducting role. The work reported here examines the diffusion pattern of Kv2.1 and determines alternate functional roles of surface clusters by investigating recycling pathways using single particle tracking in live cells. The movement of Kv2.1 on the cell surface is found to be best modeled by the combination of a stationary and non-stationary process, namely a continuous time random walk in a fractal geometry. Kv2.1 surface structures are shown to be specialized platforms involved in trafficking of Kv channels to and from the cell surface in hippocampal neurons and transfected HEK cells. Both Kv2.1 and Kv1.4, a non-clustering membrane protein, are inserted and retrieved from the plasma membrane at the perimeter of Kv2.1 clusters. From the distribution of cluster sizes, using a Fokker-Planck formalism, we find there is no evidence of a feedback mechanism controlling Kv2.1 domain size on the cell surface. Interestingly, the sizes of Kv2.1 clusters are rather governed by fluctuations in the endocytic and exocytic machinery. Lastly, we pinpoint the mechanism responsible for inducing Kv2.1 non-ergodic dynamics: the capture of Kv2.1 into growing clathrin-coated pits via transient binding to pit proteins